NBM Guidance for COLGATE (CGFO3)
44.3169N 121.6069W
Elevation 3307 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
CGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 61 67 71 74 77 78 79 78 75 72 69 64 61 57 55 52 49 46 43 42 41 39 39 48 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 53 50 48 45 42 40 39 39 39 38 38 39 40 41 40 40 39 38 37 37 36 37 42 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 62 66 68 68 69 68 66 63 62 59 56 53 51 49 48 46 43 41 40 40 38 38 46 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 7 6 3 2 3 3 1 2 2 5 4 5 16 17 15 12 16 16 15 12 14 20 21 9 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 16 14 10 9 2 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 7 7 8 7 9 8 13 11 12 14 15 10 3 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 19 16 17 27 27 27 28 28 28 28 29 30 30 31 31 20 21 17 23 26 28 29 29 30 1 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 9 11 13 15 16 16 16 14 12 9 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 103101 99 98 99 98 97 96 94 93 93 93 92 92 92 91 90 90 89 87 87 86 85 85 85 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 170 70 26 36 41100160180170160160160160180 90180 9 9 9 9220240240230230 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 90100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 14 11 8 7 6 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 4 4 5 6 6 7 9 9 8 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 20 31 40 48 47 46 42 34 32 29 23 13 6 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 15 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 25 23 23 24 24 24 25 26 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 24 21 21 23 24 26 28 28 28 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 9 10 11 14 16 17 18 18 18 17 14 11 8 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 37 53 66 82 86 85 78 68 53 31 13 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 19 35 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
CGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 37 82 37 72 33 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 78 75 64 55 46 41 48 70 79 74 64 54 46 40 44 62 69 67 58 49 41 35 41 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 42 39 38 41 39 37 42 41 37 40 41 43 41 39 44 38 32 34 36 37 34 31 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 4 3 3 2 3 3 2 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 63 56 49 43 40 46 62 67 63 55 50 44 39 45 57 61 57 50 45 38 34 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3 2 5 15 16 14 9 0 1 3 5 20 25 24 30 13 12 9 10 22 26 14 9 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3 2 4 8 8 12 10 0 1 3 5 13 17 26 40 20 18 8 9 10 17 9 7 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27 28 30 31 17 28 30 5 30 29 29 28 26 26 27 29 29 29 29 27 25 24 25 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 6 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 6 4 3 3 2 3 4 6 5 3 2 1 0 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 15 16 9 4 2 2 3 5 12 16 13 10 6 4 7 10 14 15 9 5 3 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 1 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 1 1 1 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 98 94 93 92 90 87 85 88 96 93 88 83 81 79 77 71 70 72 76 74 73 71 70 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 100170160 90 9220230240180110160-88-88 90120210 33 50180210210150120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 46 32 13 4 5 5 5 36 64 43 15 5 5 5 13 40 54 47 15 4 5 5 5 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 24 26 28 29 21 26 28 26 26 27 28 28 27 28 28 28 28 29 29 27 27 26 28 Transport wind dir
TWS 16 18 14 5 5 4 3 5 12 16 15 10 10 9 9 12 16 16 14 8 6 6 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 85 53 3 2 0 0 19 63 84 55 5 2 0 0 14 51 85 62 20 10 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
CGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 37| 82 37| 72 33| 79 37| 83 39| 76 36| 72 36| 71 35 41 80 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 3 3| 4 4| 3 4| 6 3| 8 3| 9 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 41| 74 40| 67 35| 74 41| 75 42| 69 41| 66 42| 66 40 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 3 1| 4 3| 4 3| 5 2| 7 3| 9 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37| 40 39| 34 31| 30 30| 36 37| 42 40| 41 39| 41 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 3 2| 3 3| 3 3| 4 4| 4 3| 6 5| 6 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 40| 63 39| 57 34| 61 38| 63 41| 61 41| 58 41| 58 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 14| 3 24| 9 14| 6 23| 27 51| 35 55| 46 51| 25 23 Sky cover(%)
SSD 12| 3 26| 8 9| 18 29| 23 35| 17 17| 21 28| 18 21 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28| 29 26| 29 24| 32 23| 29 25| 28 25| 28 25| 28 24 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 6 2| 5 0| 2 0| 5 1| 5 1| 4 1| 4 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 1| 1 1| 2 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 2| 16 4| 15 2| 7 1| 14 4| 16 3| 13 3| 14 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 2| 4 3| 5 5| 6 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 1| 0 1| 0 0| 0 5| 16 24| 27 40| 40 26 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 6| 8 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 6| 8 9 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 3 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 3| 12 7| 6 6| 9 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 8| 21 28| 34 33| 30 25 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87| 93 79| 72 71| 91 90|103 93| 94 84| 91 83| 88 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 52 2| 53 7| 48 7| 45 7| 28 5| 32 6| 44 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
CGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 72 35| 74 38| 78 39 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 6| 9 6| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 68 40| 69 42| 72 44 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 6| 9 5| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 34| 39 35| 39 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 6 5| 7 7| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 38| 60 40| 61 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 21 28| 22 30| 28 27 Sky cover(%)
SSD 18 18| 14 15| 12 14 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31 24| 32 24| 34 24 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 0| 3 0| 3 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1| 2 1| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 2| 10 2| 9 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 3| 4 4| 5 5 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 20 15| 21 17| 15 13 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 2 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 3 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 17 12| 19 12| 16 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 86 81| 89 82| 93 87 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 17| 33 18| 34 20 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
CGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 37| 82 36| 72 33| 79 37| 83 39| 76 36| 72 36| 71 35| 72 35| 72 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 3 3| 4 4| 3 4| 6 3| 8 3| 9 4| 10 6| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 34| 79 33| 68 30| 73 33| 78 34| 68 33| 63 33| 59 29| 61 28| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 35| 80 34| 70 31| 77 34| 81 36| 72 34| 66 34| 64 32| 65 31| 65 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 36| 82 35| 72 32| 80 36| 83 39| 77 36| 71 36| 69 34| 70 34| 70 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 40| 83 40| 74 35| 82 41| 85 43| 80 38| 78 39| 79 37| 81 38| 81 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 41| 84 42| 76 36| 84 43| 87 45| 84 41| 82 40| 82 41| 85 44| 85 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 4 1| 4 0| 2 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 2 0| 2 0| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 5 1| 5 0| 2 0| 4 1| 4 1| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 6 2| 5 1| 3 0| 5 2| 5 1| 5 1| 5 1| 4 1| 4 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 1| 6 2| 6 2| 3 1| 6 2| 6 2| 5 3| 6 2| 5 1| 5 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 1| 7 3| 7 2| 4 2| 7 2| 7 3| 7 3| 7 3| 6 2| 6 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 16 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 19 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 24 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 22| 14| 1| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 23| 56| 53| 17| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 017|010 016|012 016|008 011|005 010|008 014|010 014|011 013|011 014|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 017|011 017|013 018|010 012|006 012|010 015|012 016|013 016|013 016|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 017|011 017|014 019|012 014|008 014|010 017|014 018|015 018|014 018|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 018|012 018|015 020|014 016|008 015|012 018|016 021|017 021|016 020|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|012 018|016 021|015 017|009 016|013 019|017 023|019 022|018 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)