NBM Guidance for KELSEY BUTTE (KBFO3)
43.9011N 117.9871W
Elevation 5344 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KBFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 70 74 77 78 80 81 81 80 78 75 72 68 67 66 64 62 61 59 59 57 56 56 61 63 66 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 41 41 39 37 36 34 32 31 30 30 29 30 32 34 34 35 35 35 34 34 34 33 35 35 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 63 65 65 66 65 64 64 62 61 57 56 56 54 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 49 52 55 56 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 64 63 66 82 81 80 86 76 76 83 89 81 84 54 62 49 28 17 16 14 23 22 8 7 3 Sky cover(%)
SSD 29 26 26 15 16 20 14 19 19 13 9 24 8 35 31 34 27 15 16 16 17 13 8 8 3 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 20 21 21 22 23 23 23 24 23 22 23 33 32 30 28 26 27 26 27 26 26 26 26 25 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 10 8 5 3 4 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 10 11 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 14 16 19 21 23 23 22 19 13 9 10 12 14 13 12 13 12 12 10 11 11 13 16 19 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 7 6 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 2 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 112113112114114114114113115115113113112111110111110110108107106105105103102 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130130130200130130130130210130130130130-88230-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 110110120150130130130130170100100 90110170160110140100 90 90 90 90 70 50 41 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 23 35 49 70 87 94 97 96 84 17 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 11 20 34 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 21 21 22 22 22 23 23 24 25 25 23 35 35 34 31 29 28 27 27 27 27 27 26 26 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 7 10 14 17 19 19 18 14 7 5 5 9 11 11 10 9 10 10 9 9 8 9 10 12 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 52 62 73 76 76 70 56 42 19 6 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 22 39 53 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KBFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 56 75 47 72 52 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5 2 4 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 80 80 72 66 61 57 61 69 74 73 62 55 51 48 51 61 69 72 61 55 54 53 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36 31 29 34 35 34 35 36 34 26 27 29 28 28 30 27 22 18 18 22 20 19 21 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 5 5 5 4 3 2 3 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 66 64 57 54 52 49 52 60 62 58 51 47 44 43 45 53 58 57 49 46 45 44 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 81 76 89 54 28 14 8 1 0 18 20 25 9 10 3 1 17 13 11 6 10 7 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 16 19 9 35 27 16 8 2 0 21 19 34 8 7 3 2 26 24 9 5 7 6 3 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 23 22 32 26 27 26 24 24 28 33 34 32 27 27 25 24 23 32 1 34 33 3 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 10 10 3 7 7 6 7 12 14 14 12 10 6 4 5 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 21 22 9 14 13 10 13 21 26 26 23 18 10 8 9 12 15 14 9 7 6 4 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 6 7 4 5 3 3 2 3 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 2 1 1 2 9 11 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 2 1 14 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 1 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 2 3 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 2 2 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110110110100100100100 95 88 74 69 68 75 82 89 92 90 91 94 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130130130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 130130100170140 90 70 48 90170140 44 36 80190200170120120110140140 90 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 87 96 5 5 5 5 11 47 83 78 13 8 5 5 8 35 54 65 5 5 5 4 5 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 23 25 35 29 27 27 24 24 27 33 35 34 29 28 27 26 26 1 5 4 6 6 Transport wind dir
TWS 17 18 5 11 9 9 9 15 20 17 12 12 9 8 7 7 10 10 4 7 6 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 76 42 2 0 0 0 22 65 82 51 3 2 0 0 18 55 81 58 15 8 0 0 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KBFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 56| 75 47| 72 52| 80 58| 79 54| 71 51| 66 46| 66 47 50 78 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5| 2 4| 3 4| 3 5| 3 5| 5 6| 8 7| 9 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 57| 73 48| 72 53| 78 59| 76 55| 69 54| 65 50| 64 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 3| 2 2| 2 2| 2 3| 3 3| 6 4| 9 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 34| 26 28| 18 19| 22 24| 26 34| 31 33| 34 34| 34 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 5 3| 5 4| 3 7| 7 8| 9 8| 10 6| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 49| 58 43| 57 44| 62 48| 60 48| 56 47| 55 44| 55 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 14| 18 10| 13 7| 14 42| 30 46| 68 80| 47 62| 37 30 Sky cover(%)
