NBM Guidance for TOKETEE STATE (K3S6)
43.2234N 122.4212W
Elevation 3284 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
K3S6 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
UTC 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Time (UTC)
PDT 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (PDT)
TMP 76 76 73 71 68 63 59 55 53 51 49 47 46 45 44 43 42 43 46 54 60 64 67 68 70 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 47 47 48 47 47 46 48 48 48 47 47 47 46 45 44 43 42 43 46 48 46 43 41 40 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 66 65 62 61 57 54 52 51 49 49 47 46 45 44 43 42 43 47 52 57 60 62 62 62 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 6 2 5 8 13 14 23 24 25 36 43 48 54 50 58 69 74 72 53 30 16 9 12 20 21 Sky cover(%)
SSD 13 4 6 13 20 24 35 36 35 36 35 37 40 37 37 35 36 43 39 38 26 15 17 23 33 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 30 30 30 31 30 29 28 29 27 30 33 32 21 18 27 14 33 33 32 31 31 31 30 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 9 9 8 6 3 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 6 6 7 8 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 12 12 12 11 9 8 7 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 5 7 8 9 10 11 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 3 16 11 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 0 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 12 14 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94 94 95 96 96 96 94 92 90 90 88 87 85 82 80 78 78 78 77 76 75 76 77 78 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 45 60130130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 5 1 3 20 15 20 26 26 18 15 13 9 3 1 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 2 1 3 9 7 10 14 14 9 7 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 5 5 7 10 11 8 6 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 32 50 50 48 43 32 27 25 24 26 25 24 22 23 22 15 18 20 21 70 70 70 90210170 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 5 7 10 16 16 16 14 11 8 5 3 2 2 1 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 7 10 11 12 12 10 8 5 2 2 2 1 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 8 6 4 2 2 1 1 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 48 48 44 39 27 12 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 5 10 17 24 30 35 41 45 44 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 27 28 28 31 29 29 30 30 30 30 32 32 28 32 31 33 32 32 31 30 30 30 30 30 Transport wind dir
TWS 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 79 63 52 28 12 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 28 39 50 71 82 85 80 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
K3S6 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 Time (UTC)
PDT 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 42 71 36 78 45 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 3 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 63 53 47 44 43 60 68 68 58 48 42 38 40 67 76 75 64 54 50 47 48 73 80 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46 48 47 44 43 46 40 42 41 42 41 38 36 34 31 38 40 40 37 34 34 40 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 5 6 5 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 51 47 44 43 57 62 59 51 46 41 38 39 59 65 63 55 49 46 43 44 64 69 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 14 25 48 58 72 16 20 1 13 11 2 3 2 5 8 3 6 5 4 8 8 7 9 Sky cover(%)
SSD 24 35 37 37 43 26 23 1 19 32 3 3 2 4 8 7 6 6 6 10 10 12 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 29 33 18 33 31 30 31 31 10 16 13 10 32 31 31 34 8 10 11 10 27 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 1 0 0 0 5 7 9 4 2 1 1 2 3 6 7 1 6 3 1 3 4 7 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 4 1 1 2 7 10 12 9 6 5 4 6 4 8 9 4 10 8 5 6 7 11 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 3 16 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 17 11 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 3 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 12 12 12 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 96 90 87 80 78 75 78 79 76 71 69 68 70 74 83 90 89 92100110100100100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88 45130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 2 2 9 14 7 0 0 0 0 2 4 9 14 3 0 0 3 6 10 9 11 4 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 32 24 24 22 20 70210 30 40110110160140120150140150220210180150170180 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100 90100100100100100100100100 70100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 1 4 11 10 2 1 0 0 2 5 14 10 1 0 0 1 2 8 15 12 3 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 12 5 4 5 10 30 45 44 13 4 2 2 3 30 49 47 8 3 2 3 3 49 77 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 29 30 32 32 32 30 30 31 34 5 8 9 8 33 29 31 36 8 10 11 12 21 22 Transport wind dir
TWS 8 6 3 3 3 5 7 9 9 6 3 4 4 3 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 8 10 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 3 2 0 0 14 50 85 56 5 3 0 0 18 64 86 63 10 5 0 0 4 27 84 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
K3S6 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 15| 27 39| 51 63| 75 87| 99 111|123 135|147 159|171 183 Forecast Hour
