NBM Guidance for JOHN DAY STATE ARPT (K5J0)
44.4000N 118.9700W
Elevation 3665 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 67 72 77 80 83 84 85 84 83 79 74 70 67 65 62 60 58 56 54 52 50 50 54 57 60 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 41 40 39 38 38 36 34 33 33 34 37 37 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 39 39 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 58 63 68 69 70 69 68 67 66 63 60 58 56 56 54 52 51 50 48 47 46 46 50 52 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5 3 3 8 2 12 32 42 57 62 60 53 49 28 23 21 12 5 6 6 14 20 19 8 13 Sky cover(%)
SSD 6 6 3 9 3 28 35 36 30 18 29 35 40 33 30 26 14 5 6 5 12 25 29 28 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 30 29 29 29 29 29 27 30 32 30 28 27 27 27 26 25 24 23 22 22 23 26 27 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 4 5 7 8 8 9 10 9 8 9 8 7 7 6 5 3 3 2 1 2 2 4 7 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4 6 9 12 14 15 16 17 17 17 14 16 13 11 11 10 8 6 5 4 3 3 4 8 11 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 109109109111111113113112112112112112111109107106105103101 99 97 94 91 90 89 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88130130130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 150-88-88-88130210100100 80120130200130200200 90 90 90 32 45 44 36 22 26 39 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 20 32 47 72 88103105 95 73 26 12 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 15 25 35 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 23 23 24 23 24 24 25 27 34 33 32 31 30 28 28 28 28 28 27 29 29 28 28 26 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 7 9 12 13 15 15 15 13 13 13 10 9 8 9 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 7 10 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 55 68 83 86 83 76 63 47 24 8 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 21 37 51 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 50 75 42 77 47 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 3 4 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 83 84 74 65 58 52 54 63 71 71 63 55 49 44 47 61 72 76 65 58 54 50 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 33 37 38 38 38 39 38 35 31 27 32 33 32 33 30 24 22 25 27 26 25 26 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 70 67 60 56 51 47 50 57 61 58 51 48 44 40 43 54 62 61 53 49 46 43 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 2 42 60 28 12 6 19 0 17 26 22 6 8 36 9 3 14 6 16 15 11 7 1 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3 36 29 33 14 5 29 0 24 24 31 5 6 36 13 4 12 14 11 12 7 7 2 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 27 30 27 25 22 26 28 29 30 31 29 24 21 19 28 30 31 35 9 12 12 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 9 8 7 5 2 2 8 10 14 10 7 2 3 3 2 4 5 2 3 4 5 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 3 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 17 14 11 8 4 4 14 17 21 17 12 4 5 5 5 9 9 5 6 7 7 8 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 4 4 4 3 1 2 3 3 3 4 4 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 1 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 2 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 4 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 2 1 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110110 99 91 88 89 90 83 75 69 68 68 71 79 85 87 88 91 91 92 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 130100130200 90 45 22 42180130120 11 60 60 90190150110120100100110190 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 88 95 12 5 4 4 15 44 65 66 16 6 4 4 14 32 55 59 2 4 3 4 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 25 33 30 28 27 28 26 27 28 33 33 30 27 26 27 28 29 34 5 10 11 12 Transport wind dir
TWS 13 15 13 8 6 5 5 10 14 14 12 7 5 5 5 7 10 10 8 5 4 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 83 47 2 1 0 0 21 64 82 45 4 2 0 0 12 52 83 58 16 8 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 50| 75 42| 77 47| 89 54| 84 50| 76 47| 69 43| 70 43 47 82 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 3 4| 3 4| 2 4| 3 4| 7 5| 8 6| 9 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 52| 71 44| 76 50| 87 55| 80 52| 72 52| 66 47| 68 47 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 3 2| 2 2| 1 3| 6 3| 8 4| 9 5| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38| 31 32| 22 25| 25 31| 30 40| 33 39| 36 38| 35 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 3| 4 3| 2 5| 7 7| 8 7| 8 5| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 47| 58 40| 61 43| 68 47| 64 48| 59 47| 56 44| 57 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 6| 26 36| 6 7| 17 39| 42 45| 71 78| 54 58| 37 31 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5| 24 36| 14 7| 17 28| 19 22| 21 17| 21 24| 15 23 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22| 30 21| 31 12| 21 18| 