NBM Guidance for BALD MTN (BAFO3)
43.5574N 118.4070W
Elevation 5577 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
BAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 67 70 73 75 77 78 79 79 77 75 71 68 66 64 62 60 59 57 56 55 52 54 58 60 63 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 38 37 36 33 32 30 28 27 27 26 27 30 33 34 35 35 35 35 35 33 33 34 34 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 61 63 63 64 63 63 62 61 60 57 55 54 53 52 52 50 49 49 48 46 47 50 53 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 63 52 64 75 72 84 82 81 71 91 87 82 81 53 51 39 18 19 19 17 29 35 12 3 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 29 28 24 21 25 11 11 11 21 8 15 20 23 31 34 30 26 28 15 15 17 20 9 3 2 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 22 22 22 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 26 30 31 30 28 27 27 26 27 26 26 27 26 25 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 9 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 9 11 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 9 12 15 17 18 18 17 16 13 12 13 15 16 14 13 13 13 12 12 11 11 12 13 16 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 112113113113113114115116116113112111111111111110109108107106105104103101 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130-88130130130130130130130130170130130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 100100 90100130130120110100100140 90100130 90 90110 90100 80110 70 60 50 39 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 20 35 52 65 79 93100107 99 16 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 10 21 34 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 23 22 22 23 23 23 23 23 25 25 26 32 33 32 29 28 28 27 27 27 27 27 26 25 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 8 13 17 18 19 18 18 17 10 8 9 11 11 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 10 12 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 51 62 72 81 75 67 56 42 19 6 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 22 38 53 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
BAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 52 72 44 70 50 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 2 4 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 77 79 71 64 59 55 58 65 70 69 61 54 49 46 50 59 66 69 60 55 53 51 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33 28 26 33 35 35 34 35 33 26 24 28 30 30 28 26 20 15 15 18 20 19 18 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 5 7 5 3 2 2 3 3 4 5 3 2 3 3 2 4 5 4 5 5 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 64 62 57 53 50 48 50 57 60 56 49 45 42 41 44 51 56 55 48 45 43 43 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 72 81 87 53 18 17 12 0 2 11 23 23 12 8 10 0 15 9 12 6 9 7 8 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25 11 15 31 26 15 9 0 2 15 20 35 11 6 6 0 26 17 9 5 6 8 7 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 23 24 24 31 27 27 27 25 25 29 33 33 31 28 26 25 25 25 24 35 1 1 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 10 10 8 10 9 8 7 12 14 14 13 11 8 5 4 6 6 6 3 3 3 4 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 17 17 12 16 13 12 12 18 23 22 20 16 11 8 6 7 10 10 6 5 5 5 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 3 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 1 2 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 1 2 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 2 2 2 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110120110110110110100 99 99100 97 91 75 70 68 73 81 86 89 90 94 94 98 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130130170-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 130110140130110 80 60 46 70 80120 43 33 80190180140130130120130150140 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 79107 5 5 5 5 10 44 71 72 6 14 5 4 10 31 49 59 5 5 4 5 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 23 25 33 28 27 27 25 26 27 34 35 31 28 27 27 27 27 25 36 5 6 6 Transport wind dir
TWS 18 18 8 11 9 9 8 14 19 18 13 12 8 7 7 9 11 10 5 6 5 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 75 42 2 1 0 0 22 65 84 50 4 2 0 0 18 55 81 59 16 8 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
BAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 52| 72 44| 70 50| 80 55| 77 51| 69 48| 64 43| 63 43 51 76 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4| 2 4| 3 4| 2 5| 3 5| 6 6| 8 8| 9 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 55| 69 46| 69 51| 79 56| 74 52| 66 52| 62 47| 62 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 3| 2 2| 2 2| 1 3| 4 4| 7 4| 9 7| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35| 26 30| 15 19| 21 28| 23 34| 28 34| 31 35| 30 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 4 3| 5 4| 3 4| 6 7| 9 7| 9 6| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 48| 56 41| 55 43| 62 47| 59 46| 54 45| 53 43| 53 42 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 17| 11 8| 9 7| 14 40| 27 40| 65 78| 47 64| 36 36 Sky cover(%)
