NBM Guidance for FLAGSTAFF HILL (FAFO3)
44.8141N 117.7289W
Elevation 3924 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
FAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 68 73 77 80 83 84 84 82 79 74 69 67 65 63 62 60 60 57 55 53 51 52 55 59 63 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 40 40 40 39 37 36 36 36 37 39 41 41 40 40 39 38 37 37 36 36 37 37 39 39 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 64 67 70 70 69 67 66 65 62 58 57 56 54 53 52 52 50 49 46 46 47 50 53 56 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 38 45 43 53 42 38 49 55 47 76 78 73 58 48 38 37 48 33 17 11 24 23 15 7 3 Sky cover(%)
SSD 39 43 42 43 40 32 28 24 25 25 18 31 32 30 32 32 33 24 17 11 18 15 21 20 3 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 31 32 2 5 13 33 32 33 33 32 30 29 29 28 28 29 28 28 28 26 27 29 31 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 9 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 13 12 12 12 11 11 10 9 8 7 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 9 11 13 15 15 16 18 21 22 21 21 22 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 14 14 13 14 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 4 6 6 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 2 3 3 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 111112112114115116117118116115113111112113112112112109106104101101 99 98 96 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88210130200130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 120220110 90200120130120100150130200120150200140110100110 90110 80 60 70 70 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 16 25 36 66 88102108 74 32 14 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 12 22 29 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 31 30 24 21 20 21 23 29 35 35 32 32 32 32 33 34 34 34 34 33 33 33 32 32 29 Transport wind dir
TWS 4 4 5 8 10 11 11 10 12 16 16 15 14 14 14 13 12 12 12 11 11 10 9 8 7 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 54 64 80 81 79 68 56 41 21 6 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 22 38 53 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
FAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 51 77 43 76 48 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 3 3 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 83 82 69 63 60 53 55 66 74 70 61 54 49 44 48 61 71 72 63 55 52 48 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 36 41 40 37 36 39 40 36 32 31 32 32 33 34 33 28 24 28 31 29 29 30 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 3 5 7 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 70 66 58 54 52 46 50 60 64 58 50 46 43 40 44 55 62 58 52 47 45 43 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 42 55 78 48 48 11 15 0 35 41 16 21 6 8 6 2 5 12 22 10 8 9 4 Sky cover(%)
SSD 40 24 18 30 33 11 21 1 36 24 26 32 5 5 3 4 15 12 28 9 7 7 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 5 32 32 29 29 28 29 33 32 35 34 33 31 26 29 34 2 0 33 28 29 23 15 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 9 13 14 12 11 9 7 9 17 19 15 11 7 4 3 4 5 6 5 3 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 4 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 15 18 21 23 20 17 14 16 18 26 29 24 17 11 8 8 12 13 11 9 5 5 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 7 5 5 6 5 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 2 3 3 2 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 3 2 5 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 2 6 5 3 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 6 6 2 0 3 3 0 0 0 2 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 6 3 3 0 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 120120110110110100 99 95 98 97 89 75 72 67 66 72 83 90 90 86 90 91 92 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 200120130150110 90 60 50110140150 90120110230210170140120110110130130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 88 74 5 5 5 5 12 43 74 46 12 5 5 5 11 36 59 59 5 5 5 5 7 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 20 29 32 32 34 33 32 27 26 34 34 34 33 31 32 30 27 30 34 30 32 20 13 Transport wind dir
TWS 10 10 16 14 12 11 9 8 12 17 19 15 11 8 6 6 8 7 9 7 4 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 79 41 2 0 0 0 22 64 78 44 2 1 0 0 18 52 82 56 15 8 0 0 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
FAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 51| 77 43| 76 48| 84 55| 84 51| 76 50| 69 46| 69 46 43 79 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4| 3 3| 3 4| 4 5| 4 4| 6 5| 9 6| 9 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 53| 70 44| 72 48| 81 55| 79 51| 71 50| 65 46| 66 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 3| 3 2| 2 2| 3 3| 5 3| 7 4| 9 5| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36| 32 33| 24 29| 24 28| 31 41| 35 40| 37 39| 37 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 7 3| 4 4| 3 6| 8 6| 10 7| 10 6| 8 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 58 40| 58 43| 64 46| 63 47| 59 46| 56 44| 56 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 11| 41 8| 12 9| 13 46| 47 47| 78 82| 52 57| 45 33 Sky cover(%)
