NBM Guidance for CRATER LAKE (CRLO3)
42.8967N 122.1328W
Elevation 6522 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
CRLO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 50 52 54 55 55 55 54 54 51 47 44 42 41 39 38 37 36 36 35 35 35 40 48 52 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 32 34 34 32 31 30 32 32 32 34 35 35 32 30 29 29 28 27 25 25 23 26 25 23 21 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 48 50 52 52 50 49 48 47 45 43 41 39 38 36 36 34 34 33 33 32 32 36 42 45 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 7 5 9 16 22 3 3 1 1 2 1 4 1 1 0 1 1 4 3 6 6 0 1 0 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 7 7 9 27 32 14 4 1 2 3 1 4 1 1 0 1 1 3 3 5 5 0 16 0 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28 28 28 28 28 29 29 30 31 32 32 34 34 34 33 25 18 9 9 13 12 13 15 15 14 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 9 10 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 7 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 3 2 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 16 17 18 19 19 19 19 19 18 15 12 10 9 8 9 9 8 8 9 10 10 13 9 6 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 80 81 82 83 83 84 84 83 80 78 76 74 73 72 71 70 69 68 68 68 68 69 72 75 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 4 6 7 7 8 9 9 8 7 5 2 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 5 4 4 4 2 1 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 2 1 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 1160210210170160150120 80 1 1 1210210210200200180200190190170180180110 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 4 4 6 6 4 3 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 2 4 6 6 4 2 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 2 5 5 3 1 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 25 30 34 36 35 35 31 29 18 12 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 9 18 27 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 28 28 28 28 28 28 29 31 32 34 35 36 3 4 6 7 7 7 8 7 9 9 11 13 14 Transport wind dir
TWS 10 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 11 9 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 69 87 90 89 82 71 56 32 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 20 37 53 66 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
CRLO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 35 65 44 67 44 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 1 2 2 1 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 55 54 47 41 37 35 40 56 63 63 54 50 47 45 49 62 66 65 56 50 46 44 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 32 32 34 32 29 25 26 21 23 25 31 30 25 22 23 26 32 32 36 37 36 36 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 52 48 43 38 34 33 36 49 55 52 46 43 41 38 42 53 59 55 49 46 43 41 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 16 3 2 1 1 3 0 2 10 10 2 2 0 2 0 3 11 28 44 45 39 37 24 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27 4 3 1 1 3 0 18 36 32 2 2 1 3 0 10 18 20 31 19 20 24 23 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28 29 32 34 25 9 13 14 28 29 33 7 12 15 15 20 24 26 29 29 27 24 22 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 11 10 7 3 4 4 6 1 3 5 2 5 5 5 7 7 9 8 5 2 2 3 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 19 19 15 9 9 9 13 5 5 8 6 10 11 11 14 15 16 15 12 6 6 7 12 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 4 4 4 5 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 1 1 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 84 78 73 70 68 69 79 90 97 94 98100100 98 98110110110110100 98 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 1 1 2 5 4 0 0 0 1 10 10 13 11 6 1 3 8 9 10 14 10 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 210150 1210200200170110 90 90160160130130110180100120150110 90100140 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90100100100100100 90 90 90 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 0 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 36 31 12 5 5 5 4 27 51 52 4 5 5 5 4 48 82 74 11 5 5 5 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 28 29 34 3 7 8 9 14 24 26 33 7 7 13 14 20 21 24 30 30 23 20 19 Transport wind dir
TWS 11 12 9 6 4 4 6 4 3 5 5 5 5 6 7 11 12 10 8 5 4 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 89 56 4 2 0 0 20 66 88 56 5 3 0 0 14 52 86 63 20 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
CRLO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 35| 65 44| 67 44| 56 39| 46 37| 45 35| 50 37| 54 38 39 70 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 1| 2 2| 1 2| 5 2| 6 3| 6 4| 7 5| 9 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 35| 63 45| 65 44| 52 40| 44 40| 44 36| 49 37| 52 39 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 1 1| 2 2| 6 3| 6 4| 6 4| 7 5| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 25| 25 22| 32 36| 40 36| 42 36| 39 32| 35 32| 36 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4| 4 5| 3 3| 4 3| 6 4| 6 5| 7 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 33| 52 38| 55 41| 48 39| 43 39| 43 35| 45 36| 47 36 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3| 10 2| 28 37| 45 64| 89 80| 59 48| 58 36| 26 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3| 32 3| 20 24| 22 28| 11 17| 27 20| 26 26| 22 15 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 9| 29 15| 26 24| 26 24| 24 23| 26 27| 28 6| 26 34 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4| 