NBM Guidance for BRUSH CREEK (BRUO3)
44.2843N 122.8494W
Elevation 2093 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 62 66 70 73 75 77 77 76 70 65 60 57 55 54 53 52 50 49 49 48 48 48 49 55 58 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 55 56 55 54 54 52 50 49 48 48 48 47 47 47 47 48 47 47 47 48 48 48 49 50 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 65 68 70 70 70 68 67 63 59 56 54 52 51 51 49 49 48 48 48 47 48 50 53 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 9 10 3 2 1 2 2 6 5 8 14 22 24 29 30 24 30 32 25 30 40 53 43 50 46 Sky cover(%)
SSD 18 13 5 3 2 2 4 8 7 11 14 20 31 36 33 26 25 25 22 26 32 28 29 33 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 35 34 34 34 33 33 33 33 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 30 29 29 28 28 23 21 17 19 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 1 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 77 78 78 79 79 80 81 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 80 79 76 73 73 76 75 73 70 69 69 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 45 45 35 45 45 45 45 45 Ceiling height*
MVC 5 4 5 2 0 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 6 8 11 15 18 21 24 26 24 20 17 17 17 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 4 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 1 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 200190 90 25 38 43 46 50 46 44 44 41 40 38 34 32 28 24 28 22 45 36 26 30 30 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 7 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 6 9 10 10 11 11 7 6 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 5 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 8 5 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 4 5 6 5 3 2 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 19 26 33 38 43 47 49 52 47 29 14 9 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 7 17 26 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 35 34 34 34 34 33 33 33 32 31 31 31 34 32 33 31 29 30 30 30 14 0 18 28 30 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 9 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 50 63 79 84 82 71 61 47 27 12 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 24 32 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 48 73 47 76 49 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 75 76 60 54 50 48 49 63 70 71 57 53 50 48 48 63 72 73 59 56 52 49 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 49 48 47 47 48 49 51 49 45 44 45 47 47 47 50 47 43 42 43 45 45 46 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 70 67 56 51 49 48 50 61 66 62 53 50 48 47 48 61 67 64 53 51 49 48 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 6 14 29 30 30 43 35 24 18 20 5 15 29 25 20 7 5 11 9 9 9 15 Sky cover(%)
SSD 2 8 14 36 25 26 29 30 18 22 26 6 27 34 16 18 7 6 6 5 7 7 8 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33 33 31 31 29 28 17 32 32 33 33 34 1 4 4 34 34 35 35 1 3 7 6 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 5 7 4 3 3 3 3 5 6 8 5 4 4 3 5 6 8 5 4 4 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 2 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 1 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 79 82 81 81 76 76 70 68 67 70 68 66 66 66 64 68 95 98 92 93 94 94 94 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88 35 45 45-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 2 4 4 3 5 0 0 0 1 3 4 4 10 3 0 0 1 3 6 5 8 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 38 50 44 38 28 22 26 23 41 49 42 90 70 80 80110120110140120210120120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 0 2 6 8 1 0 0 0 0 2 5 8 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 7 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 43 52 14 4 3 2 7 34 53 55 15 4 3 3 9 28 36 34 7 5 4 3 5 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 34 33 31 32 29 30 18 32 31 33 34 36 1 2 3 35 36 36 36 1 2 4 1 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 8 10 6 4 3 3 4 7 9 9 7 5 4 4 5 8 10 8 6 4 3 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 82 47 3 2 0 0 14 33 60 53 5 2 0 0 6 46 78 60 19 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 48| 73 47| 76 49| 81 52| 75 52| 67 50| 67 48| 71 48 51 75 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 3 3| 3 3| 5 2| 6 3| 5 4| 5 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 48| 71 48| 73 49| 78 53| 71 54| 62 53| 64 50| 68 49 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 4| 5 4| 6 4| 6 4| 6 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 48| 45 47| 43 45| 48 51| 53 51| 55 52| 54 48| 52 47 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1| 2 1| 3 3| 4 3| 4 2| 5 3| 5 3| 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 48| 62 47| 64 48| 68 52| 65 52| 59 52| 60 49| 63 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 30| 18 29| 5 9| 25 52| 31 64| 80 76| 56 54| 22 31 Sky cover(%)
SSD 26| 22 34| 6 7| 27 25| 24 29| 14 18| 24 29| 25 25 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28| 33 4| 35 7| 32 17| 27 17| 21 17| 29 14| 32 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 2 2| 2 2| 1 2| 2 4| 1 4| 0 2| 1 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 2| 1 2| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 6 4| 8 3| 4 4| 6 7| 6 6| 4 4| 4 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 1 1| 2 1| 1 2| 2 4| 4 4| 3 2| 3 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 2 0| 0 0| 0 2| 20 28| 60 84| 65 46| 29 15 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 29 52| 20 10| 4 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 2| 81| 30| 4 42 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 4 7| 4 3| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 1| 11 11| 5 10| 12 10| 10 5 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 3 0| 0 0| 0 11| 15 27| 79 79| 64 18| 15 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 76| 70 66| 98 94| 97 95| 87 78| 84 72| 73 69| 78 77 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 38 2| 48 7| 44 7| 45 7| 2 0| 11 3| 41 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 75 51| 78 54| 80 54 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 7 4| 8 4| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 72 51| 76 54| 77 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 7 4| 8 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 53 47| 53 49| 54 50 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 6 5| 7 4| 7 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 65 50| 68 52| 69 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 20 32| 21 27| 17 44 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25 29| 27 14| 18 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 10| 33 15| 31 12 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 2| 1 2| 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 4| 4 3| 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2| 2 2| 2 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 13 10| 7 4| 4 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 10 6| 5 3| 1 4 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 84 84| 89 89| 94 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 11 8| 20 14| 28 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 50| 73 47| 76 51| 81 52| 75 52| 67 50| 67 48| 71 48| 75 51| 75 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 3 3| 3 3| 4 3| 6 3| 5 4| 5 4| 7 4| 7 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 46| 71 45| 72 47| 78 48| 69 48| 60 47| 61 43| 65 44| 66 46| 66 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 47| 72 46| 74 48| 80 51| 73 50| 62 48| 63 46| 68 46| 69 48| 69 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 48| 73 46| 77 51| 82 53| 76 52| 67 50| 67 48| 71 48| 74 50| 74 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 53| 76 47| 78 54| 82 54| 78 53| 71 52| 70 50| 74 49| 78 53| 78 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 54| 76 52| 79 55| 84 56| 79 55| 75 53| 73 52| 78 53| 85 56| 85 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 1 2| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 0 2| 0 1| 0 1| 0 1| 0 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 1 2| 2 1| 1 2| 1 3| 1 3| 0 2| 1 2| 1 2| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 2 3| 3 2| 1 3| 2 4| 1 4| 1 2| 1 3| 1 2| 1 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 3 3| 3 2| 2 3| 3 5| 2 5| 2 3| 2 3| 2 3| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 3 3| 4 3| 2 4| 3 6| 3 6| 3 5| 3 4| 3 4| 2 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 9 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 11 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 16 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 40| 2| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 109| 27| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 9| 133| 60| 9| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 23| 164| 122| 43| 27| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|016 018|013 012|008 012|010 012|010 011|012 012|011 012|010 012|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|017 019|014 013|009 013|011 013|012 012|014 015|014 015|013 014|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|017 020|015 014|010 014|012 015|013 014|015 017|016 018|015 016|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|018 020|016 014|011 015|013 016|016 017|017 019|018 019|017 018|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|018 021|017 016|012 016|014 018|017 019|019 021|020 021|018 020|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)