SSD 11| 24 5| 12 7| 11 29| 12 27| 16 15| 21 28| 27 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28| 35 26| 0 23| 14 27| 22 29| 27 24| 33 31| 33 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 11| 17 7| 5 3| 11 6| 14 6| 13 7| 10 8| 10 7 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4| 3 2| 3 1| 3 3| 5 3| 5 3| 4 4| 5 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 17| 26 11| 13 5| 20 9| 26 10| 24 11| 19 11| 20 10 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5| 4 3| 3 2| 3 4| 7 4| 7 5| 6 5| 6 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 3| 2 5| 0 0| 0 0| 4 16| 22 34| 45 35| 32 20 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 6| 6 6| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 6| 12| 3 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 2 2| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 6| 3 3| 0 2| 1 2| 7 10| 6 8| 8 9| 13 11 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 3 0| 0 0| 0 2| 9 12| 21 39| 43 27| 25 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 104| 97 67| 90 91|105 109|107 95| 96 86| 88 78| 86 82 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 48 0| 52 6| 48 6| 41 2| 39 2| 24 3| 44 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
FAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 72 47| 76 49| 80 51 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 8 5| 7 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 69 47| 72 49| 76 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 6| 8 4| 7 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 37| 35 37| 35 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 6| 9 6| 9 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 58 43| 60 45| 62 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 39 25| 34 32| 28 37 Sky cover(%)
SSD 23 11| 14 16| 8 22 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 30| 33 30| 32 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 5| 7 6| 7 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 5 4| 5 4| 5 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 16 9| 16 9| 16 8 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 7 5| 7 4| 7 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 11 9| 6 10| 4 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 14 3| 10 2| 2 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 88| 98 93|102 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 19 16| 32 17| 32 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
FAFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 57| 77 47| 76 51| 84 57| 84 54| 76 51| 69 47| 69 46| 72 49| 72 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 3 3| 3 4| 4 5| 3 4| 6 5| 9 6| 9 6| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 52| 73 42| 72 47| 79 51| 80 49| 67 46| 59 39| 59 40| 63 42| 63 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 53| 75 44| 74 48| 81 54| 81 51| 71 48| 63 42| 63 42| 67 45| 67 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 57| 77 46| 76 50| 84 56| 84 53| 76 50| 68 46| 67 45| 72 49| 72 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 61| 79 49| 78 55| 88 63| 87 57| 81 53| 77 50| 73 50| 78 52| 78 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 62| 80 51| 79 56| 89 64| 89 60| 84 58| 82 55| 82 55| 83 56| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 5| 12 4| 3 1| 8 2| 7 3| 6 2| 4 3| 4 3| 3 2| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 7| 14 5| 4 2| 9 3| 9 4| 9 4| 7 3| 6 4| 4 3| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 10| 17 6| 6 3| 11 5| 13 5| 11 6| 9 5| 10 5| 7 5| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 13| 18 8| 8 4| 13 7| 16 7| 15 8| 12 9| 13 8| 13 7| 11 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 15| 20 9| 10 5| 14 9| 19 9| 18 10| 14 12| 17 10| 16 10| 16 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 9 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 17 | 22 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 11 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 19 | 24 | 12 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 15 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 21 | 26 | 14 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 19 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 24 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 23 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 24 | 30 | 16 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 15 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 26 | 33 | 18 | 22 | 27 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 18 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 31 | 36 | 20 | 25 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 24 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 33 | 39 | 23 | 29 | 35 | 36 | 31 | 33 | 30 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 36 | 42 | 27 | 32 | 39 | 41 | 38 | 36 | 34 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 10| 34| 9| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 7| 0| 0| 4| 23| 87| 57| 7| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 012|007 015|010 012|004 008|003 010|004 010|006 011|007 011|008 012|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 013|008 016|011 013|005 009|004 011|006 011|009 012|010 014|010 014|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 013|010 017|011 015|006 010|006 012|008 013|011 015|012 017|014 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 014|010 018|012 016|008 012|007 014|011 016|012 017|014 020|016 020|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 014|011 019|013 017|009 013|009 015|012 018|014 020|017 022|018 023|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)