NBM Guidance for CABIN LAKE (CAFO3)
43.4993N 121.0583W
Elevation 4554 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
CAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 63 66 69 70 70 70 69 67 63 58 53 50 46 42 38 35 33 32 30 29 30 40 48 56 61 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33 31 27 26 25 25 25 24 28 29 31 34 33 32 32 31 30 29 28 28 29 34 34 33 30 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 56 58 59 60 59 58 57 55 53 48 46 44 42 39 36 33 33 30 30 30 30 38 45 49 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 2 2 10 22 34 19 4 1 3 4 8 15 7 10 10 12 10 10 10 14 24 12 0 1 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 4 5 21 38 32 30 4 1 3 3 7 9 6 7 7 8 8 7 8 9 12 7 1 3 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28 29 29 30 30 30 31 31 32 34 34 34 34 33 29 28 33 34 32 34 36 12 15 16 16 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 13 14 15 16 16 15 14 12 10 8 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 77 78 79 80 80 80 82 81 81 81 78 76 73 72 71 71 70 69 68 68 68 68 69 70 72 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 1 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 140220220210200200-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 12 90120150140120100120100150190110 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 2 4 4 2 0 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 4 4 2 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 3 1 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 40 47 53 58 57 58 55 49 36 15 8 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 12 18 25 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 28 28 28 28 29 29 30 31 33 35 35 35 35 35 34 32 35 36 35 32 33 23 16 16 17 Transport wind dir
TWS 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 12 10 9 7 5 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 5 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 69 86 89 83 74 65 53 30 12 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 20 37 52 65 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
CAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 27 78 35 86 38 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 4 2 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 69 58 46 35 30 40 61 73 76 66 54 44 39 49 71 82 83 70 58 47 41 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 26 25 29 33 31 28 34 30 20 16 19 22 20 18 23 22 23 23 31 35 33 32 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 3 4 5 4 3 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 57 48 42 33 30 38 54 61 60 52 44 38 34 42 59 67 65 57 50 43 38 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 22 4 4 7 12 10 12 2 11 12 5 10 13 10 14 1 7 27 30 57 54 64 61 Sky cover(%)
SSD 38 4 3 6 8 8 7 26 31 29 4 6 8 7 7 4 13 25 22 26 29 22 17 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 31 34 34 28 32 12 16 15 5 3 1 1 3 11 15 19 23 31 31 30 28 24 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 5 3 1 0 0 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 4 2 2 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 15 15 10 3 2 2 3 7 8 6 4 4 3 2 3 8 12 13 10 5 4 3 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 3 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 1 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 80 82 81 73 71 68 68 72 81 88 92 91 92 99 93100100110110110100 98 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 1 1 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 8 7 9 8 4 1 3 6 7 7 9 7 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 210-88-88-88120120100110110 90180180140140130190200170130120140130170 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 58 55 15 5 5 5 5 25 50 62 4 4 5 4 4 28101115 10 6 5 4 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 28 30 35 35 32 35 23 17 23 26 2 1 5 8 12 18 19 21 32 32 31 29 24 Transport wind dir
TWS 14 13 13 9 4 4 3 5 5 5 9 10 5 4 4 8 14 13 12 10 7 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 83 53 3 2 0 0 20 65 86 55 5 2 0 0 15 53 86 62 19 9 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
CAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 27| 78 35| 86 38| 78 33| 66 33| 64 27| 66 29| 70 30 36 80 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 4| 2 4| 5 4| 6 5| 7 6| 8 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 30| 76 39| 83 41| 71 38| 61 39| 61 35| 64 35| 68 36 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 3| 2 2| 6 3| 7 4| 7 5| 8 6| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 28| 16 18| 23 32| 36 36| 38 36| 35 32| 34 33| 34 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 4| 4 4| 7 3| 7 5| 7 5| 7 5| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 30| 60 34| 65 38| 59 37| 54 38| 53 34| 55 34| 57 35 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 10| 12 10| 27 64| 38 68| 86 87| 62 63| 55 44| 33 36 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8| 29 7| 25 22| 22 32| 9 13| 22 24| 25 26| 22 21 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32| 5 3| 23 28| 26 23| 24 22| 26 27| 30 36| 26 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 1 0| 4 1| 5 2| 5 3| 4 1| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 2| 6 2| 13 3| 15 4| 17 7| 14 3| 12 3| 12 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 3| 3 4| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 30 24| 40 65| 55 40| 30 25| 28 23 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 0| 1 14| 11 6| 2 0| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 2| 15| 17| 2| 3 9 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 4| 3 2| 1 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 1 2| 14 10| 8 12| 16 8| 6 5| 8 5 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 26 10| 48 49| 43 31| 25 14| 21 14 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 68| 88 99|107 98|100 83| 92 83| 85 75| 86 80| 91 83 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 53 1| 54 7| 46 6| 40 4| 16 5| 39 6| 47 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
CAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 73 31| 77 35| 79 36 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 6| 8 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 37| 75 40| 76 41 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 6| 8 5| 8 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 32 32| 32 33| 34 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 6| 7 5| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 35| 61 38| 63 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 32 45| 34 42| 34 33 Sky cover(%)
SSD 23 34| 25 27| 19 7 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 29| 28 26| 29 22 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 0| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 2 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 2| 10 3| 12 2 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 2| 4 3| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 17 7| 4 4| 8 9 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 1| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 10 3| 4 3| 9 6 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 93 88|101 97|106 102 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 18 15| 31 18| 32 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
CAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 27| 78 35| 86 38| 78 33| 66 33| 64 27| 66 29| 70 30| 73 31| 73 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 4| 2 4| 5 4| 6 5| 6 6| 8 6| 8 6| 9 6| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 23| 76 30| 83 33| 70 28| 58 28| 56 21| 57 22| 60 23| 62 24| 62 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 24| 77 31| 85 34| 74 30| 62 30| 61 24| 61 25| 64 26| 66 26| 66 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 25| 79 33| 86 36| 79 33| 65 33| 64 27| 65 28| 68 30| 70 31| 70 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 30| 80 40| 87 42| 81 35| 69 36| 67 31| 70 32| 79 33| 81 34| 81 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 31| 80 41| 88 44| 83 38| 73 40| 72 35| 77 35| 80 36| 84 39| 84 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 1 0| 3 0| 4 1| 4 1| 3 0| 2 0| 2 0| 2 0| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 1 0| 3 1| 5 1| 4 2| 4 1| 2 0| 3 0| 2 0| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 1 0| 4 1| 5 2| 5 2| 4 1| 3 1| 4 1| 3 1| 3 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 1| 2 1| 4 2| 6 2| 6 3| 5 2| 5 2| 5 2| 4 1| 4 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 1| 2 1| 5 2| 6 3| 6 4| 6 3| 6 2| 6 3| 5 2| 5 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 9 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 11 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 14 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 19 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 17 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 20 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 21 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 20| 12| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 6| 43| 38| 13| 6| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 14| 67| 75| 54| 40| 12| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|010 012|004 010|006 012|008 010|009 012|008 011|008 012|009 012|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|011 012|005 010|007 013|010 012|010 014|011 014|011 016|011 015|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|012 013|005 012|008 014|011 013|012 015|012 017|013 017|014 018|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|012 014|006 013|010 015|012 015|013 017|014 019|015 019|016 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|013 015|007 014|011 016|013 016|014 019|016 021|017 021|017 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)