NBM Guidance for JOSEPH STATE (KJSY)
45.3596N 117.2538W
Elevation 4085 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KJSY NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
UTC 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Time (PDT)
TMP 61 66 71 75 78 80 82 83 83 82 78 73 67 61 58 55 54 52 50 48 48 47 46 49 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 44 45 43 42 41 41 41 40 39 40 42 43 46 47 47 47 47 46 46 45 44 43 43 43 43 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 55 59 62 65 67 69 70 70 68 67 65 62 59 55 53 51 50 49 48 46 46 46 44 47 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 75 55 48 55 59 52 29 27 19 11 6 8 10 6 8 8 15 16 20 30 42 52 55 43 45 Sky cover(%)
SSD 21 30 33 25 23 25 31 35 28 16 9 7 8 6 8 7 25 30 31 31 37 34 33 37 40 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 36 35 34 33 32 32 32 33 32 33 32 32 30 32 28 21 18 16 17 17 15 15 14 14 6 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1 2 4 5 6 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3 4 7 9 12 14 14 14 15 16 15 13 11 10 6 7 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 2 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 117115113110109109112115117118119119118117114113113113113113113112112110110 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 240-88-88-88130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 190180210140130190210180 90180150150210140 27 26 29 90140140140190160200230 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 6 14 21 34 46 60 72 81 78 59 34 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 14 16 20 22 23 23 24 23 24 26 30 32 31 31 31 30 30 29 26 26 23 21 19 18 24 Transport wind dir
TWS 3 4 5 9 12 13 13 14 12 11 9 8 8 7 7 6 5 6 5 5 4 3 4 4 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 20 40 55 66 78 81 78 68 59 45 22 7 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 22 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KJSY NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
DT /AUG 27/AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 46 80 43 72 36 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 4 2 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 75 82 82 67 55 50 47 56 70 77 77 64 54 49 44 50 63 69 67 55 45 40 36 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 42 41 40 46 47 46 43 43 42 42 41 45 45 44 43 43 41 39 37 36 36 35 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 5 4 4 4 6 4 6 7 8 6 5 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 65 70 67 59 51 48 46 52 63 68 65 57 51 47 44 48 58 61 57 48 42 38 35 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 55 29 11 10 8 20 52 45 12 20 53 71 56 24 13 18 12 27 46 43 41 26 17 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25 31 16 8 7 31 34 40 34 36 19 37 39 26 9 15 15 29 25 23 31 18 13 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33 32 33 30 21 17 15 6 34 26 26 29 24 23 23 30 33 32 32 32 28 26 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 7 6 5 3 1 1 1 2 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 4 7 8 6 3 2 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 4 2 2 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 14 16 11 7 3 2 3 6 12 11 7 5 3 3 4 10 15 16 14 6 4 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 4 4 3 1 1 1 2 3 5 3 4 3 2 1 4 5 6 5 5 3 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 2 1 1 5 34 23 6 23 21 9 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 2 2 34 26 24 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 7 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 2 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 4 4 2 1 0 0 0 3 7 8 6 4 2 2 2 4 8 5 3 1 1 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 4 4 1 0 9 13 6 3 10 7 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 4 9 13 10 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 31 18 15 15 4 19 27 35 15 15 3 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110120120110110110110110110120120120110100 98100 98 98 90 80 75 71 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 140210180210 26140190230210200 90 70 45 32 23 50 50 50 44 46 25 90120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 34 72 59 5 5 5 5 6 28 70 53 4 5 5 5 12 48 61 34 6 5 5 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 24 26 31 30 26 21 24 22 23 21 32 30 29 27 28 22 27 32 32 30 28 25 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 13 11 8 6 5 3 3 6 14 12 6 6 5 5 4 8 11 10 9 7 6 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 66 78 45 3 1 0 0 22 60 74 33 2 1 0 0 18 53 53 38 4 2 0 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KJSY NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 22| 34 46| 58 70| 82 94|106 118|130 142|154 166|178 190 Forecast Hour