5 5| 8 3| 12 12| 10 18| 8 4| 5 5| 6 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2| 2 3| 2 3| 3 5| 4 5| 4 4| 4 4| 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9| 8 11| 15 7| 22 30| 24 37| 18 11| 11 11| 12 11 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 3 3| 3 4| 5 9| 8 10| 7 8| 7 7| 6 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 0 1| 29 36| 53 73| 71 46| 38 33| 30 21 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 3| 10 47| 24 9| 6 7| 4 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 6| 57| 33| 13| 5 28 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 3 7| 4 3| 2 3| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 1| 1 2| 7 12| 10 14| 18 11| 6 6| 8 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 7| 1 13| 1 3| 0 2 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 2| 39 29| 77 76| 59 20| 33 15| 27 10 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 68| 97 100|109 98| 96 82| 92 83| 83 73| 85 79| 90 83 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 54 1| 54 7| 37 4| 40 3| 8 6| 38 6| 44 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
CRLO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 57 39| 61 43| 63 44 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 5| 8 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 55 40| 60 43| 61 44 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 7 5| 8 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 34 31| 34 32| 36 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 5| 6 6| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 50 37| 52 40| 54 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 23 32| 33 33| 31 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 26 34| 24 32| 26 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 34| 27 32| 26 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 4| 6 5| 6 6 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 4| 3 4| 4 4 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 10| 12 12| 13 13 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 6| 6 8| 8 8 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 15 7| 5 6| 9 11 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 1 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 15 2| 4 4| 10 8 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 93 90|100 97|107 103 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 19 16| 32 19| 31 16 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
CRLO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 35| 65 45| 67 44| 56 40| 46 39| 45 35| 50 37| 54 38| 57 39| 57 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 1| 2 2| 1 2| 5 2| 6 3| 6 4| 7 5| 9 5| 9 5| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 33| 63 42| 65 42| 50 37| 39 35| 38 30| 41 31| 42 31| 46 33| 46 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 34| 64 43| 66 43| 54 38| 43 37| 41 32| 46 34| 47 34| 49 35| 49 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 35| 65 45| 68 44| 57 40| 47 39| 45 34| 49 36| 52 37| 55 40| 55 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 36| 66 46| 68 46| 61 41| 50 41| 48 38| 53 40| 61 41| 64 43| 64 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 37| 68 47| 69 47| 62 42| 53 43| 51 42| 56 43| 65 44| 68 46| 68 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 3| 2 2| 5 1| 7 4| 4 6| 2 2| 0 2| 0 2| 0 2| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 3| 4 3| 7 2| 8 7| 6 9| 6 2| 4 3| 3 3| 3 3| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 4| 5 5| 8 3| 10 9| 8 13| 8 5| 5 5| 6 5| 6 5| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 5| 6 7| 10 4| 12 14| 11 17| 10 8| 8 7| 8 7| 8 7| 8 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 7| 7 9| 11 6| 14 18| 13 19| 12 12| 10 11| 10 10| 10 11| 10 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 13 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 18 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 16 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 21 | 12 | 18 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 13 | 14 | 12 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 22 | 13 | 20 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 16 | 16 | 15 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 24 | 15 | 23 | 28 | 31 | 28 | 21 | 20 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 27 | 17 | 25 | 31 | 38 | 34 | 26 | 25 | 22 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 29 | 19 | 28 | 35 | 42 | 40 | 30 | 28 | 27 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 2| 1| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 77| 37| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 11| 111| 78| 29| 16| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 33| 147| 113| 77| 55| 12| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 019|011 012|007 012|010 014|010 012|012 013|011 012|010 014|012 013|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|012 013|008 012|010 015|012 014|012 015|012 015|013 016|013 016|013 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|012 014|008 014|012 016|013 015|014 017|014 018|015 018|015 017|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|013 014|009 015|013 017|014 017|015 019|016 020|017 019|017 019|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|013 015|010 016|014 018|015 018|017 020|018 022|018 021|018 021|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)