NBM Guidance for TILLAMOOK (KS47)
45.4200N 123.8200W
Elevation 20 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KS47 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
UTC 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Time (PDT)
TMP 58 59 60 61 62 64 65 66 66 66 65 63 61 59 58 57 57 56 56 56 56 56 56 56 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 58 59 60 61 61 62 62 62 61 60 61 60 60 59 58 57 57 56 56 56 56 56 56 56 57 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 59 60 61 62 65 64 65 64 64 63 62 60 59 58 57 56 56 56 55 55 55 55 55 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 89 85 91 91 93 90 86 82 73 69 65 51 60 68 79 89 80 86 95 95 91 94 95 97 84 Sky cover(%)
SSD 9 10 10 8 6 9 12 14 17 16 24 23 25 30 21 10 19 24 5 7 12 5 5 5 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 19 20 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 28 28 29 29 30 32 36 36 1 1 7 3 32 5 3 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 4 6 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 3 5 7 9 7 4 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 14 2 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 28 16 32 44 36 8 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 22 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 82 83 83 83 83 84 84 84 84 83 83 83 82 82 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 80 79 79 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 22 22 18 18 22 22 22 22 27 27130 45 35 35 27 22 22 15 13 15 22 22 22 22 22 Ceiling height*
MVC 84 83 87 84 68 53 45 41 35 31 9 14 22 18 33 41 43 47 48 47 46 43 45 45 44 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 5 7 10 7 4 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 9 6 8 13 17 13 14 13 11 9 8 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 2 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 5 5 6 9 7 4 2 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 13 11 12 13 14 18 17 17 16 24 24 26 23 20 17 15 22 15 13 15 20 20 21 19 19 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90 90 Visibility*
MVV 13 8 4 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 8 10 12 14 13 14 11 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 6 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 8 8 9 9 6 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 5 6 5 5 3 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 13 15 16 16 18 20 22 25 27 26 20 17 9 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 20 21 21 21 22 23 24 25 27 29 30 31 32 33 33 34 35 35 1 2 1 35 1 1 36 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 3 8 8 12 20 26 31 41 35 25 17 10 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KS47 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
DT /AUG 27/AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 54 67 52 65 50 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 1 2 2 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 61 65 66 61 57 56 56 57 63 67 65 60 56 54 54 56 61 65 64 59 55 52 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 61 62 60 60 57 56 56 57 59 59 57 57 55 54 54 56 58 58 56 56 54 52 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 64 64 60 57 56 55 57 62 66 63 59 55 53 54 56 61 65 62 58 54 51 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 91 86 69 60 89 95 94 84 82 52 21 51 86 67 96 86 66 50 27 44 65 67 80 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8 12 16 25 10 5 5 19 17 16 15 31 9 21 6 28 28 18 22 22 15 20 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 21 24 28 29 36 1 32 5 32 31 31 32 32 27 19 20 27 29 30 31 33 5 9 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 11 4 0 0 0 0 3 9 9 0 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 3 2 3 3 2 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 8 7 5 1 2 2 2 2 6 11 14 6 3 2 2 3 4 10 11 3 2 2 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 14 2 1 2 1 1 8 34 6 2 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 2 2 13 34 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 1 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2 0 0 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 4 0 0 1 0 1 4 4 4 2 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 1 4 5 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 44 6 6 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 15 15 1 1 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 84 83 82 81 81 80 79 78 77 77 73 72 72 70 63 63 66 68 65 65 63 65 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 18 22 27 35 22 13 22 22 27-88-88-88 22 25 48 42 38 44-88-88 50 48 50 Ceiling height*
IFC 7 2 1 5 6 17 13 8 2 1 0 7 13 16 4 3 0 0 0 0 5 0 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 13 17 24 23 15 13 20 19 27 24 34 60 3 4 6 10 12 44 26 18 14 48 50 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100 90100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 6 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 16 22 26 9 4 3 3 6 27 29 26 12 4 3 6 11 24 34 28 10 5 4 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 21 24 29 32 34 1 35 36 33 32 32 32 32 33 27 23 26 29 30 32 33 36 9 Transport wind dir
TWS 8 7 6 6 4 4 3 4 5 10 11 7 4 3 4 5 5 9 9 7 4 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 12 31 25 3 2 0 0 9 35 59 47 5 3 0 0 2 16 75 71 19 10 0 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KS47 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 22| 34 46| 58 70| 82 94|106 118|130 142|154 166|178 190 Forecast Hour
