NBM Guidance for BRUSH CREEK (BRUO3)
44.2843N 122.8494W
Elevation 2093 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 59 63 64 68 70 71 72 71 65 61 57 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 48 47 46 48 54 58 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 51 52 51 50 50 48 46 45 44 43 44 44 44 45 46 47 46 46 46 46 46 46 47 49 50 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 56 61 62 65 66 66 64 63 58 55 53 50 50 50 50 48 48 48 47 47 46 46 47 52 56 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 44 37 31 23 24 16 10 6 9 4 12 10 3 3 4 5 7 9 14 16 21 31 33 32 30 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27 17 14 23 20 22 16 9 18 7 16 10 3 4 6 6 9 15 14 15 16 29 30 32 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 33 34 34 35 35 35 35 35 36 36 36 36 1 1 36 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 7 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 67 66 65 65 67 69 71 72 72 70 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 62 62 63 63 64 64 64 72 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 35 45 45-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 24 13 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 8 10 13 14 15 14 13 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 4 3 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 22 45 42 40 49 44 47 47 44 42 35 36220200110130100110100 90 90 90130100120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 8 8 7 5 3 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 6 6 6 4 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 3 2 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 25 37 49 54 58 59 60 57 51 37 11 8 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 11 17 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 29 29 30 31 31 32 33 33 35 35 34 35 36 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 17 33 57 66 70 72 64 49 29 12 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 32 47 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 46 77 48 82 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 2 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 71 57 53 50 48 48 64 73 74 59 56 52 49 51 68 78 79 62 58 55 55 53 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 45 44 45 46 46 47 49 47 43 42 44 45 45 45 51 52 48 49 50 51 52 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 66 63 53 50 48 47 47 60 68 65 53 51 49 48 50 64 72 68 57 54 53 53 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 24 6 12 3 7 16 33 33 4 0 9 9 27 3 18 13 13 31 52 53 65 69 77 Sky cover(%)
SSD 20 9 16 4 9 15 30 37 24 0 22 15 37 3 12 16 21 28 24 31 23 18 16 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 33 33 35 35 36 1 35 35 35 35 34 34 34 5 31 31 30 30 23 20 20 20 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 6 7 6 5 4 3 5 7 8 5 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 5 5 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 1 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 5 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 67 72 69 65 62 63 64 73 85 94 96 92 91 84 87 91100100 98100100100 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 47 37 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 3 3 5 1 0 0 0 4 5 4 9 0 0 0 2 5 6 7 12 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 49 47 35200100 90130130140170120110110120170190190160150150 70 47 3 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 1 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 58 57 11 5 3 3 5 22 30 28 8 3 2 2 4 22 33 44 7 5 6 7 13 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 31 33 34 0 1 2 3 0 0 36 36 36 0 36 2 32 30 29 30 23 20 19 19 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 9 10 7 5 4 4 8 10 10 9 6 4 3 3 4 4 6 7 5 5 4 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 70 49 3 2 0 0 14 59 82 54 5 2 0 0 13 49 81 57 16 8 0 0 2 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 46| 77 48| 82 53| 73 53| 66 52| 67 48| 70 49| 72 50 51 75 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 2 2| 5 2| 6 3| 5 3| 5 3| 6 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 48| 74 49| 79 55| 69 56| 61 54| 63 51| 67 50| 69 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 2 3| 5 3| 5 4| 5 3| 5 4| 6 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46| 43 45| 48 52| 54 52| 58 52| 55 49| 52 48| 54 49 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1| 3 3| 3 2| 4 2| 4 3| 4 3| 4 3| 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 47| 65 48| 68 53| 64 55| 60 53| 60 50| 62 49| 64 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 16| 0 3| 31 69| 57 75| 85 81| 66 59| 52 56| 39 47 Sky cover(%)
SSD 15| 0 3| 28 18| 23 20| 12 21| 19 28| 29 32| 23 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 36| 35 34| 30 20| 25 17| 20 17| 25 16| 32 11| 32 13 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 3 2| 1 3| 2 5| 1 4| 0 2| 0 2| 0 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 2| 1 2| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 8 3| 4 5| 7 9| 5 6| 3 4| 3 3| 3 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 1| 1 1| 2 3| 4 3| 3 3| 2 2| 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 1| 0 1| 21 43| 74 86| 69 63| 27 28| 27 31 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 6| 52 58| 32 12| 5 0| 3 3 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 8| 110| 44| 5| 6 42 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 7 8| 5 3| 1 0| 1 1 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 1| 7 9| 16 14| 22 13| 5 3| 4 4 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 5| 15 47| 93 67| 70 31| 22 18| 23 17 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 63| 94 84|100 100| 87 81| 85 71| 73 68| 76 77| 82 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 49 2| 50 6| 21 4| 7 0| 30 5| 33 4| 44 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 74 50| 76 53| 77 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 7 4| 7 4| 7 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 71 52| 73 54| 74 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 7 4| 7 4| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 49| 54 51| 55 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 5 4| 5 3| 6 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 66 50| 66 53| 67 53 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 24 40| 26 33| 21 35 Sky cover(%)
SSD 24 21| 24 17| 11 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 16| 32 1| 34 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0 2| 1 2| 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 2| 1 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3 3| 3 3| 4 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2| 2 3| 3 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 21 13| 9 15| 16 12 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 2 0| 0 0| 0 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 2| 0| 1 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 13 18| 16 6| 12 9 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 86 87| 92 91| 97 96 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 19 16| 23 9| 24 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
BRUO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 48| 77 50| 82 54| 73 53| 66 52| 67 48| 70 49| 72 50| 74 50| 74 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 2 2| 5 2| 6 3| 5 3| 5 3| 6 4| 7 4| 7 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 45| 74 46| 78 50| 65 51| 59 48| 61 44| 63 46| 65 46| 65 46| 65 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 46| 75 48| 81 52| 69 52| 61 50| 63 47| 67 47| 68 47| 70 48| 70 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 47| 77 50| 82 54| 74 53| 65 52| 67 49| 69 49| 73 49| 74 50| 74 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 52| 78 54| 83 55| 77 55| 70 54| 70 50| 73 51| 75 51| 77 51| 77 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 53| 79 55| 84 56| 79 55| 75 55| 72 53| 75 53| 79 54| 83 55| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 2 1| 0 2| 1 3| 0 2| 0 1| 0 1| 0 1| 0 1| 0 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 2 1| 1 3| 1 4| 0 3| 0 2| 0 2| 0 2| 0 2| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 2| 1 3| 2 5| 1 4| 1 3| 1 2| 1 2| 1 2| 1 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 3 2| 1 3| 3 6| 2 5| 2 4| 1 3| 2 3| 1 3| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 4 3| 2 4| 3 8| 3 7| 3 5| 2 4| 2 4| 2 4| 2 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 10 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 12 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 28 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 15 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 90| 8| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 136| 46| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 14| 163| 95| 13| 19| 4| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 37| 194| 135| 54| 90| 28| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 019|013 012|007 011|009 010|009 009|011 012|011 011|011 013|012 012|011 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|014 012|008 012|011 012|010 012|012 014|013 014|013 016|013 014|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 020|014 013|009 013|012 013|012 013|014 015|015 017|016 017|016 017|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|015 014|010 014|012 014|013 015|016 018|017 018|017 019|018 019|017 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 021|015 014|010 015|014 016|015 017|016 019|018 020|018 020|019 021|019 90th percentile MSLP(mb)