NBM Guidance for SILVER LAKE F S STRI (K45S)
43.1110N 121.0942W
Elevation 4485 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
K45S NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 68 73 78 80 82 83 82 81 78 74 67 62 58 55 51 48 46 44 42 41 39 40 48 56 61 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43 41 40 37 36 35 35 35 35 36 38 41 42 43 43 42 41 41 40 39 39 40 43 44 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 64 67 68 68 68 67 65 63 61 56 54 52 51 48 46 44 42 42 40 38 39 47 53 55 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5 4 4 4 6 28 23 27 20 18 24 24 25 7 9 9 10 10 10 10 18 21 14 3 5 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8 6 7 10 15 34 33 31 35 32 32 29 26 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 12 12 10 3 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 13 18 21 23 24 25 26 26 27 29 30 30 26 27 29 35 3 0 27 28 25 27 31 29 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 4 6 9 11 11 12 12 10 8 6 6 4 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 11 14 18 20 21 21 21 19 16 15 13 9 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 9 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 98 99102105107108109109109107109109107107106103102100 97 95 93 91 89 87 86 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 8 7 5 4 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 3 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 4 3 2 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB -88-88230230 60 70150100 90240220190200 70 60 50 31 17 16 17 4 15 12 18 47 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 4 3 2 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 6 8 8 7 7 7 4 3 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 6 6 6 5 3 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 4 4 5 4 2 1 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 30 48 68 85 95100102 96 77 43 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 9 21 33 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 26 26 28 29 30 29 28 28 28 29 27 25 27 26 27 27 27 26 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 11 13 17 17 18 18 18 17 15 12 10 9 7 6 4 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 7 9 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 56 69 86 89 87 78 65 52 29 11 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 20 36 52 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
K45S NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 39 77 31 79 40 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 3 3 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 82 81 67 55 46 41 48 66 74 73 59 47 39 35 43 63 74 77 64 53 47 43 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36 35 38 43 41 39 43 39 33 31 32 37 34 32 36 32 27 25 25 28 26 24 28 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 65 56 51 44 40 47 59 63 59 50 43 37 33 41 56 63 62 52 45 41 37 45 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 6 27 24 7 10 10 14 4 6 16 5 7 10 10 18 7 9 6 13 13 15 12 13 Sky cover(%)
SSD 15 31 32 6 8 8 10 4 22 30 4 5 6 7 7 15 14 5 9 9 7 7 7 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24 26 30 27 3 28 31 27 28 31 34 33 19 23 24 11 30 31 0 34 25 23 19 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 11 12 6 3 2 4 3 5 9 11 8 4 1 1 1 2 2 4 0 1 0 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 20 21 15 6 5 7 7 11 17 20 16 9 3 3 3 6 8 8 3 4 3 2 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 2 1 1 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110100 95 89 87 94 95 85 76 72 69 68 75 86 92 94 89100 99100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 3 4 4 7 6 1 0 0 1 3 4 4 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 7 6 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 60100220 70 31 17 12 70120110-88-88130160170140140120120160160120120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 1 0 2 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 7 0 0 0 0 2 4 8 9 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 95 96 8 5 5 5 9 46 78 70 7 5 4 5 7 30 63 74 5 5 4 4 3 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 26 29 28 29 27 27 26 27 29 35 36 9 18 30 28 28 27 2 3 6 11 16 Transport wind dir
TWS 17 18 12 7 4 6 5 10 13 14 13 8 4 3 2 5 8 7 7 8 5 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 87 52 2 1 0 0 20 65 86 54 5 2 0 0 16 53 83 63 19 10 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
