NBM Guidance for COLD SPRINGS (CSFO3)
44.3551N 120.1336W
Elevation 4639 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
CSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 63 69 73 76 79 80 81 80 79 76 71 66 63 60 58 55 53 51 50 48 47 46 46 52 60 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43 44 42 41 39 37 37 40 41 42 39 37 37 37 37 37 36 37 36 36 35 34 35 38 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 61 64 67 68 69 68 67 66 64 60 56 54 52 50 48 47 46 45 44 43 41 43 48 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 73 50 36 10 3 3 2 5 2 4 2 4 6 16 17 14 18 24 19 23 33 30 39 26 13 Sky cover(%)
SSD 22 31 31 33 15 13 2 5 2 4 3 4 5 8 18 17 17 17 19 20 27 28 29 29 30 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 17 19 21 23 24 25 26 28 32 34 34 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 3 8 7 7 5 14 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4 7 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10 7 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 106104104106108112115117119119118116112111111112111111109108106105103102102 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 230-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 220220210210220230 90 70 80 80 70-88-88-88-88-88-88 80 70-88-88350330330320 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 4 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 16 31 51 61 73 78 84 87 79 42 25 18 12 9 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 6 14 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 22 21 22 22 23 23 25 29 34 35 35 35 36 36 35 35 35 36 5 3 36 36 15 19 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 9 11 13 14 14 14 14 14 12 14 15 14 13 10 9 8 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 33 49 65 80 86 85 77 66 51 28 11 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 21 37 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
CSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 40 80 38 70 33 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 4 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 80 79 66 58 51 47 52 70 78 76 65 56 49 43 46 62 68 66 56 48 42 38 42 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 41 37 37 37 35 38 39 36 36 34 36 36 35 39 36 31 29 28 30 30 29 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 66 56 50 46 43 48 62 67 63 54 49 45 40 44 56 59 56 48 42 39 35 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3 2 4 17 24 33 26 2 3 6 6 13 17 11 28 6 22 11 10 19 20 14 16 Sky cover(%)
SSD 13 2 4 18 17 27 29 6 3 20 5 9 7 7 16 18 26 23 12 11 12 10 10 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 32 35 35 36 7 14 19 25 34 34 34 29 29 28 29 30 31 33 33 27 20 19 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 5 4 2 0 0 0 3 3 5 3 2 1 1 2 4 5 6 3 2 0 0 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 14 12 6 2 1 2 8 11 14 11 6 5 3 5 11 15 15 12 6 2 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 3 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 2 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 4 3 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 3 2 1 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110120120110110110100100110110110 97 87 82 81 82 84 84 79 73 73 72 72 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 230 80-88-88 80-88330-88140 60 60-88 60-88 90130170 49100120200190140 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 78 79 18 4 4 4 6 42 77 57 15 5 3 4 18 47 62 65 19 7 3 3 7 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 29 35 36 35 3 15 21 24 30 34 34 29 31 28 27 28 30 32 32 28 21 20 Transport wind dir
TWS 14 14 15 10 6 5 4 8 12 12 14 10 8 8 9 10 15 15 14 10 7 6 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 85 51 3 2 0 0 21 64 84 51 4 2 0 0 16 53 82 59 18 9 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
CSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 40| 80 38| 70 33| 74 38| 81 41| 76 36| 71 36| 69 34 38 76 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 4| 3 2| 5 4| 3 4| 5 3| 7 4| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 47| 76 43| 66 38| 71 45| 78 46| 72 44| 68 44| 66 41 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 3 2| 4 4| 4 3| 6 3| 8 4| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35| 36 35| 29 29| 25 23| 27 30| 31 35| 33 35| 33 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 3 2| 4 4| 4 3| 4 5| 7 4| 8 6| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 43| 63 40| 56 35| 58 38| 62 41| 59 41| 57 41| 56 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 33| 6 11| 11 14| 5 21| 32 53| 35 52| 41 41| 25 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27| 20 7| 23 10| 15 30| 23 37| 24 19| 29 31| 16 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 7| 34 29| 31 20| 31 14| 28 28| 28 20| 27 23| 29 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 5 1| 6 0| 3 0| 3 0| 5 1| 5 2| 5 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 1| 2 2| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 1| 14 3| 15 2| 10 2| 13 3| 15 4| 16 5| 16 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 4| 4 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 2| 0 1| 1 0| 0 3| 18 16| 20 26| 32 15 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| 0 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 3 2| 1 1| 1 1| 2 3| 18 9| 5 5| 9 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 4| 10 17| 20 22| 23 20 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 106|113 82| 84 72| 90 94|105 98| 98 87| 94 85| 92 83 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 52 2| 53 7| 49 7| 46 6| 22 6| 38 6| 47 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
CSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 69 34| 72 37| 74 38 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 7| 10 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 67 42| 69 44| 70 45 Temperature(F)
TSD 10 7| 10 6| 10 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 32 32| 32 32| 33 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 8 8| 8 8 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 38| 57 40| 59 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 18 25| 28 33| 25 29 Sky cover(%)
SSD 15 20| 25 17| 13 15 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 26| 33 24| 33 1 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 1| 4 0| 3 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1| 2 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 3| 13 2| 11 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 3| 3 2| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 21 10| 21 19| 16 12 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 21 14| 19 15| 17 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 88 82| 91 86| 94 91 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 18| 30 14| 30 20 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
CSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 40| 80 38| 70 33| 74 38| 81 41| 76 36| 71 36| 69 34| 69 34| 69 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 4| 3 2| 5 4| 3 4| 5 3| 7 4| 8 6| 10 7| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 37| 77 34| 66 30| 68 34| 77 35| 69 33| 63 31| 59 27| 59 26| 59 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 39| 79 35| 68 31| 72 35| 80 37| 73 34| 66 34| 63 31| 61 30| 61 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 41| 81 37| 70 33| 75 37| 81 40| 77 36| 69 36| 69 34| 68 33| 68 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 42| 82 41| 72 34| 77 41| 84 45| 79 38| 77 38| 77 36| 78 37| 78 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 44| 83 43| 73 35| 80 43| 85 47| 82 41| 81 41| 79 42| 82 44| 82 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 4 0| 4 0| 2 0| 2 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 2 0| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 4 1| 5 0| 2 0| 3 0| 4 1| 4 0| 4 0| 3 0| 3 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 5 1| 6 0| 3 0| 3 1| 5 1| 5 2| 5 1| 4 1| 4 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 0| 6 2| 6 1| 3 1| 5 1| 6 2| 6 3| 6 2| 6 2| 5 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 1| 6 2| 7 2| 4 2| 5 2| 7 3| 7 4| 7 3| 7 2| 6 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 17 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 21 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 25 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 9| 5| 1| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 15| 43| 38| 18| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|010 015|011 016|009 010|005 009|007 013|009 013|010 013|010 013|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|010 016|012 018|011 011|006 011|009 015|012 016|012 015|013 016|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|011 016|013 018|013 013|007 013|010 016|014 018|014 018|015 018|015 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|011 017|014 020|014 016|008 014|011 018|016 020|017 021|017 020|017 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|012 017|015 020|016 018|010 015|012 019|017 022|019 023|018 022|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)