NBM Guidance for ALKALI LAKE STATE (KR03)
43.0874N 119.9761W
Elevation 4301 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KR03 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 65 71 76 80 83 85 87 88 87 86 83 77 72 68 65 62 59 57 55 53 51 48 48 55 62 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 36 33 30 27 25 23 22 20 21 24 28 32 34 35 35 35 34 35 34 34 34 34 36 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 56 59 64 66 68 68 68 67 66 66 64 60 58 55 54 53 50 49 48 46 45 44 44 49 55 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 71 57 38 26 32 49 30 6 10 19 26 32 44 50 42 57 68 70 73 70 83 70 93 77 39 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25 25 29 32 34 34 29 9 24 31 31 26 33 27 34 33 30 31 22 29 18 24 9 20 31 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 20 21 21 21 22 22 23 25 25 26 27 30 33 33 29 29 26 23 23 24 19 20 15 18 22 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 10 8 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 8 11 14 16 17 18 18 18 17 15 11 10 7 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 102102101103106109111112111113114114114113113111110112113113114113112111110 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130140-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88140-88230250220230200200-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 130140120130200200130180280170160120 70 90 60160140260190210210180170200260 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 1 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 13 20 42 60 73 88100106104 92 16 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 11 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 21 21 23 22 22 23 24 25 25 27 30 34 35 34 32 32 31 32 31 24 20 17 18 20 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 7 10 14 16 17 18 18 18 17 12 10 10 10 8 8 7 6 5 4 3 3 4 3 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 35 51 64 83 83 80 75 67 52 30 11 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 18 31 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KR03 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 48 87 44 81 40 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 3 4 4 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 85 87 77 65 57 51 55 74 83 83 73 63 55 48 51 67 76 76 66 55 47 41 45 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 25 20 28 35 34 34 36 37 32 27 34 36 37 37 39 40 34 28 28 28 30 31 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 3 4 4 3 3 2 3 6 8 6 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 66 60 54 49 45 49 63 67 65 59 54 49 44 47 60 64 61 53 47 42 37 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 49 10 32 42 70 83 77 53 56 43 16 18 16 11 31 2 15 31 28 13 14 10 29 Sky cover(%)
SSD 34 24 26 34 31 18 20 37 33 27 15 18 10 7 3 4 17 19 26 12 9 6 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 25 30 29 23 19 18 21 23 26 31 31 27 23 28 27 28 31 33 33 29 23 19 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 9 11 5 3 2 1 1 6 13 12 10 5 2 1 2 4 9 13 10 6 2 1 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 3 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 17 18 11 4 3 1 2 13 21 20 18 9 4 2 4 10 17 20 18 10 3 2 2 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 3 5 3 1 1 2 4 3 3 5 4 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 5 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 1 2 1 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 2 2 2 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 9 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110110110110110110110110110110100100 98100100 99 91 81 76 76 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88220200-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 200280120 60260210200270150220120 46 20-88 21 34 80100200230200190170 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 88104 6 5 5 4 4 43 99109 7 5 5 5 11 43 86 80 11 7 5 4 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 25 30 34 31 24 18 20 23 25 32 32 31 28 30 27 26 29 33 33 32 26 18 Transport wind dir
TWS 17 18 10 8 6 3 3 13 20 18 14 10 6 5 5 10 17 18 14 10 5 3 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 80 52 3 2 0 0 18 56 71 44 4 2 0 0 16 53 85 60 13 7 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KR03 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 48| 87 44| 81 40| 80 44| 87 46| 81 41| 77 40| 76 38 41 82 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 3 4| 4 6| 6 6| 3 4| 4 5| 7 6| 8 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 51| 83 48| 76 41| 77 46| 83 48| 77 45| 74 45| 73 43 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 4 3| 3 3| 5 4| 2 3| 4 3| 7 4| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 34| 27 37| 28 31| 19 22| 19 30| 21 32| 26 34| 27 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 8 3| 5 4| 