NBM Guidance for BADGER CREEK (BGFO3)
44.0339N 120.4072W
Elevation 5735 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
BGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 65 69 72 74 75 76 74 73 69 65 60 56 54 52 50 48 48 47 46 45 45 46 50 52 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35 36 36 35 34 34 35 35 35 34 34 35 35 36 36 36 36 36 36 35 36 37 38 37 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 56 60 63 64 65 65 62 61 58 55 52 49 48 46 45 44 44 42 42 41 42 43 46 48 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 4 3 3 1 0 2 4 13 22 16 19 23 25 19 12 19 14 10 23 25 42 55 46 17 15 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8 7 7 1 1 5 19 34 36 30 29 31 27 27 9 10 9 8 29 31 39 40 37 29 31 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 21 21 22 24 25 27 30 31 31 31 31 31 31 30 29 29 28 28 28 27 28 28 28 29 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 10 8 7 6 5 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 104103103105107110112113112111109105100 99 96 95 93 92 89 87 83 80 79 79 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 3 1 1 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB -88220220220160120210120120200190330170170 1 1 1 1 28 28 28 30 28 50 80 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 25 40 54 71 82 90 89 68 43 29 14 13 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 13 20 26 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 20 21 21 22 23 23 26 29 31 31 32 32 33 32 31 30 30 29 28 28 28 29 29 29 28 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 8 10 11 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 14 11 9 8 7 7 6 7 6 7 6 7 8 8 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 56 68 84 88 86 78 66 50 27 10 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 18 31 47 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
BGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 45 65 38 71 45 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 2 2 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 75 73 60 52 48 45 50 58 62 61 50 44 41 40 47 59 66 67 55 49 47 46 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 34 35 34 36 36 35 38 37 30 27 30 31 30 26 30 27 21 18 21 22 22 19 21 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 2 3 3 4 3 2 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 65 61 52 46 44 41 46 53 56 52 43 39 37 36 42 52 57 54 46 41 40 39 45 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 0 13 19 19 14 25 46 12 26 15 6 26 28 18 27 7 7 4 9 20 23 13 15 Sky cover(%)
SSD 1 34 29 27 9 31 37 33 31 33 6 31 30 26 35 14 10 5 9 12 11 8 8 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 31 31 30 28 27 28 31 31 32 33 33 31 27 22 23 29 32 33 1 9 11 12 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 10 10 10 6 4 6 9 11 10 10 6 3 3 5 6 6 5 3 2 3 4 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 3 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 2 1 1 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110 99 93 87 79 81 85 83 80 73 70 68 69 75 83 85 90 91 92 92100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 1 1 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 1 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 160120190170 1 28 28140170170 19 32 70 90160130110 90100 90 90170100 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 82 68 14 5 5 5 13 34 53 50 19 5 4 4 7 33 57 60 5 5 5 5 3 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 29 32 32 30 28 29 29 28 31 33 35 31 27 25 27 28 30 33 5 8 10 11 Transport wind dir
TWS 13 14 15 9 7 6 7 9 13 15 14 9 5 4 4 7 9 10 7 5 5 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 86 50 3 1 0 0 18 65 80 54 5 2 0 0 16 53 84 61 18 9 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
BGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 45| 65 38| 71 45| 81 49| 74 45| 65 43| 61 39| 63 40 45 73 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4| 2 2| 3 4| 2 5| 4 4| 7 5| 7 6| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 45| 61 40| 67 46| 77 49| 67 46| 59 46| 57 43| 59 43 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 1| 3 2| 2 3| 7 3| 8 4| 8 6| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35| 27 26| 18 19| 21 29| 33 35| 34 36| 34 32| 32 30 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4| 4 3| 5 4| 4 7| 10 6| 8 7| 8 7| 7 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 41| 52 36| 54 39| 61 43| 56 42| 51 42| 50 39| 51 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 25| 15 18| 4 13| 26 47| 35 55| 76 84| 54 54| 35 42 Sky cover(%)
SSD 31| 33 26| 5 8| 23 28| 18 27| 16 15| 27 26| 21 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27| 32 27| 32 11| 23 26| 28 21| 26 24| 28 26| 31 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 3 1| 1 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 10 3| 5 4| 8 4| 9 7| 10 9| 9 4| 7 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 2| 3 3| 3 5| 3 3| 3 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 25 31| 29 64| 53 36| 27 12 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 2| 4 15| 12 7| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 5| 19| 19| 3 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 1 4| 3 3| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 2| 1 1| 0 1| 1 2| 15 12| 5 8| 8 9| 12 8 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 21 9| 39 61| 42 16| 16 13 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87| 83 68| 85 92|108 102|102 86| 92 83| 83 74| 85 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 51 1| 54 7| 48 7| 45 6| 23 0| 17 0| 46 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
BGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 67 43| 71 46| 74 48 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 5| 9 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 64 45| 67 48| 70 49 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 31 29| 30 30| 31 31 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 8| 8 8| 8 8 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54 40| 57 42| 59 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 30 35| 27 40| 17 39 Sky cover(%)
SSD 19 20| 30 24| 8 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 20| 30 26| 31 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 2| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 4| 6 4| 7 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3| 2 3| 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 14 6| 6 5| 4 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 11 5| 5 1| 2 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 91 86| 94 92|102 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 18 16| 27 13| 27 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
BGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 46| 65 38| 71 45| 81 49| 74 45| 65 43| 61 39| 63 40| 67 43| 67 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 2 3| 3 4| 2 5| 4 4| 7 5| 7 6| 8 6| 8 5| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 41| 62 36| 67 41| 79 43| 68 41| 56 37| 54 32| 54 34| 57 36| 57 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 43| 64 36| 70 42| 80 45| 72 42| 60 41| 56 35| 57 36| 61 39| 61 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 45| 65 38| 72 44| 81 48| 75 44| 65 42| 60 38| 62 39| 66 42| 66 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 49| 67 39| 73 50| 82 54| 77 46| 70 45| 64 42| 67 42| 73 46| 73 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 51| 68 42| 75 51| 83 56| 79 49| 75 49| 74 49| 74 46| 78 52| 78 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 2 1| 0 1| 1 1| 1 2| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 2| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 1| 1 2| 2 2| 3 3| 3 3| 2 2| 2 2| 1 2| 1 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 3 2| 1 2| 2 2| 3 3| 3 4| 3 3| 3 2| 2 3| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 3 2| 2 2| 3 3| 3 4| 3 5| 3 4| 3 3| 3 3| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 9 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 10 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 13 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 16 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 20 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 18| 8| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 9| 42| 36| 4| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 24| 74| 83| 34| 9| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 015|012 017|010 011|005 010|006 012|007 011|009 013|009 012|009 013|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 015|012 018|012 012|006 011|008 012|009 012|011 014|011 015|012 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|014 018|013 014|006 012|008 014|011 014|013 016|014 018|014 018|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 016|014 019|014 015|008 013|010 015|014 017|014 018|015 020|016 020|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 017|015 020|014 016|009 015|012 016|015 018|016 021|018 023|018 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)