NBM Guidance for SILETZ BAY STATE (KS45)
44.8768N 124.0286W
Elevation 62 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KS45 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 58 59 60 61 61 62 62 62 61 60 58 57 57 56 55 54 54 53 53 52 52 52 54 56 58 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 54 54 54 54 53 53 52 51 51 50 50 49 48 49 51 52 52 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 58 59 60 62 61 62 61 60 59 58 56 55 55 55 53 53 52 51 51 51 50 51 52 55 56 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 45 47 52 52 53 50 24 17 16 16 25 21 30 23 21 16 21 50 35 30 62 68 62 55 57 Sky cover(%)
SSD 38 37 36 34 28 29 24 23 21 23 29 27 29 28 28 27 26 33 27 28 39 39 31 33 29 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24 25 25 27 28 30 32 33 34 34 35 36 1 2 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 5 36 34 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 1 2 7 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 7 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 24 12 3 24 6 19 3 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 60 63 64 65 65 63 61 59 59 59 59 59 60 60 60 61 62 62 62 62 68 72 77 84 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 27 35 35 35 45-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 90 80 80-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 41 32 21 17 22 5 4 10 9 9 10 10 12 15 12 9 7 8 8 9 11 13 14 12 11 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 5 4 3 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 5 4 3 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 27 28 31 33 23 37 80 13 13 18 31 90120110100100 80100160100100 80 90110120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90 70 70 90100 Visibility*
MVV 4 2 2 1 4 4 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 5 12 15 15 17 18 10 5 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 8 11 10 11 10 6 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 7 6 7 5 2 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 6 7 6 8 6 9 8 7 13 9 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 10 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 30 28 28 29 30 31 33 34 35 35 35 36 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 1 1 Transport wind dir
TWS 4 5 6 7 7 7 8 10 10 11 10 9 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 38 48 57 52 50 55 57 47 28 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 25 41 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KS45 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 52 66 53 67 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 1 1 2 1 1 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 61 62 58 56 54 52 54 60 62 62 59 57 55 54 55 61 63 62 59 58 57 56 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 55 55 54 53 51 49 51 53 54 55 54 54 52 51 53 56 57 57 56 56 55 55 55 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 60 56 55 52 51 52 59 63 60 57 56 54 53 55 61 62 60 57 57 55 55 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 53 17 25 23 21 30 62 44 24 14 26 61 37 15 30 51 62 61 79 91 91 92 90 Sky cover(%)
SSD 28 23 29 28 26 28 31 21 23 15 24 35 35 14 21 23 24 25 30 15 9 7 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28 33 35 2 3 6 5 33 34 35 36 0 1 1 1 34 33 33 34 35 33 18 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 7 4 3 3 3 3 5 11 13 10 8 5 3 3 5 8 7 4 3 2 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 9 6 6 6 5 5 7 13 17 15 12 9 6 5 7 9 9 6 4 4 4 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 7 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 2 4 0 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 0 0 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 6 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 24 24 2 2 11 13 29 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 65 59 59 60 62 62 77100100100100100100100100 99 92 88 91 87 92 91 89 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 45-88-88-88-88-88 80-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 13 29 14 6-88 31 27 18 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 4 0 0 0 3 5 2 2 4 6 7 13 26 27 23 17 20 27 8 10 23 24 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 23 13 31110 80100 90130110 70 50 50110110150 13 29 14 6 90 31 7 8 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100 70100100100 80100100 50 60100100100 60100100 60 70 Visibility*
IFV 1 1 2 1 1 11 10 0 1 1 8 4 5 19 19 2 3 4 9 6 8 17 16 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 6 7 7 4 4 4 4 9 9 9 9 4 4 4 5 10 10 12 8 4 4 4 8 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 30 34 35 0 2 2 3 36 35 35 0 0 1 1 1 35 34 35 36 36 35 36 18 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 10 10 7 7 6 5 7 12 15 13 11 8 6 5 7 10 11 10 7 6 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 50 47 4 2 0 0 10 51 79 51 5 2 0 0 10 27 57 45 19 10 0 0 2 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KS45 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 52| 66 53| 67 55| 64 55| 62 54| 64 52| 65 52| 66 53 52 64 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 1| 1 2| 1 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 3| 3 3| 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 52| 62 54| 62 56| 60 57| 58 55| 60 54| 61 54| 61 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 2 2| 2 3| 4 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 49| 55 51| 57 55| 57 55| 57 53| 56 51| 56 51| 57 52 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 2 3| 2 3| 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 51| 60 53| 60 55| 59 55| 59 54| 59 52| 59 52| 60 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 30| 14 15| 61 92| 87 98| 94 78| 65 71| 49 74| 50 72 Sky cover(%)
