NBM Guidance for MEDFORD (KMFR)
42.3750N 122.8770W
Elevation 1293 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KMFR NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 65 69 73 77 81 84 86 88 88 87 84 80 77 73 70 68 65 63 60 59 57 56 55 59 63 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 54 54 54 52 49 47 45 44 43 43 42 42 42 43 44 46 47 47 47 47 48 48 48 49 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 62 64 69 72 73 74 75 74 73 71 69 66 64 61 60 59 58 56 55 54 54 52 53 55 59 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 37 29 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 10 13 16 28 Sky cover(%)
SSD 34 28 6 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 7 2 2 29 28 28 32 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 32 32 33 32 32 31 30 30 32 33 32 31 30 29 29 0 6 36 32 9 12 6 36 33 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0 0 3 4 6 8 9 9 9 9 8 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3 3 4 6 8 11 13 13 13 13 10 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 102102102101100100101102102102101100 99 97 96 95 95 93 92 91 90 89 88 87 86 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 90 90 90130-88-88-88-88-88 50 50 50 50 45-88-88-88 21 14 14 14 23 22 19 20 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 2 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 18 25 29 35 44 48 53 59 61 56 36 11 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 8 16 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 29 29 30 28 27 28 28 28 29 31 34 34 33 32 31 30 30 28 27 27 26 26 24 30 34 Transport wind dir
TWS 2 2 3 4 6 8 9 9 9 9 11 10 8 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 33 50 65 82 86 86 80 69 54 32 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 17 33 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KMFR NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 55 89 52 84 51 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 3 3 4 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 84 88 80 70 63 57 59 71 82 86 78 69 61 55 55 67 77 81 73 65 57 51 53 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 49 44 42 43 47 47 48 50 47 44 44 45 47 46 47 47 43 39 37 37 41 41 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 4 3 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 2 3 4 3 4 3 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 74 73 66 60 56 54 55 66 73 72 65 59 56 52 53 62 69 67 61 55 51 48 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 2 1 2 2 3 16 19 2 2 3 1 6 12 25 8 8 12 2 1 4 5 4 Sky cover(%)
SSD 1 2 1 2 2 2 28 29 13 2 5 2 9 20 34 25 19 16 2 4 21 10 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 30 32 29 6 9 36 33 31 31 33 32 32 32 31 32 32 33 33 33 36 9 6 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 9 6 5 3 0 0 4 7 11 8 8 6 3 0 4 8 12 8 5 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 13 8 7 5 3 3 5 10 16 11 10 7 4 4 6 10 17 10 6 3 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 2 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 2 1 1 1 3 3 4 3 2 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 0 1 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 100100100 96 93 90 87 86 91 98 97 94 91 88 84 86 84 79 81 83 79 77 76 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB -88-88 50-88 21 14 19 70260260 70-88 30 17 19170230220230240220230210 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90 80100100100100100100100 80 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 48 61 11 4 4 4 8 25 47 61 16 6 4 4 9 32 56 60 12 4 4 4 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 28 29 34 31 28 26 30 31 28 29 33 31 29 29 31 35 31 33 34 32 34 24 33 Transport wind dir
TWS 8 9 10 6 4 3 2 4 7 11 10 8 6 3 2 4 8 12 10 6 4 3 2 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 86 54 4 2 0 0 17 62 86 56 5 3 0 0 6 50 83 61 21 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KMFR NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 55| 89 52| 84 51| 89 54| 90 55| 84 52| 82 52| 82 51 50 87 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 3 3| 4 4| 4 4| 3 3| 5 4| 7 3| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 57| 86 55| 81 51| 86 55| 87 56| 81 55| 80 56| 80 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 1| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 6 2| 7 3| 8 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 47| 44 46| 39 41| 34 38| 38 43| 42 45| 41 44| 42 44 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 3 2| 4 2| 4 3| 4 3| 5 3| 6 5| 6 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54| 72 52| 67 48| 69 49| 71 51| 68 52| 67 51| 67 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3| 2 12| 12 5| 7 10| 29 31| 30 44| 29 29| 14 26 Sky cover(%)
SSD 2| 2 20| 16 10| 28 9| 23 28| 27 25| 22 26| 11 16 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 9| 31 32| 33 9| 32 9| 31 27| 30 21| 30 27| 31 36 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 11 3| 12 0| 7 0| 12 0| 12 1| 11 0| 11 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2| 2 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 2| 4 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 16 4| 17 2| 9 3| 17 3| 17 3| 16 3| 16 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 1| 4 1| 5 2| 6 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 10 24| 16 19| 20 18 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 0 0| 0 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| 1 9 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 0 1| 0 0| 0 1| 2 3| 7 3| 4 5| 6 4 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| 23 13| 16 14| 18 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 90| 98 88| 79 77| 93 100|104 92| 93 81| 91 86| 92 84 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 52 2| 50 8| 48 8| 46 6| 37 4| 41 7| 46 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KMFR NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 84 51| 86 54| 89 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 6| 10 6| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 82 54| 84 55| 86 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 10 5| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 41| 37 42| 38 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 9 6| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 50| 68 50| 70 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 13 20| 14 20| 18 18 Sky cover(%)
SSD 10 15| 9 10| 9 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 9| 33 4| 33 3 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 10 0| 8 0| 7 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 2| 4 2| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 3| 12 3| 10 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 2| 5 2| 4 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 10 8| 11 10| 7 9 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 1 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 1| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 1 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 4 6| 11 4| 8 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 89 83| 91 84| 93 91 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 18| 35 20| 35 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KMFR NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 56| 89 54| 84 51| 89 54| 90 55| 84 52| 82 52| 82 51| 84 51| 84 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 3| 4 4| 4 4| 3 3| 5 4| 7 3| 8 4| 9 6| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 53| 86 51| 80 46| 85 49| 86 51| 78 46| 72 47| 73 45| 74 43| 74 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 54| 87 52| 81 47| 87 51| 89 53| 80 49| 78 49| 76 48| 76 45| 76 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 55| 89 54| 86 49| 91 53| 90 54| 85 52| 84 52| 84 52| 84 52| 84 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 59| 90 57| 88 56| 92 58| 92 57| 88 54| 86 54| 88 54| 91 55| 91 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 60| 91 58| 89 57| 93 59| 94 59| 90 55| 90 55| 91 56| 96 58| 96 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 8 0| 9 0| 3 0| 7 0| 6 0| 4 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 9 0| 10 0| 5 0| 9 0| 9 0| 7 0| 7 0| 5 0| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 10 2| 11 0| 7 0| 10 0| 10 0| 9 0| 9 2| 8 0| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 11 4| 12 0| 8 3| 12 3| 12 4| 11 3| 12 4| 11 4| 10 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 12 5| 14 0| 9 5| 14 3| 13 5| 13 6| 14 5| 13 5| 12 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 18 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 14 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 17 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 22 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 21 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 1| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 18| 16| 13| 3| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|010 016|010 015|007 011|005 012|008 014|009 014|010 014|007 012|007 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|010 017|011 016|008 012|006 014|010 016|012 017|012 015|010 014|009 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|011 018|013 018|010 013|007 014|011 018|014 018|013 017|012 016|011 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|012 018|014 020|011 014|008 016|012 019|015 020|014 019|014 018|013 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 017|012 019|015 020|013 015|009 017|013 020|016 021|016 020|016 021|016 90th percentile MSLP(mb)