SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS

SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER

OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY

 

ISSUED: Tuesday, April 14, 2026       2:30 PM      Sherri Pugh

 

1.  DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623 and 639

 

SHORT-TERM DISCUSSION

 

Rain and mountain snow continue into Wednesday with a potent upper-level low moving into Washington and strong W flow aloft.  Rainfall amounts could reach 0.50” and snow levels will be under 3000 feet.  Winds will be onshore and temperatures will sink below average.  Mixing heights will climb high.

 

EXTENDED DISCUSSION

 

Thursday will have decreasing showers and mountain snow as the upper-level low shifts east.  Winds will come from WNW-NNW with freezing levels rising some to 3-4000 feet.  Temperatures will be below seasonable.  Mixing heights will be good.

 

Mostly dry weather is expected on Friday other than a few showers far north.  Flow aloft will be light from NW as upper-level ridging builds.  Winds will become light and variable.  Temperatures rise to near average and mixing heights will be fair to good.

 

Saturday will be dry with light SW flow aloft as upper-level ridging moves east of the region.  Winds will generally come from SE-S and light at the surface.  Temperatures will climb above average.  Mixing heights will be fair to good with warmer air aloft.

 

2.  DISPERSION

 

WEDNESDAY

 

Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning.

Transport wind WNW to NW at 10 - 22 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 3300 - 4300 ft.

Transport wind increases to WNW to NW at 15 - 29 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 8 - 12 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1500 - 2500 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 12 - 24 mph.

Surface wind WSW to WNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

Zone 605-611 and 639 (North Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning.

Transport wind WSW to WNW at 10 - 22 mph.

Surface wind WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind increases to WSW to WNW at 18 - 30 mph.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1500 - 2500 ft.

Transport wind decreases to WNW to NW at 10 - 22 mph.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 2000 ft early rising to 2300 - 3300 ft by late morning.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 10 - 22 mph.

Surface wind WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height 3100 - 4100 ft.

Transport wind similar to morning.

Surface wind similar to morning.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1500 - 2500 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 9 - 15 mph.

Surface wind similar to afternoon.

 

Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):

 

MORNING

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning.

Transport wind SW to WSW at 12 - 24 mph.

Surface wind WSW to WNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

AFTERNOON

Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.

Transport wind shifts to WNW to NW at 12 - 24 mph.

Surface wind W to NW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

EVENING

Mixing height 1500 - 2500 ft.

Transport wind WNW to NNW at 10 - 18 mph.

Surface wind WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.

 

OUTLOOK:

 

THURSDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph.  Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph during the afternoon.

 

FRIDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2400 to 3400 ft by late morning rising to 3100 to 4100 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

SATURDAY

Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1600 to 2600 ft by late morning rising to 2800 to 3800 ft during the afternoon.  Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming SE to S at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.  Surface wind light and variable.

 

3.  BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA

    - Valid for burning done Wednesday, April 15, 2026.

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Coast Range

 

Zone 601 and 612

Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Restrict units in or near corridors to 500 tons or less.

 

Zone 602 and 603

Units should be 400 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Limit burning in or near corridors.  Higher tonnage is possible south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.  Call the forecaster.

 

Zone 615 and 616 west of R8W

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 616 east of R9W

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 618 and 619

Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)

 

Zone 620

Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.  Higher tonnage is possible south of T35S.  Call the forecaster.

 

 

Cascades

 

Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 639, 616, 617, and 623

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.  Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.  From T15S through T20S in Zone 608 units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart.

 

Zone 610 and 622

Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.  East of R2W in Zone 622, use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below.

 

Zone 611

Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

Zone 620

Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 3 miles apart, and 5 miles from downwind SSRAs.

 

 

Siskiyous

 

Use standard guidance matrix - see section 5 below. Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.

 

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4.  SPECIAL NOTES:

 

    The ODF forecast smoke zones differ from the NWS fire zones and

    are available at:

    https://www.oregon.gov/odf/fire/documents/smoke-forecast-zone-map.pdf

 

    Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to

    discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to

    discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available,

    leave a message and they will return your call as soon as possible.

    Avoid calling between 1:30 to 2:45 p.m.

 

    The forecast is available on the Internet at:

    http://www.odf.state.or.us/DIVISIONS/protection/fire_protection/

    Daily/smi.htm

 

    Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by

    checking: http://www.oregon.gov/ODF/Fire/Pages/Burn.aspx

 

    A map of planned and/or accomplished burns is located at:

    http://geo.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html

    ?id=a7e321dc8fc444b7a33fbc67bc673a3b

 

    The forecast/instruction telephone recording is: (503) 945-7400.

 

    To subscribe to or unsubscribe from the email list for this

    product, please go to the link:

    http://weather.smkmgt.com/mailman/listinfo/

 

 

5.  STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:

 

  * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 150 tons per mile

    from downwind SSRAs. Example: 75 tons allowed if burned a half

    mile from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: Limit to 50 tons per mile if burning

    within 5 miles of downwind SSRAs. Limit to 100 tons per mile if

    burning 5 miles or beyond downwind SSRAs.

    Example #1: 200 tons allowed if burned 4 miles from a downwind SSRA.

    Example #2: 500 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of

    downwind SSRAs. Limit to 60 tons per mile from downwind SSRAs.

    Example: 300 tons allowed if burned 5 miles from a downwind SSRA.

 

  * Ensure adequate spacing between units when burning near downwind

    SSRAs.

 

  * Use of polyethylene (PE) sheeting on greater than 75 percent of

    piles in a unit with 60 percent coverage per pile will allow a

    50 percent increase in tonnage over the existing instruction tonnage

    for that zone.

 

  * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster

    prior to ignition.

 

 

6.  BURN MONITORING:

 

    Burns over 2000 tons must be monitored (OAR 629-048-0230(3) -

    7/1/14). Monitoring of all burns is highly recommended for both

    smoke management purposes and wildfire potential.