SSD 15| 15 6| 17 8| 12 25| 12 22| 29 15| 25 26| 22 20 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27| 29 28| 25 1| 15 24| 23 25| 26 25| 26 28| 29 29 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8| 14 5| 6 4| 6 10| 14 11| 16 13| 13 7| 10 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2| 2 2| 2 1| 3 4| 4 4| 4 5| 4 4| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12| 22 8| 10 5| 11 16| 22 17| 24 22| 20 10| 15 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4| 3 3| 3 2| 4 7| 5 7| 6 9| 6 7| 5 5 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 1 2| 0 0| 0 1| 7 7| 12 27| 36 28| 26 10 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 3 0| 6 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 3| 6 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 1 0| 2 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 2| 2 2| 0 1| 1 2| 4 5| 5 6| 7 10| 11 9 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| 3 1| 13 27| 18 20| 16 6 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 106|102 70| 86 94|110 108|102 91| 95 87| 92 79| 88 84 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 53 1| 53 6| 49 6| 45 6| 39 3| 29 5| 47 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
BAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 66 46| 70 49| 74 51 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 7| 8 6| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 65 48| 69 50| 73 53 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 6| 8 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 30 32| 28 32| 28 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 9 7| 8 7| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54 43| 57 45| 59 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 28 22| 27 34| 22 32 Sky cover(%)
SSD 18 16| 18 11| 4 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27 30| 26 27| 27 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 4| 8 4| 8 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 3| 3 3| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 13 6| 12 6| 12 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 4| 5 4| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 9 3| 2 9| 3 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 3| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 3| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 11 1| 4 3| 4 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94 88| 98 94|103 102 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 18| 32 16| 31 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
BAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 55| 72 44| 70 50| 80 55| 77 51| 69 48| 64 43| 63 43| 66 46| 66 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 2 4| 3 4| 2 5| 3 4| 6 6| 8 8| 9 7| 8 7| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 50| 69 38| 66 45| 77 49| 73 46| 62 40| 55 34| 53 35| 57 38| 57 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 52| 70 41| 68 46| 79 52| 75 48| 64 43| 59 37| 57 38| 61 41| 61 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 55| 72 44| 70 49| 80 54| 77 50| 69 48| 63 41| 62 42| 66 46| 66 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 58| 73 47| 71 54| 81 60| 79 54| 74 52| 69 48| 68 46| 74 51| 74 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 60| 75 49| 74 56| 82 61| 80 57| 77 56| 77 55| 77 54| 77 55| 77 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 4| 11 3| 3 3| 3 4| 8 4| 8 4| 5 3| 4 3| 3 2| 4 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 6| 12 4| 4 3| 4 5| 10 6| 10 6| 8 4| 6 4| 5 3| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 7| 13 5| 6 4| 6 8| 12 8| 13 10| 11 6| 9 5| 8 4| 8 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 9| 14 7| 7 5| 8 12| 15 11| 16 14| 13 10| 12 8| 10 6| 10 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 10| 15 8| 9 5| 10 15| 17 16| 18 17| 16 13| 14 10| 14 9| 13 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 10 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 12 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 15 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 18 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 17 | 23 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 13 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 14 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 22 | 27 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 22 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 20 | 30 | 32 | 29 | 26 | 23 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 29 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 34 | 36 | 34 | 31 | 28 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 4| 20| 2| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 11| 59| 22| 2| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 012|008 015|010 011|004 008|005 011|007 011|007 011|007 010|007 011|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 013|009 016|012 012|005 009|006 012|008 012|010 013|010 013|010 014|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 013|010 017|012 014|006 011|007 013|010 014|012 015|012 017|014 016|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 014|011 018|013 015|008 012|009 015|012 016|013 017|014 019|016 020|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 014|012 019|014 017|009 014|010 016|014 018|015 020|017 022|018 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)