NBM Guidance for MYRTLE CREEK MUNI (K16S)
42.9973N 123.3153W
Elevation 617 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
K16S NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 63 66 68 71 73 74 75 75 73 70 66 64 62 60 58 56 54 52 50 50 49 51 55 60 63 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 51 51 52 51 50 49 48 48 49 49 50 49 49 49 49 48 48 47 46 46 46 48 50 51 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 64 66 67 67 66 66 66 65 62 60 58 57 55 54 53 51 50 48 48 48 50 54 57 61 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5 4 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 3 6 8 14 19 25 32 39 29 30 31 17 Sky cover(%)
SSD 9 5 3 3 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 4 7 20 27 27 27 33 35 38 29 30 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 34 34 34 34 35 35 34 34 34 34 33 33 33 34 35 34 34 36 36 1 2 35 35 35 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 11 11 12 13 14 14 15 14 14 13 11 10 9 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 4 5 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 69 68 68 69 69 70 70 70 70 70 70 69 69 68 68 68 67 67 66 67 67 67 68 69 70 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 5 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 7 12 16 20 21 18 11 3 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 6 7 8 6 3 1 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 6 6 5 4 2 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 210260230230210210210 44 35 26160180170220 60 41 33 32 30 80 80 80 80100150 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 4 6 9 9 9 8 5 3 2 0 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 5 7 7 7 6 4 3 1 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 4 6 5 6 5 3 2 1 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 33 42 49 51 52 53 51 47 38 12 10 9 8 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 8 12 15 19 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 34 33 33 33 33 33 32 32 34 36 1 36 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 9 9 9 10 10 11 12 13 11 9 8 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 64 80 84 84 78 69 54 32 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 27 42 61 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
K16S NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 49 81 51 85 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 2 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 71 75 70 62 56 50 51 63 74 80 73 65 59 53 55 68 79 82 73 66 61 57 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 51 48 49 49 48 46 48 51 48 43 42 43 44 43 45 50 51 52 54 54 52 51 52 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 67 66 62 57 53 48 50 61 68 68 62 56 53 49 52 64 72 72 65 61 58 54 55 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 1 1 1 8 25 29 17 4 0 1 0 1 0 3 11 21 41 29 43 59 68 67 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3 2 2 1 20 27 38 27 32 0 1 1 1 0 3 15 28 30 27 25 17 18 17 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 35 34 33 35 36 2 35 35 35 34 32 31 9 18 33 33 32 31 30 29 27 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 8 6 3 1 0 1 4 6 7 1 0 0 0 1 3 5 7 4 2 2 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 14 14 10 6 4 3 7 11 13 8 5 4 5 4 5 9 14 11 8 8 6 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 9 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 69 70 70 69 68 66 67 70 74 78 82 87 94100100100 98100100100100100 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 42 36 Ceiling height*
IFC 1 0 1 1 2 4 8 1 0 0 0 3 4 4 10 3 0 1 2 4 6 12 16 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 230210 26170 41 30 80150130220210210160150160190190180150120100 11 9 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90100100100100100 50 30 90 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 4 7 4 0 0 0 1-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 51 51 12 8 5 4 8 19 32 36 8 4 2 2 4 21 38 43 15 7 5 5 10 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 35 35 35 35 33 33 34 36 36 36 36 33 31 30 30 34 30 33 31 30 30 24 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 11 11 7 5 3 3 5 8 10 10 6 4 3 2 3 7 10 10 5 3 2 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 84 54 4 2 0 0 13 61 83 55 5 3 0 0 12 49 83 61 16 8 0 0 3 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