TXN 54| 67 52| 65 50| 66 49| 67 53| 65 54| 63 53| 65 52 49 70 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 1 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 4| 3 3| 3 3| 4 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 56| 65 54| 64 51| 65 50| 65 55| 63 56| 62 55| 63 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 1 3| 1 2| 1 2| 2 3| 2 3| 3 3| 4 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 56| 57 54| 56 51| 56 50| 58 55| 58 56| 59 55| 58 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 2 3| 1 3| 1 2| 2 4| 2 3| 2 4| 2 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 55| 63 54| 62 50| 62 50| 62 55| 61 55| 61 55| 61 53 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 94| 21 96| 27 80| 37 70| 58 94| 67 90| 66 87| 47 74 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5| 15 6| 22 19| 16 29| 19 7| 22 22| 29 11| 29 25 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32| 31 19| 30 9| 32 6| 29 15| 24 18| 22 17| 26 3 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 11 0| 9 0| 9 0| 7 0| 8 8| 11 3| 9 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 2 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 3| 3 4| 5 4| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 2| 14 2| 11 3| 10 2| 7 2| 9 10| 15 5| 10 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 3 2| 4 2| 4 1| 3 4| 5 7| 10 6| 8 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 2| 2 13| 34 1| 3 0| 6 19| 34 34| 57 56| 48 35 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 3| 6 7| 37 22| 23 6 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 1| 0| 3| 13| 59| 29 51 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 1| 2 3| 5 4| 4 2 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 1 4| 5 2| 1 1| 1 3| 10 6| 11 9| 12 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 10| 1 0| 0 2| 10 27| 21 40| 55 44| 38 30 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 80| 77 70| 68 65| 93 93| 87 80| 74 80| 79 75| 74 71 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 35 2| 41 7| 40 7| 40 4| 16 4| 3 0| 2 1 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KS47 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 202 214|226 238|250 262 Forecast Hour
TXN 67 52| 70 55| 71 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 6 5| 6 5| 6 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 66 54| 68 56| 69 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 6 5| 6 4| 6 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 59 52| 59 53| 59 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 4| 4 5| 3 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 63 52| 65 54| 65 55 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 34 69| 24 72| 31 71 Sky cover(%)
SSD 26 31| 17 16| 15 14 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 4| 31 5| 32 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 9 0| 6 0| 8 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 2| 4 3| 4 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 3| 7 2| 9 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 3| 6 4| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 32 17| 18 17| 12 13 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 7 7| 0 4| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 14| 4| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 3 3| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 31 17| 16 13| 12 16 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 76 75| 79 79| 81 83 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 7 7| 23 18| 32 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KS47 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 54| 67 52| 65 50| 66 49| 67 53| 65 54| 63 53| 65 52| 67 52| 67 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 1 3| 2 2| 2 2| 3 4| 3 3| 3 3| 4 4| 6 5| 6 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 51| 65 48| 63 47| 64 46| 64 48| 61 50| 58 48| 60 47| 60 47| 60 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 52| 66 50| 64 48| 65 47| 66 50| 63 52| 61 51| 62 49| 63 48| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 54| 67 52| 65 50| 66 49| 67 54| 65 54| 63 53| 64 52| 65 50| 65 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 56| 68 54| 67 51| 68 51| 69 57| 67 56| 65 55| 66 55| 69 55| 69 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 57| 69 55| 67 52| 68 52| 70 58| 68 57| 67 58| 70 57| 77 59| 77 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 8 0| 6 0| 5 0| 4 0| 4 0| 4 0| 4 0| 3 0| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 10 0| 7 0| 7 0| 6 0| 6 0| 6 0| 6 0| 5 0| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 11 0| 9 0| 9 0| 7 0| 8 4| 9 2| 8 0| 8 0| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 0| 12 0| 10 0| 11 0| 8 3| 10 8| 13 5| 11 4| 11 2| 9 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 0| 13 3| 12 3| 12 0| 10 5| 12 11| 17 8| 14 6| 13 4| 12 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 12 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 15 | 15 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 18 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 17 | 16 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 21 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 26 | 40 | 35 | 26 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 1| 40| 4| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 3| 0| 0| 24| 128| 51| 12| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 4| 8| 0| 6| 63| 156| 115| 40| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|017 018|018 017|014 012|010 010|012 012|012 011|013 014|013 013|012 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|018 018|019 018|016 013|012 012|013 013|015 015|015 016|016 015|014 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 018|018 019|020 020|017 014|013 014|015 016|017 018|018 017|017 017|016 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|019 019|020 021|019 016|014 015|016 017|019 020|021 021|019 019|019 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 019|019 020|021 021|020 016|015 016|017 019|020 022|023 022|021 021|020 90th percentile MSLP(mb)