26 18| 26 20| 28 25| 31 14 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 14 3| 5 5| 7 2| 11 6| 11 7| 8 5| 7 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 2 1| 1 2| 3 2| 3 3| 4 4| 4 3| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 21 5| 9 7| 14 4| 19 8| 21 11| 16 7| 13 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 3 1| 2 1| 4 2| 5 3| 6 5| 6 3| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| 8 17| 25 49| 55 38| 33 25 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 9| 9 3| 6 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 12| 12| 6 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 3| 3 1| 2 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 2 1| 0 1| 2 3| 7 9| 6 8| 10 10| 15 10 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 15 12| 33 49| 39 21| 24 10 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 99| 90 68| 85 91|108 106|104 90| 94 84| 86 75| 85 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 51 1| 52 6| 48 6| 45 4| 28 0| 23 4| 46 3 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 74 45| 78 48| 82 50 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 6| 9 5| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 72 48| 76 50| 79 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 4| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 34 35| 33 36| 34 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 7 7| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 43| 63 45| 64 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 34 19| 23 30| 20 26 Sky cover(%)
SSD 26 12| 16 25| 3 5 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 14| 29 14| 30 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 4| 6 4| 6 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 3| 3 2| 4 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 7| 11 6| 11 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 3| 5 3| 6 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 19 10| 7 10| 6 5 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 17 1| 8 5| 4 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 84| 98 92|103 98 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 18 16| 31 17| 30 16 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
K5J0 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 52| 75 42| 77 47| 89 54| 84 50| 76 47| 69 43| 70 43| 74 45| 74 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 4| 3 4| 3 4| 3 4| 7 5| 8 6| 9 7| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 48| 71 37| 73 42| 86 48| 81 46| 68 41| 60 36| 59 36| 63 37| 63 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 49| 73 39| 75 44| 87 50| 82 48| 70 44| 63 38| 63 38| 67 39| 67 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 51| 74 41| 78 46| 89 53| 84 50| 75 48| 67 41| 68 41| 73 46| 73 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 55| 76 43| 80 52| 91 57| 87 53| 82 50| 73 47| 75 48| 81 49| 81 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 57| 79 49| 81 53| 91 59| 88 55| 85 53| 83 51| 84 51| 85 52| 85 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 10 2| 3 3| 4 1| 5 2| 5 2| 2 1| 3 2| 2 2| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 12 2| 4 4| 5 2| 7 4| 7 3| 6 3| 5 3| 3 2| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 13 3| 5 5| 7 3| 10 5| 10 6| 8 4| 7 4| 5 4| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 14 4| 6 6| 9 4| 12 7| 13 9| 11 7| 10 5| 9 6| 9 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 4| 15 4| 7 7| 11 5| 14 9| 15 12| 13 10| 11 7| 11 8| 10 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 18 | 21 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 20 | 24 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 23 | 26 | 13 | 19 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 20 | 16 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 25 | 28 | 15 | 22 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 22 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 27 | 29 | 16 | 24 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 28 | 27 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 5| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 20| 38| 13| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 1| 50| 70| 49| 18| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 014|009 017|010 012|004 009|004 012|006 011|008 012|009 012|009 013|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 015|011 018|011 013|005 011|006 012|008 012|010 014|011 015|011 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 015|012 019|012 015|006 012|007 014|010 014|012 016|014 018|014 018|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 016|013 020|013 016|007 013|008 015|012 017|014 018|015 020|016 021|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 016|013 020|014 017|008 014|010 016|014 019|015 021|018 023|018 023|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)