NBM Guidance for JOHN DAY STATE ARPT (K5J0)
44.4000N 118.9700W
Elevation 3665 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 60 63 66 68 70 71 71 70 68 65 61 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 45 43 42 42 46 51 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 37 36 35 34 32 30 29 28 26 26 28 29 31 32 33 33 33 32 32 32 32 33 33 30 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54 56 58 59 61 59 58 57 56 53 50 49 48 47 45 44 43 41 41 40 38 40 43 46 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 9 17 8 7 32 47 62 54 18 5 8 9 7 5 8 11 9 6 7 5 11 25 4 3 5 Sky cover(%)
SSD 14 28 12 8 30 29 30 44 24 5 8 7 6 5 7 9 8 5 5 5 8 29 3 3 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28 28 29 29 29 28 29 30 31 32 31 30 28 27 27 25 22 19 17 16 13 12 11 12 9 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 10 10 10 11 12 12 13 12 11 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 15 16 16 17 20 20 20 19 18 16 15 14 11 8 6 4 4 4 5 5 4 5 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 85 84 85 86 87 86 86 85 83 79 76 75 75 74 73 72 71 70 69 68 68 67 67 68 68 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88200-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 70 60120180210200190140140 47 47 47 34 80 21 20 17 14 13 9 60 60 60200210 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 38 49 56 61 66 68 66 63 59 35 13 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 10 18 24 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 27 27 27 27 28 28 29 31 32 32 32 34 33 32 32 32 30 28 24 23 15 18 29 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 11 13 14 13 15 15 15 14 14 14 11 10 10 7 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 55 68 83 86 83 74 60 44 26 9 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 20 38 53 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 42 77 47 88 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 2 4 2 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 70 61 54 48 43 46 60 72 76 66 58 53 49 54 73 84 87 74 66 61 56 58 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 34 29 26 31 33 32 33 30 23 21 24 26 25 23 24 26 25 25 26 29 29 28 30 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 57 50 47 43 40 43 53 61 60 53 48 44 41 46 61 68 68 58 54 51 48 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 32 54 8 5 9 5 4 1 17 8 10 7 7 6 1 1 10 19 53 52 56 53 51 Sky cover(%)
SSD 30 44 8 5 8 5 3 14 27 22 7 6 5 5 1 4 9 24 27 27 33 20 14 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 30 31 27 22 16 11 32 30 28 34 10 10 9 11 14 18 20 11 12 14 17 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 11 13 9 6 2 3 3 2 4 5 1 4 5 6 5 3 6 8 5 5 3 3 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 17 20 16 11 4 5 5 5 9 9 4 7 8 8 8 7 13 15 9 10 6 5 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 0 1 1 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87 85 76 74 71 68 67 70 79 84 86 87 90 87 88 98100110110110110110110 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 210140 47 80 17 9 60120100210170110130130180190190180120120110120110 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 66 63 13 5 4 4 10 30 51 56 3 4 4 4 3 46109117 5 5 3 4 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 29 32 33 32 24 18 27 28 28 35 8 12 12 12 18 19 19 10 13 14 20 22 Transport wind dir
TWS 15 14 11 7 5 4 3 5 8 8 7 5 5 6 5 8 13 12 9 6 5 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 83 44 3 1 0 0 20 65 83 49 4 2 0 0 16 53 83 58 15 8 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 42| 77 47| 88 55| 84 51| 73 50| 70 44| 71 45| 75 45 46 82 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4| 2 4| 2 4| 4 4| 7 4| 8 6| 9 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 43| 76 49| 87 56| 81 52| 69 53| 67 48| 69 49| 73 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 1 3| 1 2| 5 2| 8 3| 8 5| 9 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 32| 21 23| 25 28| 30 40| 36 40| 37 38| 36 39| 36 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 3 2| 2 4| 7 5| 8 7| 7 6| 7 6| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 40| 60 41| 68 48| 64 48| 58 48| 57 44| 58 46| 61 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5| 8 6| 19 53| 42 69| 82 80| 56 59| 51 52| 41 35 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5| 22 5| 24 20| 21 21| 12 13| 19 30| 20 24| 29 21 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 16| 28 9| 20 17| 26 18| 23 21| 27 15| 33 15| 27 16 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3| 5 6| 8 3| 11 6| 10 8| 6 4| 6 4| 7 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 3 2| 4 3| 4 3| 3 3| 4 3| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5| 9 8| 15 5| 20 8| 19 11| 13 6| 12 6| 14 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 1| 4 2| 6 3| 6 5| 5 3| 6 3| 6 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 6 28| 32 57| 51 37| 33 24| 28 24 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 1 9| 11 4| 3 0| 4 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 1| 10| 15| 3| 4 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 3| 3 1| 1 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 0 1| 1 2| 10 10| 9 15| 18 11| 8 6| 12 10 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 15 16| 40 49| 40 29| 27 22| 35 17 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 68| 84 87|106 107|103 90| 92 85| 87 80| 89 86| 93 87 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 52 1| 53 6| 42 4| 35 2| 44 5| 44 2| 4 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 75 46| 79 49| 81 50 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 6| 8 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 73 49| 77 52| 78 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 8 5| 8 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36 37| 34 38| 37 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 6 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 45| 63 47| 64 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 27 39| 31 24| 23 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 23 32| 28 12| 11 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 16| 28 15| 28 14 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 4| 7 4| 8 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 2| 3 3| 4 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 13 6| 13 6| 15 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 2| 5 3| 6 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 19 12| 9 7| 6 12 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 15 4| 6 6| 9 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94 89| 98 97|105 101 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 14 15| 21 8| 24 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 43| 77 47| 88 55| 84 51| 73 50| 70 44| 71 45| 75 45| 75 46| 75 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 2 4| 2 4| 4 4| 7 4| 8 6| 9 6| 9 6| 9 6| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 38| 75 42| 86 50| 79 45| 65 45| 61 37| 60 39| 64 38| 64 38| 64 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 39| 76 44| 87 52| 81 48| 70 47| 64 40| 65 40| 68 41| 68 40| 68 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 41| 77 45| 89 54| 84 50| 73 50| 68 43| 69 46| 74 45| 73 47| 73 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 48| 79 52| 90 59| 87 54| 78 52| 75 48| 76 50| 83 50| 83 50| 83 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 50| 80 53| 91 60| 88 56| 83 54| 81 52| 84 54| 87 53| 86 53| 86 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 3 4| 3 1| 4 2| 4 3| 3 1| 2 2| 3 1| 3 2| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 4 5| 6 2| 7 3| 6 4| 4 2| 4 2| 5 2| 5 3| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 3| 5 6| 8 3| 10 5| 9 7| 6 4| 6 4| 7 4| 7 4| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 4| 6 6| 9 4| 12 8| 11 9| 9 6| 8 6| 10 6| 9 6| 9 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 4| 6 7| 11 6| 15 10| 12 11| 11 10| 11 8| 12 9| 12 7| 11 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 21 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 23 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 15 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 25 | 13 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 27 | 14 | 21 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 23 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 28 | 15 | 24 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 26 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 4| 9| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 2| 35| 39| 10| 9| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 4| 63| 66| 40| 54| 22| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|011 013|004 008|003 011|007 010|008 012|008 012|007 011|009 012|006 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|012 014|004 009|004 012|008 012|009 014|010 014|010 015|011 015|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|012 014|005 010|006 014|009 014|011 015|013 017|013 017|013 018|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|013 015|006 012|007 015|011 015|012 018|015 019|015 019|016 020|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|013 016|007 013|008 016|013 016|014 019|016 021|017 022|017 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)