TXN 42| 71 36| 78 45| 82 45| 72 43| 64 41| 63 37| 68 38 45 79 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 3| 3 2| 3 3| 5 2| 6 3| 7 4| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 44| 68 38| 75 47| 77 46| 67 45| 60 45| 60 41| 65 41 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 2| 2 2| 3 2| 6 2| 6 3| 8 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 44| 42 38| 38 34| 43 44| 48 45| 47 45| 46 41| 44 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 2 3| 4 6| 3 3| 4 3| 5 3| 5 4| 4 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 44| 59 38| 63 43| 65 45| 61 45| 56 45| 56 41| 57 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 58| 1 3| 3 8| 18 37| 30 69| 78 74| 32 38| 45 47 Sky cover(%)
SSD 37| 1 3| 7 10| 24 11| 20 25| 17 20| 25 27| 30 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 18| 31 13| 31 11| 29 13| 28 17| 23 20| 27 10| 30 12 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 9 1| 7 1| 9 0| 8 1| 7 1| 6 0| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 0| 2 1| 3 1| 2 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 1| 12 4| 9 5| 12 1| 11 5| 13 6| 11 3| 10 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 1| 2 2| 2 1| 3 3| 7 5| 4 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 17| 11 0| 0 0| 0 1| 29 40| 48 81| 68 42| 30 12 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 3| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 3| 17 41| 20 4| 5 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 6| 58| 24| 5 28 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 4 6| 4 1| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 21 14| 7 13| 12 7| 8 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 10| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 32 20| 68 75| 48 16| 29 8 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 80| 79 68| 90 107|104 98| 92 83| 89 79| 79 72| 84 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 48 0| 58 4| 48 6| 47 7| 6 0| 45 6| 16 3 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
K3S6 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 195 207|219 231|243 255 Forecast Hour
TXN 75 42| 79 45| 81 46 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 72 44| 75 46| 77 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43 39| 43 40| 45 41 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 6 5| 7 5| 6 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 62 42| 65 44| 66 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 28 11| 16 25| 32 27 Sky cover(%)
SSD 30 8| 17 21| 27 17 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 7| 31 9| 31 15 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 2| 6 1| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2| 2 2| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 6| 9 5| 9 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 4| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 12 7| 8 5| 6 5 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 8 3| 11 1| 4 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 91 87| 97 93|101 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 16 16| 33 20| 32 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
K3S6 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1900 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 17| 29 41| 53 65| 77 89|101 113|125 137|149 161|173 185|197 209|221 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 42| 71 37| 78 45| 82 45| 72 43| 64 41| 63 37| 68 38| 75 42| 75 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 3 2| 3 3| 5 2| 6 3| 7 4| 8 5| 9 5| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 39| 69 34| 75 42| 78 42| 66 40| 56 37| 55 33| 58 33| 64 36| 64 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 40| 70 35| 76 43| 80 44| 69 41| 59 41| 58 35| 62 35| 67 37| 67 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 41| 71 36| 78 45| 82 45| 73 43| 65 42| 63 36| 67 37| 74 42| 74 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 44| 72 37| 80 47| 84 47| 76 44| 69 43| 67 41| 74 42| 81 45| 81 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 45| 73 42| 81 47| 85 48| 78 46| 72 44| 72 43| 78 44| 85 48| 85 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 7 0| 5 0| 7 0| 5 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 8 0| 6 0| 8 0| 6 0| 4 1| 5 0| 4 0| 4 0| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 8 1| 7 2| 8 0| 7 1| 7 1| 6 1| 6 1| 6 2| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 0| 9 1| 7 2| 9 0| 9 2| 8 2| 8 2| 8 2| 7 3| 7 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 0| 10 2| 8 3| 10 1| 10 3| 11 3| 9 2| 9 3| 9 4| 8 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 22| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 76| 26| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 15| 101| 70| 9| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 16| 0| 0| 48| 129| 110| 45| 19| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 017|014 017|010 012|007 012|009 013|010 012|010 013|011 012|010 012|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|014 018|011 013|008 014|010 015|011 013|012 016|012 015|012 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|015 019|012 013|009 015|011 016|013 016|014 018|014 017|014 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|016 020|013 014|010 015|013 017|015 019|016 019|016 020|016 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|016 020|014 016|011 016|014 019|016 020|018 023|018 021|017 020|016 90th percentile MSLP(mb)