SSD 28| 15 14| 25 7| 16 3| 7 19| 23 16| 26 17| 26 30 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 6| 35 1| 33 18| 21 18| 20 18| 23 13| 30 9| 32 10 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3| 13 3| 7 2| 10 15| 14 7| 6 3| 6 2| 4 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 2 1| 3 2| 3 3| 6 3| 4 3| 3 2| 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5| 17 6| 9 4| 12 27| 20 12| 7 5| 6 4| 5 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 2| 4 3| 6 6| 11 6| 6 4| 4 3| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 2 4| 0 2| 34 62| 92 85| 77 43| 35 17| 28 23 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 16| 85 44| 23 12| 8 0| 0 3 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 18| 129| 35| 8| 3 40 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 4| 8 6| 4 3| 3 0| 0 1 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 0 0| 0 1| 10 9| 17 18| 19 10| 5 3| 3 3 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 24 13| 33 81| 97 76| 69 26| 18 12| 26 24 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 62|103 101| 88 91| 81 84| 75 65| 67 66| 70 74| 78 78 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 46 2| 35 7| 30 1| 2 0| 39 5| 40 6| 43 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KS45 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 66 54| 67 55| 68 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 3| 4 3| 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 62 55| 63 56| 63 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 3 3| 4 2| 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 57 53| 58 54| 58 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3| 2 3| 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 53| 61 55| 61 55 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 60 79| 51 72| 46 67 Sky cover(%)
SSD 30 11| 23 16| 16 6 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33 0| 33 2| 34 0 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 3| 6 3| 9 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 2| 3 3| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 6| 7 6| 10 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 4| 5 5| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 25 17| 14 19| 16 15 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 4 0| 0 5| 0 3 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 4| 5| 3 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 0| 0 1| 0 1 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 19 15| 13 14| 15 14 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 82 85| 89 88| 93 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 14 10| 22 15| 29 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KS45 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 52| 66 53| 67 55| 64 55| 62 54| 64 52| 65 52| 66 53| 66 54| 66 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 1| 1 2| 1 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 3| 3 3| 3 3| 4 3| 4 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 51| 65 51| 65 54| 63 54| 60 51| 61 49| 62 49| 62 50| 62 50| 62 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 52| 66 52| 66 54| 63 55| 61 53| 62 51| 63 50| 64 51| 64 52| 64 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 52| 66 54| 67 55| 64 55| 62 54| 63 52| 64 52| 65 53| 66 54| 66 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 53| 67 54| 68 56| 65 56| 63 55| 65 54| 66 54| 66 55| 67 56| 67 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 54| 68 55| 69 57| 66 57| 65 56| 67 56| 69 56| 69 58| 72 58| 72 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 10 2| 5 1| 5 8| 4 3| 3 2| 3 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 11 3| 6 1| 7 10| 7 4| 4 2| 4 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 3| 13 4| 7 3| 9 12| 12 6| 7 3| 6 3| 5 3| 6 3| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 13 4| 9 4| 12 15| 16 9| 9 5| 9 4| 9 5| 8 4| 10 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 4| 14 5| 11 6| 13 16| 19 11| 12 8| 10 5| 10 6| 10 6| 12 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 26 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 13 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 11 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 11 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 13 | 21 | 14 | 19 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 14 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 14 | 22 | 17 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 17 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 15 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 44 | 27 | 22 | 20 | 19 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 83| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 115| 8| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 15| 149| 31| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 28| 178| 76| 12| 12| 8| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 73| 201| 114| 82| 43| 36| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 019|016 012|010 011|011 008|008 008|010 011|012 010|012 012|013 012|012 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|017 012|011 012|012 009|010 010|012 012|014 014|014 015|015 014|014 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 020|017 013|012 012|013 011|011 011|014 014|016 016|017 017|017 017|016 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|018 014|012 013|014 012|013 013|016 017|017 018|019 019|019 018|019 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|018 014|013 014|015 014|014 016|018 018|020 020|020 020|020 021|020 90th percentile MSLP(mb)