K16S NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 49| 81 51| 85 55| 78 55| 71 55| 71 51| 73 51| 75 51 50 84 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 2 2| 5 2| 6 2| 6 4| 5 4| 7 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 50| 80 53| 82 57| 73 58| 67 57| 68 53| 71 53| 73 53 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 3 3| 5 3| 5 3| 5 3| 5 4| 7 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46| 43 43| 52 51| 55 51| 57 53| 54 49| 52 49| 54 49 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 3| 3 1| 4 2| 6 3| 6 3| 5 3| 6 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 48| 68 49| 72 54| 66 55| 63 55| 63 52| 64 51| 67 51 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 25| 0 0| 41 68| 47 70| 85 83| 51 53| 36 44| 14 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27| 0 0| 30 18| 24 21| 13 15| 23 28| 25 23| 13 17 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 36| 35 9| 32 27| 29 17| 21 16| 29 15| 33 17| 33 14 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 7 0| 7 1| 7 7| 5 4| 5 2| 6 1| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 3| 2 2| 2 2| 2 1| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 13 5| 14 6| 14 16| 11 11| 11 6| 11 5| 11 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 2| 2 2| 3 4| 5 4| 3 3| 3 3| 2 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 0 1| 24 33| 57 81| 68 48| 27 31| 27 24 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 0| 18 38| 23 7| 5 0| 6 3 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 2| 56| 30| 5| 9 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 4 6| 4 3| 1 0| 2 1 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 6| 8 10| 21 9| 5 3| 7 4 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 1| 26 29| 74 81| 45 28| 29 15| 26 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 66| 78 100|100 101| 89 82| 92 78| 76 68| 77 77| 84 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 49 1| 51 6| 34 3| 29 0| 32 4| 44 7| 39 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
K16S NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1700 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 78 53| 81 55| 83 56 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 7 4| 7 4| 7 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 76 54| 79 56| 80 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 3| 7 4| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 53 49| 54 51| 55 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 5 4| 5 3| 6 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 52| 70 54| 71 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 10 36| 15 43| 18 31 Sky cover(%)
SSD 11 31| 25 29| 21 10 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 14| 35 9| 34 16 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 1| 5 1| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 2| 1 1| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 6| 11 6| 12 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 3| 2 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 12 10| 3 9| 10 10 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 16 5| 2 3| 11 5 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87 89| 94 98|101 100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 17| 33 19| 32 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
K16S NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 50| 81 53| 85 55| 78 55| 71 55| 71 51| 73 51| 75 51| 78 53| 78 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 3| 2 2| 5 2| 6 2| 6 4| 5 4| 7 4| 7 4| 7 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 47| 78 49| 81 52| 71 52| 63 52| 64 46| 67 46| 66 46| 70 48| 70 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 47| 79 51| 84 53| 75 54| 66 54| 67 48| 70 48| 72 50| 74 51| 74 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 49| 81 52| 85 55| 79 55| 71 55| 71 52| 73 52| 75 52| 78 53| 78 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 54| 84 57| 87 56| 82 57| 76 56| 74 53| 77 53| 80 53| 81 55| 81 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 55| 84 58| 87 57| 83 57| 78 57| 77 55| 80 55| 84 55| 88 56| 88 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 5 0| 6 0| 3 1| 3 1| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 4 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 6 0| 6 0| 6 3| 3 1| 3 0| 4 0| 4 0| 4 0| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 7 1| 7 1| 7 6| 5 3| 5 2| 6 1| 6 1| 5 1| 5 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 1| 7 2| 8 2| 8 7| 6 4| 7 3| 7 2| 6 2| 6 2| 6 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 1| 8 3| 9 2| 9 8| 8 7| 8 5| 7 3| 7 3| 7 4| 7 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 22| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 75| 29| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 4| 91| 68| 13| 15| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 8| 120| 92| 47| 48| 14| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 019|011 012|006 012|009 012|009 010|010 012|010 012|010 014|011 013|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|012 013|007 013|010 013|010 012|012 015|012 015|012 016|012 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 020|012 013|008 014|011 014|011 014|013 016|013 017|014 018|014 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|013 014|009 015|012 016|013 016|014 018|015 019|016 019|017 019|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 021|013 014|010 016|013 017|014 018|015 020|017 021|017 021|018 021|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)