TXN 46| 80 43| 72 36| 70 40| 80 45| 78 43| 72 41| 69 39 41 77 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 4| 2 4| 6 5| 5 4| 5 4| 7 4| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 47| 77 44| 67 36| 69 40| 79 45| 75 43| 70 41| 67 40 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 3 3| 3 2| 6 3| 4 4| 5 4| 8 4| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43| 41 43| 37 34| 29 31| 30 34| 35 38| 36 39| 37 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 4 4| 7 5| 5 4| 4 5| 6 5| 7 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 65 44| 57 35| 57 37| 64 41| 61 41| 58 41| 57 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 52| 53 13| 46 17| 13 16| 23 50| 60 45| 63 50| 53 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 34| 19 9| 25 13| 22 25| 22 32| 20 25| 24 25| 31 21 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 15| 26 23| 32 23| 32 18| 20 23| 30 23| 25 23| 30 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 4 1| 8 1| 2 3| 4 2| 7 2| 6 1| 6 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 3 2| 4 1| 2 2| 3 2| 4 2| 4 3| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 2| 11 3| 16 3| 8 5| 11 3| 17 4| 15 3| 16 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 5 2| 6 2| 3 2| 5 3| 7 3| 7 4| 6 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 2| 2 34| 26 24| 9 2| 0 1| 7 16| 24 31| 34 31 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 7| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 0| 5 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 7| 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 5 21 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 4| 9 13| 10 7| 1 2| 2 3| 8 9| 7 6| 11 9 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 8 15| 35 3| 2 0| 0 2| 20 12| 34 27| 28 28 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 112|120 104| 98 71| 90 91|106 106|105 94| 96 91| 95 87 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 45 0| 41 2| 49 6| 48 4| 42 1| 38 3| 30 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KJSY NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 202 214|226 238|250 262 Forecast Hour
TXN 69 38| 71 41| 73 42 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 7| 10 7| 9 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 67 39| 70 41| 71 42 Temperature(F)
TSD 10 6| 10 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 37| 36 38| 38 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 8 7| 7 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 38| 59 40| 60 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 34 26| 39 28| 30 27 Sky cover(%)
SSD 22 19| 30 15| 10 13 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 25| 32 29| 32 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 2| 3 1| 4 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 2| 3 2| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 4| 10 3| 10 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 3| 5 2| 4 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 35 30| 24 25| 20 17 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 3| 3 6| 5 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 3| 9| 5 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 1| 1 2| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 33 20| 19 13| 20 14 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 93 86| 94 89| 98 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 18| 29 13| 29 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KJSY NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 47| 80 46| 72 37| 70 41| 80 46| 78 43| 72 41| 69 39| 69 38| 69 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 4| 2 4| 6 4| 5 4| 5 4| 7 4| 9 6| 10 7| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 44| 77 42| 68 32| 63 34| 73 41| 73 37| 64 35| 58 32| 56 29| 56 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 45| 78 43| 70 34| 68 38| 79 44| 75 41| 67 38| 62 35| 60 33| 60 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 46| 80 46| 72 37| 71 41| 81 46| 78 43| 72 41| 67 38| 68 38| 68 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 50| 81 49| 73 41| 74 44| 84 49| 81 46| 77 44| 77 43| 76 43| 76 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 51| 82 52| 74 42| 76 46| 85 51| 84 48| 81 47| 81 48| 83 47| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 2 0| 2 0| 1 1| 2 0| 3 0| 2 0| 2 0| 2 0| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 3 0| 4 0| 2 2| 3 1| 4 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 1| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 4 2| 8 1| 3 3| 4 2| 6 2| 6 2| 5 2| 4 2| 4 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 1| 6 3| 10 2| 3 4| 7 3| 9 4| 8 3| 9 3| 6 3| 6 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 8 4| 12 2| 5 5| 10 6| 12 6| 11 6| 10 5| 9 6| 9 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 14 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 21 | 17 | 23 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 16 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 24 | 20 | 25 | 15 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 21 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 17 | 26 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 27 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 3| 7| 0| 0| 0| 10| 26| 27| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 18| 22| 0| 0| 4| 71| 84| 77| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 015|009 013|010 015|010 011|004 008|005 013|009 012|009 012|011 013|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|010 014|010 016|011 012|006 010|007 014|011 015|012 014|012 016|013 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|010 015|012 018|013 014|008 012|009 016|013 017|014 018|015 019|015 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|011 015|012 019|015 018|010 014|011 017|015 020|016 020|018 021|018 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 017|012 016|013 020|016 020|012 016|012 018|016 021|019 023|019 024|019 90th percentile MSLP(mb)