NBM Guidance for FORT ROCK (FKFO3)
43.4320N 120.8384W
Elevation 4521 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
FKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 67 72 75 79 82 83 83 82 78 74 69 63 59 55 51 47 44 41 40 38 36 37 47 55 60 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 40 39 38 36 33 31 30 33 34 34 36 38 39 40 40 39 39 38 37 37 36 37 41 41 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 58 63 66 67 68 68 66 66 63 61 57 54 52 50 47 44 42 40 39 37 36 38 45 50 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3 1 0 1 1 16 13 20 15 25 21 20 24 16 16 13 11 9 12 11 20 29 19 0 5 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3 1 0 1 1 25 33 34 31 32 35 32 26 17 8 8 9 8 9 8 14 13 12 0 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 18 19 21 23 24 24 25 27 30 30 32 32 31 30 29 29 29 29 30 30 29 30 29 29 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 6 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 12 14 16 17 19 19 19 17 14 11 8 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 7 7 9 10 12 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 100 98100103108109109111110109106108106105105104102100 97 94 91 89 86 83 82 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 4 6 7 9 11 12 13 13 12 14 14 14 14 12 10 8 5 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 9 10 11 9 8 7 5 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 7 6 5 3 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB -88230230230150210130130 90 90180200 80 70 60 60 60 2 7 2 2 4 4 26-88 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 5 8 10 10 9 10 9 5 5 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 4 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 7 4 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 5 3 1 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 20 35 54 74 97101107105 75 33 9 6 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 11 19 29 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 19 20 22 23 23 23 24 26 28 31 33 32 31 29 30 29 29 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 9 10 14 17 18 18 18 16 15 14 13 10 8 7 6 6 7 7 9 8 9 9 9 10 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 56 69 85 88 86 80 66 51 27 10 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 20 37 52 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
FKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 36 74 30 78 39 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 3 4 3 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 82 82 69 55 44 38 47 64 72 71 59 46 36 31 41 61 72 75 66 53 44 39 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33 33 36 40 39 37 41 36 27 25 28 32 32 31 35 31 20 18 19 23 23 21 25 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 5 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 5 5 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 66 57 50 42 37 45 57 61 57 48 42 35 32 39 54 61 60 52 44 38 34 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 20 21 16 11 11 19 2 5 23 5 14 12 15 32 3 5 3 11 19 17 13 17 Sky cover(%)
SSD 1 34 35 17 9 8 12 2 32 27 3 8 7 12 21 16 7 3 9 13 8 8 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24 27 32 30 29 30 29 28 29 31 34 33 28 28 24 19 23 32 1 36 36 2 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 8 4 2 2 2 3 6 8 8 5 2 0 0 0 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 16 19 14 6 7 6 9 14 19 19 15 6 3 2 2 7 9 7 5 4 3 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 3 2 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 3 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 1 1 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110100 94 86 83 90 90 82 74 71 69 68 73 81 89 93 92 93100 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 5 6 6 10 8 2 0 1 2 5 6 6 5 2 0 0 3 5 9 10 8 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 150130180 70 60 2 4210180150 29-88 80 70190150130130120110110110120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 0 3 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 0 0 0 0 1 3 6 7 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 97105 9 5 5 5 11 41 64 61 11 6 4 4 6 27 54 66 6 5 5 4 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 26 33 29 29 28 28 27 28 30 35 35 32 33 25 23 26 29 2 1 2 7 12 Transport wind dir
TWS 17 18 14 8 6 9 9 12 15 16 14 9 5 4 3 5 8 8 9 10 6 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 86 51 2 1 0 0 20 65 84 48 5 2 0 0 12 53 86 62 19 9 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
FKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 36| 74 30| 78 39| 86 41| 79 37| 70 34| 66 31| 68 32 37 80 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4| 3 4| 3 5| 2 5| 5 4| 7 5| 7 7| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 38| 71 31| 75 39| 83 41| 73 38| 65 38| 63 34| 66 34 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 2| 6 3| 8 4| 8 6| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37| 25 31| 18 21| 23 33| 34 37| 35 36| 35 34| 32 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 4 2| 4 5| 4 4| 10 5| 8 5| 8 5| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 37| 57 32| 60 34| 65 38| 60 37| 56 37| 54 34| 56 34 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 11| 23 15| 3 13| 20 46| 32 65| 60 79| 38 48| 30 42 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8| 27 12| 3 8| 21 26| 20 22| 25 17| 31 30| 23 30 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30| 31 28| 32 2| 23 27| 27 25| 25 23| 28 29| 32 32 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 8 0| 2 0| 6 1| 8 2| 8 4| 8 1| 5 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 0| 1 0| 2 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 2| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6| 19 2| 7 2| 16 3| 20 5| 21 12| 20 3| 15 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3| 2 1| 3 1| 3 2| 3 4| 4 6| 4 4| 4 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 25 24| 24 52| 44 32| 24 12 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 3| 1 10| 9 6| 2 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 5| 11| 15| 2 9 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 1 3| 3 2| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 1 1| 0 1| 2 2| 17 11| 5 8| 10 8| 12 8 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 21 16| 38 45| 31 17| 13 10 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94| 90 69| 89 101|108 100|101 86| 93 85| 86 74| 86 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 52 2| 53 7| 49 7| 46 6| 24 0| 17 0| 48 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
FKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 72 35| 76 39| 80 40 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 9 6| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 36| 74 39| 77 41 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 31 32| 30 34| 30 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 9 7| 9 7| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 58 35| 60 37| 63 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 17 32| 25 36| 15 35 Sky cover(%)
SSD 13 23| 32 25| 7 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 21 27| 29 33| 31 30 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 1| 4 0| 4 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 1| 3 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 3| 14 3| 13 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 3| 4 2| 4 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 16 3| 6 11| 4 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 2 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 2| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 8 0| 9 1| 2 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 86| 96 93|104 100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 19 17| 28 14| 29 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
FKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 39| 74 31| 78 39| 86 41| 79 37| 70 34| 66 31| 68 32| 72 35| 72 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 3 4| 3 5| 2 5| 5 4| 7 5| 7 7| 8 6| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 35| 71 28| 74 34| 84 36| 72 34| 61 28| 58 24| 58 25| 61 27| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 36| 73 29| 76 35| 85 37| 77 34| 65 32| 61 26| 61 27| 66 30| 66 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 37| 74 30| 79 37| 87 40| 81 36| 70 34| 65 29| 68 31| 71 35| 71 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 43| 76 32| 80 46| 87 46| 82 39| 74 37| 70 34| 73 35| 80 39| 80 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 45| 79 37| 81 47| 88 49| 84 44| 80 40| 79 40| 80 39| 83 42| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 7 0| 1 0| 3 0| 6 0| 6 1| 4 0| 3 0| 2 0| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 7 0| 1 0| 5 0| 7 1| 7 2| 6 0| 4 0| 3 0| 3 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 8 0| 2 0| 6 1| 8 2| 8 3| 8 1| 6 1| 5 1| 5 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 4| 9 1| 3 1| 7 2| 9 3| 9 5| 9 3| 7 2| 7 2| 6 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 4| 10 1| 4 1| 8 2| 10 4| 10 6| 10 4| 9 3| 8 3| 9 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 13 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 17 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 23 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 25 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 26 | 26 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 8| 19| 30| 3| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 15| 47| 66| 24| 3| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 015|010 017|009 011|004 010|006 012|007 011|008 012|008 012|008 012|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 015|011 018|010 012|005 011|008 013|009 012|010 014|010 015|011 014|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|012 018|011 013|006 012|008 014|011 014|012 016|013 017|014 017|012 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 016|013 019|012 014|007 014|010 015|013 017|014 018|014 020|015 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 016|013 020|013 016|008 015|011 016|014 019|016 021|017 022|017 022|016 90th percentile MSLP(mb)