K45S NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 39| 77 31| 79 40| 85 42| 77 37| 69 35| 66 31| 68 32 38 80 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 3 3| 3 4| 2 4| 5 4| 7 5| 7 6| 7 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 41| 73 35| 77 43| 82 44| 72 41| 65 41| 63 37| 67 37 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 2| 6 3| 8 4| 8 6| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 39| 31 32| 25 24| 30 34| 37 37| 39 38| 38 36| 36 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 4 3| 4 4| 4 4| 7 5| 7 5| 7 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 40| 59 33| 62 37| 65 40| 60 39| 56 39| 55 36| 57 36 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 10| 16 10| 6 12| 23 47| 33 63| 73 77| 46 44| 36 39 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8| 30 7| 5 7| 23 27| 23 22| 27 16| 30 31| 23 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28| 31 23| 31 23| 23 22| 25 22| 25 23| 26 24| 30 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4| 11 1| 4 1| 9 5| 12 9| 12 12| 11 3| 8 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 2 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 3| 3 4| 3 3| 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7| 20 3| 8 2| 17 8| 22 15| 25 20| 22 7| 16 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 3| 4 5| 5 8| 5 5| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 25 24| 21 51| 46 33| 23 16 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 5| 0 8| 10 7| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 7| 8| 17| 3 9 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 0 3| 3 3| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 2| 1 1| 0 1| 2 2| 18 11| 5 8| 11 8| 12 8 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 23 13| 32 44| 37 19| 12 15 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 95| 95 69| 92 99|108 99| 99 86| 93 86| 87 74| 87 82 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 53 2| 54 7| 49 6| 48 6| 24 2| 25 3| 48 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
K45S NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 72 35| 76 39| 80 41 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 9 6| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 71 39| 75 41| 78 44 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35 33| 34 34| 34 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 6| 7 7| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 37| 61 39| 64 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 19 28| 29 37| 21 35 Sky cover(%)
SSD 10 21| 32 25| 10 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 21 25| 31 33| 30 24 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 1| 6 2| 7 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 2| 3 2| 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 4| 13 3| 13 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 4| 5 3| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 17 4| 5 10| 4 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 2 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 2| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 12 0| 9 1| 2 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 93 84| 98 94|105 102 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 18| 30 15| 30 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
K45S NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 39| 77 31| 79 40| 85 42| 77 37| 69 35| 66 31| 68 32| 72 35| 72 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 3| 3 4| 2 4| 4 4| 6 4| 7 6| 7 6| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 36| 73 28| 76 35| 82 37| 72 32| 59 31| 57 24| 59 25| 61 28| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 37| 75 29| 78 36| 84 39| 75 36| 65 33| 61 27| 62 29| 66 30| 66 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 38| 77 30| 80 38| 85 41| 79 37| 68 35| 65 30| 67 32| 71 36| 71 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 43| 79 33| 81 45| 86 46| 81 40| 73 38| 70 35| 72 36| 80 39| 80 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 44| 80 37| 82 46| 87 47| 82 43| 79 41| 78 41| 79 40| 83 43| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 9 0| 3 0| 7 3| 8 4| 8 4| 6 1| 4 0| 4 0| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 3| 10 1| 3 0| 8 4| 9 6| 10 6| 8 2| 5 1| 5 1| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 4| 11 1| 4 1| 8 5| 10 8| 11 9| 10 3| 8 3| 7 2| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 4| 12 2| 5 1| 9 6| 12 10| 12 12| 12 6| 10 4| 10 4| 8 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 5| 12 3| 5 2| 10 8| 13 12| 15 14| 13 9| 12 7| 11 5| 10 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 10 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 13 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 13 | 11 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 22 | 16 | 15 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 33 | 30 | 25 | 24 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 27 | 31 | 38 | 35 | 28 | 29 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 2| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 10| 18| 37| 7| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 17| 44| 70| 37| 13| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 015|010 017|009 011|005 011|007 013|007 011|008 013|008 012|008 013|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|011 018|010 012|006 012|008 014|010 013|011 014|010 015|011 015|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|012 019|011 013|007 013|009 015|011 015|012 017|013 018|013 018|012 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|012 019|012 015|008 014|010 016|013 018|014 018|014 020|015 019|014 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 017|013 020|012 016|008 016|011 017|014 019|015 022|017 022|017 022|016 90th percentile MSLP(mb)