NBM Guidance for ELK CREEK (EKCO3)
44.7578N 117.9711W
Elevation 6394 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
EKCO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 66 69 71 72 73 73 73 71 66 61 57 56 55 55 55 54 52 51 50 49 47 49 54 57 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 37 37 38 37 37 36 35 36 38 38 38 37 37 36 36 35 34 34 33 33 32 34 35 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 61 63 64 65 63 61 59 55 53 51 49 48 49 49 47 46 45 45 44 42 44 48 50 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 27 41 32 37 29 32 47 65 68 69 87 71 49 47 29 33 39 31 14 9 19 21 15 7 4 Sky cover(%)
SSD 33 41 39 39 28 30 32 31 25 32 24 28 29 31 33 31 27 28 12 8 12 14 22 21 3 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 0 21 11 13 19 23 32 33 34 34 34 32 30 32 30 27 28 25 26 26 24 24 25 25 30 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 5 5 6 7 6 6 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 3 3 2 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 111111113115116117118117116115113111112112111111109107105103101 99 98 96 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88130130130130200-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 120220200170170110100 90 70 80130180160130 90 90 80 70 70 60 60 41 80 60 50 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 20 32 46 69 84 93 96 78 31 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 12 22 35 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 23 21 21 21 21 24 25 35 36 35 35 35 34 34 34 32 30 32 31 30 30 28 27 26 Transport wind dir
TWS 4 6 8 10 12 13 12 10 9 10 10 10 9 8 8 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 8 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 55 66 81 82 81 60 48 43 22 7 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 20 37 49 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
EKCO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 47 65 40 65 46 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 3 3 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 73 71 57 55 52 49 54 61 64 60 49 46 43 41 47 57 63 62 51 49 47 47 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 35 38 37 35 33 34 34 33 30 28 27 27 26 27 28 27 25 27 25 23 21 25 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 5 6 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 65 59 51 49 46 44 48 55 58 52 43 40 38 37 42 51 56 52 44 41 41 40 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 29 65 87 47 39 9 15 0 28 55 19 10 11 10 6 2 10 14 21 13 10 8 5 Sky cover(%)
SSD 28 31 24 31 27 8 22 0 31 28 32 17 8 7 7 7 16 14 29 10 7 7 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 19 33 34 32 28 26 25 27 28 32 33 32 31 29 28 29 28 33 33 29 28 26 20 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 6 8 8 8 6 4 4 3 5 6 4 3 2 2 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 3 3 2 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 3 4 2 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 3 7 5 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 7 5 1 0 3 2 0 0 1 2 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 5 3 2 1 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 120120110110110100 98 95 97 94 86 75 71 67 66 77 86 90 89 86 90 91 92 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88130130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 170 90130130 80 60 80 28 90160150120110100180190140100 90 80 80110 80 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 84 78 5 5 5 5 12 48 72 55 6 5 5 4 10 39 61 62 5 5 5 5 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 21 25 35 34 32 31 28 25 26 30 34 34 32 32 30 28 26 27 35 32 26 19 17 Transport wind dir
TWS 12 10 10 8 6 4 4 10 13 11 11 10 7 5 4 6 9 7 7 6 5 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 81 43 2 1 0 0 20 65 74 42 2 1 0 0 18 54 81 56 15 8 0 0 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
EKCO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 47| 65 40| 65 46| 73 52| 73 48| 64 46| 58 42| 58 42 47 71 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4| 3 3| 3 2| 3 5| 3 4| 6 5| 8 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 49| 60 41| 62 47| 70 54| 67 48| 59 48| 54 45| 55 45 Temperature(F)
TSD 3| 3 2| 2 2| 3 4| 5 3| 7 4| 9 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33| 30 26| 25 21| 26 22| 31 35| 34 34| 36 32| 36 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 6 4| 4 4| 3 6| 7 6| 8 8| 8 6| 6 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 44| 52 37| 52 40| 57 45| 57 44| 51 44| 49 41| 49 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 9| 55 10| 14 8| 16 47| 43 46| 78 81| 58 57| 50 32 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8| 28 7| 14 7| 13 29| 15 28| 15 16| 21 25| 22 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26| 32 29| 33 26| 16 29| 23 27| 25 26| 32 29| 33 30 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 3 1| 1 0| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 8 4| 4 2| 8 3| 9 4| 9 4| 6 4| 6 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 2 1| 1 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 4| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 3| 4 2| 0 0| 0 0| 6 15| 24 39| 48 36| 36 21 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 6| 10 9| 8 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 8| 19| 8 19 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 3 3| 3 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 5| 3 2| 1 2| 2 2| 7 10| 7 8| 9 9| 15 11 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 12 14| 30 43| 55 28| 33 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 103| 94 67| 90 91|107 108|107 94| 95 86| 88 78| 86 82 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 47 0| 52 6| 48 6| 41 2| 38 2| 18 2| 35 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
EKCO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 61 44| 65 46| 69 48 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 8 5| 7 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 58 46| 61 48| 65 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 6| 8 5| 7 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35 30| 34 29| 35 30 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 7| 6 7| 6 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 51 41| 53 42| 56 45 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 43 23| 32 33| 28 39 Sky cover(%)
SSD 23 11| 12 19| 6 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 28| 32 28| 31 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 2| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 3| 5 3| 5 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3| 3 3| 3 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 13 9| 8 9| 6 5 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 18 8| 11 3| 8 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 93 87| 99 93|103 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 18 16| 31 17| 31 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
EKCO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 49| 65 40| 65 46| 73 52| 73 48| 64 46| 58 42| 58 42| 61 44| 61 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 3 3| 3 3| 3 5| 3 4| 6 5| 8 6| 9 6| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 44| 62 36| 62 43| 68 46| 68 43| 55 41| 48 36| 48 36| 52 37| 52 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 46| 63 38| 64 44| 70 48| 70 44| 60 43| 52 37| 53 38| 56 41| 56 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 49| 66 40| 66 45| 73 51| 72 47| 64 44| 57 42| 57 41| 61 43| 61 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 52| 67 42| 67 47| 76 57| 75 50| 69 48| 64 44| 62 44| 67 46| 67 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 54| 69 43| 68 49| 77 58| 77 53| 73 52| 71 50| 71 50| 71 52| 71 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 2 1| 1 0| 2 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 2 1| 1 0| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 2| 1 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 2| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 3 2| 1 1| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 3 2| 2 1| 3 2| 4 3| 4 4| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 10 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 13 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 15 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 7| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 16| 41| 18| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 5| 38| 94| 64| 10| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 013|008 016|011 013|004 008|004 011|005 011|008 012|008 011|008 012|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 014|010 017|012 014|006 010|005 012|007 012|010 013|011 014|011 014|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 014|011 018|012 015|007 011|007 013|009 014|012 015|013 018|015 017|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 015|011 019|013 016|009 013|008 014|012 016|013 018|015 020|017 020|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 015|012 019|014 018|010 014|009 016|013 018|015 020|017 023|019 023|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)