6 5| 4 5| 7 6| 8 6| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 45| 65 44| 61 37| 61 40| 64 42| 61 41| 59 41| 59 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 83| 43 11| 31 10| 5 12| 26 42| 33 46| 39 27| 19 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 18| 27 7| 19 6| 5 11| 24 30| 23 22| 30 20| 19 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 19| 26 23| 31 23| 33 16| 23 21| 26 20| 25 22| 28 17 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 12 1| 13 1| 3 2| 13 3| 14 3| 12 3| 13 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 1| 4 2| 3 3| 4 3| 5 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 1| 20 2| 20 2| 9 3| 21 4| 23 5| 22 4| 22 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 3 1| 3 2| 3 1| 4 3| 4 5| 5 5| 6 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 1 2| 1 2| 1 0| 1 0| 5 14| 14 13| 12 12 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 7 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 2 2| 2 1| 0 1| 2 2| 12 7| 5 4| 7 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 4 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 3 6| 11 11| 15 13 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 114|111 105|101 76| 98 99|107 97| 98 86| 96 88| 98 90 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 45 1| 53 5| 50 7| 44 5| 36 4| 43 6| 47 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KR03 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 75 38| 77 41| 79 43 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 8| 10 8| 10 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 73 42| 74 44| 76 45 Temperature(F)
TSD 10 7| 9 7| 10 7 SD of temp(F)
DPT 26 32| 25 32| 25 31 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 10 6| 11 9| 10 9 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 39| 59 40| 60 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 18 20| 17 28| 27 26 Sky cover(%)
SSD 14 15| 11 15| 12 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28 30| 29 23| 23 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 9 2| 7 2| 6 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 5 3| 4 2| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 18 3| 15 3| 14 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 4| 5 3| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 13 8| 9 14| 10 10 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 11 7| 9 9| 13 5 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 95 84| 94 87| 97 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 18| 36 20| 35 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KR03 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 49| 87 46| 81 40| 80 44| 87 46| 81 41| 77 40| 76 38| 75 38| 75 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 4| 4 6| 6 6| 3 4| 4 5| 7 6| 8 7| 10 8| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 45| 83 42| 76 34| 73 37| 84 40| 75 34| 68 32| 64 28| 64 28| 64 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 46| 85 43| 77 36| 76 40| 86 42| 77 36| 73 35| 68 33| 67 32| 67 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 48| 87 46| 82 39| 81 44| 87 45| 82 42| 76 41| 76 39| 72 35| 72 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 52| 89 50| 83 46| 84 50| 88 50| 85 45| 83 45| 84 43| 85 44| 85 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 53| 90 52| 84 48| 86 52| 89 52| 85 47| 85 47| 85 47| 88 48| 88 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 10 1| 8 0| 2 0| 5 1| 8 1| 6 1| 4 0| 4 0| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 11 1| 10 0| 2 1| 8 2| 11 2| 9 1| 6 1| 6 1| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 12 2| 12 1| 3 2| 12 3| 13 3| 11 3| 12 2| 8 2| 8 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 14 2| 14 2| 4 2| 14 5| 15 5| 15 6| 15 5| 12 3| 11 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 15 3| 15 3| 7 3| 15 6| 17 9| 16 8| 17 7| 15 5| 14 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 12 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 15 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 17 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 20 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 19 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 1| 7| 10| 8| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 014|008 014|008 015|007 009|004 009|006 013|009 012|007 012|008 013|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 015|008 014|009 016|009 010|005 011|008 015|011 015|010 015|011 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 015|009 015|010 017|011 012|006 013|009 016|012 017|012 017|013 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 016|010 016|011 019|013 015|007 014|010 017|014 020|015 020|015 019|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 016|012 016|012 019|015 017|009 015|012 019|015 022|017 022|016 021|016 90th percentile MSLP(mb)