NBM Guidance for JOHN DAY (KU33)
44.4333N 118.9500W
Elevation 3510 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
KU33 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 68 73 77 81 84 86 86 86 83 79 74 71 67 64 62 59 58 56 54 53 51 52 57 61 66 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 41 41 40 38 36 35 33 34 37 39 41 43 44 44 44 43 42 42 42 42 41 41 42 43 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 64 67 68 69 69 68 68 67 64 61 60 58 56 55 54 52 51 49 48 47 48 52 56 58 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 53 30 46 73 64 38 17 5 4 6 10 8 17 26 30 33 41 44 51 52 64 49 37 22 34 Sky cover(%)
SSD 31 34 32 21 18 28 28 6 5 7 9 7 26 29 30 34 34 29 32 37 34 38 37 37 38 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26 26 27 27 27 26 26 26 27 32 33 33 32 31 29 27 26 18 9 11 9 9 11 18 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 5 6 8 9 9 10 11 11 9 10 9 8 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 7 10 13 16 17 18 19 20 18 16 16 14 13 10 6 4 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 108106106109112112113114115115114114113112112112113112111110110109109109109 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88230240-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88250-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 220220230220220220220150 90100-88-88150 80 70130180240260250230240230230160 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 21 33 49 73 86 95 99 95 78 18 11 13 5 5 4 5 3 4 4 4 4 4 8 12 18 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 25 24 24 24 24 23 25 26 33 34 35 34 33 33 33 33 32 34 5 3 6 36 24 22 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 8 10 12 15 16 16 15 13 12 14 12 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 50 64 79 81 78 71 64 49 27 10 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 20 35 50 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
KU33 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 51 84 48 75 43 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 4 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 84 86 74 64 58 53 57 70 81 82 71 63 56 50 53 63 72 71 62 55 48 43 47 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36 34 41 44 42 42 42 41 39 36 39 41 39 39 39 39 35 32 27 32 33 32 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 68 61 56 52 48 52 63 68 66 59 54 50 46 49 57 62 59 51 47 43 40 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 64 5 10 26 41 52 37 31 54 49 21 17 9 7 3 10 31 37 28 21 18 8 4 Sky cover(%)
SSD 18 6 9 29 34 37 37 33 35 32 19 19 6 5 2 12 28 27 27 15 12 7 5 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27 26 33 31 26 11 11 26 26 29 34 30 27 25 26 28 29 31 32 32 27 17 16 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 10 9 8 2 1 1 2 7 9 8 8 4 2 1 6 10 13 9 9 3 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 3 4 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 3 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 16 19 16 13 4 3 3 6 14 17 14 11 7 3 3 12 17 20 16 13 5 3 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 5 5 3 2 1 1 3 4 5 5 5 4 1 1 3 3 4 5 6 4 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 2 4 0 0 1 1 2 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 2 4 1 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 3 3 0 0 6 5 2 0 3 2 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 6 5 3 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110110110110110110110110110 99 94 91 87 91 92 85 76 72 71 70 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 240-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 220150-88 80180250230110 90220100 60-88-88100100 60 60-88100 19180180 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 86 95 11 5 3 4 8 28 84 92 8 4 3 4 12 45 74 73 11 5 3 4 8 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 24 25 34 33 33 5 36 22 24 26 35 33 30 29 28 26 27 28 32 32 31 19 19 Transport wind dir
TWS 15 15 14 8 5 4 3 7 14 14 12 8 5 4 4 11 15 16 14 9 4 4 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 78 49 3 1 0 0 20 57 73 47 3 2 0 0 16 51 82 43 13 7 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
KU33 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 51| 84 48| 75 43| 76 46| 85 51| 81 47| 75 46| 73 43 47 81 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 4| 3 4| 6 4| 3 4| 5 4| 8 4| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 53| 82 50| 71 43| 74 48| 83 51| 77 49| 73 49| 71 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 3 3| 3 2| 5 3| 3 3| 6 3| 8 4| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 42| 36 39| 32 32| 25 26| 27 32| 30 37| 33 37| 34 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 5 3| 5 4| 4 4| 3 5| 8 6| 7 6| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 48| 66 46| 59 40| 60 41| 65 46| 62 45| 60 45| 59 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 52| 49 7| 37 8| 8 18| 31 52| 49 45| 56 34| 32 