SSD 16| 21 7| 24 6| 12 28| 15 28| 27 16| 21 27| 22 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27| 28 27| 23 33| 11 27| 23 25| 26 25| 26 28| 29 30 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6| 14 4| 5 2| 6 3| 13 9| 14 14| 11 5| 8 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3| 2 2| 2 1| 3 3| 4 5| 4 6| 4 5| 4 4 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10| 26 8| 14 4| 17 7| 26 14| 28 23| 24 10| 20 9 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5| 3 3| 3 1| 3 4| 5 7| 6 10| 5 7| 5 5 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 2| 1 14| 0 0| 0 0| 5 6| 6 19| 29 27| 24 11 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 2| 6 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 6| 6 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 2 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 2 2| 0 1| 1 2| 4 5| 5 6| 7 9| 11 9 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 2 3| 8 23| 19 21| 19 9 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 107|100 69| 89 94|107 109|104 93| 96 87| 91 79| 88 84 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 52 1| 53 6| 49 6| 43 5| 40 3| 22 4| 47 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KBFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 68 49| 72 53| 76 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 7 6| 8 6| 7 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 67 51| 71 54| 74 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 5| 8 5| 7 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33 32| 31 31| 32 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 9 7| 9 7| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 56 45| 58 47| 61 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 31 19| 28 34| 22 35 Sky cover(%)
SSD 21 14| 12 11| 7 15 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31 29| 24 28| 28 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 3| 6 3| 7 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 3| 3 3| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 17 6| 17 6| 18 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 5| 4 4| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 8 5| 4 7| 4 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 3| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 3| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 9 1| 3 3| 3 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94 89| 98 94|102 101 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 18| 33 16| 32 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KBFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 58| 75 47| 72 52| 80 58| 79 54| 71 51| 66 46| 66 47| 68 49| 68 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 5| 2 4| 3 4| 3 5| 3 5| 5 6| 8 7| 9 7| 7 6| 7 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 53| 73 41| 70 48| 76 52| 75 49| 64 43| 57 38| 55 39| 60 42| 60 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 54| 74 44| 71 50| 78 54| 77 51| 67 47| 61 41| 60 42| 63 45| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 58| 75 47| 72 51| 80 57| 79 53| 71 51| 66 44| 64 46| 68 49| 68 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 63| 76 51| 74 57| 82 64| 81 57| 76 54| 71 50| 70 50| 72 53| 72 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 65| 77 53| 75 58| 83 65| 82 62| 78 59| 78 57| 78 57| 78 58| 78 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 3| 11 2| 3 1| 4 1| 7 3| 7 2| 5 2| 4 2| 3 1| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 4| 12 3| 4 1| 5 2| 9 5| 10 4| 8 3| 6 3| 4 2| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 6| 14 5| 5 2| 6 3| 12 7| 13 8| 10 5| 8 5| 6 3| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 8| 15 6| 6 3| 8 6| 14 11| 15 15| 13 8| 11 7| 9 6| 9 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 11| 16 7| 8 3| 10 7| 17 15| 18 17| 15 14| 13 10| 12 8| 12 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 15 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 12 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 17 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 17 | 16 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 19 | 23 | 13 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 21 | 19 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 22 | 28 | 15 | 17 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 19 | 15 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 24 | 30 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 22 | 18 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 26 | 32 | 18 | 22 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 27 | 23 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 30 | 33 | 20 | 24 | 35 | 37 | 33 | 30 | 27 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 32 | 35 | 23 | 26 | 38 | 39 | 39 | 32 | 31 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 15| 4| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 12| 0| 0| 0| 6| 56| 24| 4| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 011|007 014|010 012|004 008|005 010|006 010|007 010|007 010|007 010|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 012|008 016|011 013|006 009|006 011|008 011|009 012|010 013|010 013|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 012|009 017|012 014|007 010|007 012|009 013|011 014|012 016|014 016|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 013|010 018|013 015|008 011|008 014|012 015|013 016|014 019|016 020|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 013|011 018|013 017|010 013|010 015|013 017|014 020|016 022|018 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)