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 37| 32 5| 27 7| 11 30| 25 31| 26 21| 25 20| 22 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 11| 29 25| 31 17| 31 11| 23 16| 26 15| 27 16| 28 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 9 2| 13 2| 4 4| 10 2| 11 3| 10 4| 10 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 3 1| 3 2| 2 3| 3 2| 4 3| 4 3| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 17 3| 20 3| 9 6| 17 3| 19 5| 19 7| 19 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 5 1| 4 2| 3 3| 5 2| 6 3| 6 5| 7 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 2 4| 1 2| 1 1| 0 1| 18 10| 19 20| 28 16 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 1| 0| 0 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 6 5| 3 2| 1 1| 3 3| 18 12| 6 6| 10 8 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 8 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 8 7| 26 19| 23 17 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110|112 94| 92 71| 90 94|106 100|100 88| 95 86| 95 84 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 47 1| 48 5| 49 6| 42 5| 24 5| 42 5| 46 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
KU33 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 72 43| 75 45| 77 47 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 7| 10 6| 10 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 71 46| 73 48| 75 49 Temperature(F)
TSD 10 6| 10 6| 10 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33 35| 33 36| 34 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 7| 9 8| 8 8 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 43| 60 43| 61 45 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 22 27| 37 24| 27 23 Sky cover(%)
SSD 17 21| 29 12| 14 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 18| 31 15| 31 7 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 3| 7 3| 6 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 2| 4 2| 4 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 5| 13 4| 12 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 7 3| 6 3| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 21 12| 20 17| 18 13 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 3| 1 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 3| 1 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 19 13| 25 12| 18 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 91 83| 92 86| 96 91 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 18| 31 14| 30 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
KU33 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 52| 84 50| 75 43| 76 46| 85 51| 81 47| 75 46| 73 43| 72 43| 72 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 4| 3 4| 6 4| 3 4| 5 4| 8 4| 9 6| 10 7| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 48| 82 45| 71 38| 70 40| 82 45| 73 42| 65 40| 61 36| 61 34| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 49| 83 47| 73 40| 73 43| 84 47| 78 45| 70 42| 66 39| 64 38| 64 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 51| 85 50| 75 42| 78 45| 86 50| 81 46| 75 46| 73 42| 71 41| 71 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 55| 86 54| 78 47| 80 50| 88 54| 84 50| 81 49| 81 47| 81 47| 81 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 56| 87 56| 79 48| 82 52| 88 57| 86 52| 85 51| 84 51| 86 52| 86 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 4 0| 9 1| 3 1| 4 1| 5 1| 6 1| 4 1| 3 1| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 7 1| 10 1| 4 2| 7 1| 7 2| 7 2| 7 2| 5 2| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 9 2| 12 2| 5 4| 9 2| 10 3| 10 4| 9 3| 7 3| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 11 2| 14 3| 6 6| 11 3| 12 5| 12 7| 13 5| 10 4| 10 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 13 3| 16 4| 8 8| 12 5| 14 7| 15 10| 15 9| 14 6| 13 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 17 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 20 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 18 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 26 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 29 | 27 | 31 | 21 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 31 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 7| 2| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 11| 31| 50| 25| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|008 014|009 016|008 010|004 009|006 013|009 013|008 012|009 013|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|008 015|010 017|010 012|004 010|007 015|010 015|011 015|012 016|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|009 016|011 018|012 013|006 012|008 016|012 018|013 018|014 019|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|010 016|012 020|014 017|008 014|010 017|014 020|016 021|016 021|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|011 017|014 020|015 019|009 015|011 018|015 022|018 023|018 023|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)