NBM Guidance for LOG CREEK (LGFO3)
45.4967N 121.8952W
Elevation 2969 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 61 63 64 65 66 66 65 64 61 56 53 52 51 50 48 48 48 47 46 46 45 45 47 50 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 52 51 51 50 50 49 47 48 46 45 46 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 46 46 45 45 47 50 50 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 62 63 63 63 61 59 58 56 52 50 50 49 49 47 47 47 46 46 46 45 45 48 50 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 16 14 22 19 20 7 14 9 11 19 32 45 56 58 65 81 89 90 82 85 86 73 71 75 76 Sky cover(%)
SSD 16 13 22 25 25 8 21 12 11 22 27 27 28 27 22 12 7 10 14 10 13 14 12 12 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26 27 26 26 26 26 26 27 27 26 26 25 24 24 24 24 25 25 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 2 4 2 2 8 12 13 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 1 4 29 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 12 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 14 14 16 5 29 13 14 14 6 35 32 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 83 83 83 83 82 82 83 83 83 82 82 81 80 77 72 68 67 69 68 67 67 68 66 66 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88130 18 15 13 13 13 15 18 22 27 35 35 Ceiling height*
MVC 21 13 7 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 47 51 56 56 56 56 54 52 51 43 35 28 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 24 34 37 38 39 41 37 34 28 19 12 9 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 7 23 27 28 29 30 28 22 16 10 7 5 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 100100100 90 70 25 30 30 26 23 31 26 18 16 7 6 7 7 7 8 9 12 12 15 15 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 5 24 28 29 31 34 32 27 20 12 7 5 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 22 23 26 28 31 26 20 16 8 6 4 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 17 18 21 23 19 14 10 7 5 3 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 19 23 26 28 29 30 31 29 27 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 10 12 11 9 9 13 16 19 20 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 26 26 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 24 26 26 26 26 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 8 10 10 11 12 12 13 12 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 13 12 12 11 10 11 12 13 12 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 55 72 73 73 69 62 49 28 12 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 7 16 27 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 45 61 43 66 47 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 2 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 65 65 56 51 48 46 45 51 56 58 52 48 46 45 44 55 61 63 54 49 49 49 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 47 45 47 47 46 45 50 48 44 42 44 44 44 44 46 46 43 42 43 41 39 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 63 59 52 49 47 46 45 52 57 54 48 47 45 44 44 54 59 57 49 47 46 45 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 19 14 19 56 81 82 73 76 38 63 50 44 65 82 64 44 31 17 21 27 32 22 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25 21 22 28 12 14 14 28 24 28 28 34 29 23 31 26 23 12 12 22 19 14 16 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26 26 26 24 24 24 24 25 26 27 28 25 23 23 24 27 28 28 26 22 18 14 9 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 10 8 8 9 8 8 10 12 11 7 5 4 4 4 5 8 8 3 3 2 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 1 4 29 20 14 0 1 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 2 39 14 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 3 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 5 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 1 3 5 1 0 1 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 5 1 1 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 14 29 14 32 24 34 7 7 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 82 83 81 72 69 67 66 66 71 69 67 66 66 66 79 96 96 91 93 98 95 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88 15 13 22 35-88 70-88-88100 60 60-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 1 1 3 37 41 28 9 5 5 8 2 4 4 8 3 0 0 1 2 4 6 11 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 90 30 23 18 6 7 12 15 19 24 27 28 1 1 1 7 50 46 90120100100 90 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 1 23 31 16 4 0 3 5-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 28 31 9 9 10 11 13 20 36 35 13 6 6 5 9 23 28 26 5 2 3 2 2 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 26 27 27 28 26 25 25 25 27 28 28 26 22 19 11 10 Transport wind dir
TWS 10 12 9 10 12 12 11 12 15 14 9 10 9 9 7 7 9 9 7 6 5 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 73 49 3 2 0 0 7 27 47 34 3 2 0 0 4 21 66 57 18 9 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 45| 61 43| 66 47| 76 49| 67 48| 60 47| 60 46| 64 47 46 67 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 2| 3 2| 4 3| 4 2| 6 2| 6 4| 6 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 46| 58 45| 63 49| 72 52| 63 50| 55 49| 56 48| 61 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 1| 3 2| 4 2| 5 2| 5 3| 6 3| 7 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46| 44 44| 43 39| 46 49| 50 49| 52 48| 50 45| 48 43 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 4 2| 4 4| 4 4| 4 3| 4 3| 5 4| 5 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 54 44| 57 45| 63 50| 59 49| 54 49| 54 46| 56 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 82| 63 82| 17 22| 32 69| 45 84| 89 87| 68 59| 49 49 Sky cover(%)
SSD 14| 28 23| 12 14| 25 28| 19 15| 12 11| 19 25| 23 25 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24| 27 23| 28 14| 28 23| 26 23| 25 23| 27 21| 28 17 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 1| 3 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 0| 0 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 8| 11 4| 8 3| 7 4| 11 5| 8 5| 8 3| 7 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 2 2| 1 2| 2 3| 2 5| 3 5| 3 3| 2 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 2| 39 14| 0 0| 0 4| 17 32| 71 89| 76 52| 42 24 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 3 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 49 60| 35 12| 16 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 3| 0| 0| 3| 109| 47| 16 82 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1| 5 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 7 8| 5 3| 4 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 5 1| 1 0| 0 2| 7 9| 10 11| 14 10| 9 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 29| 34 15| 0 0| 2 12| 21 48| 85 82| 70 27| 34 17 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 69| 71 66| 96 95| 99 96| 91 83| 81 71| 73 69| 79 78 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 26 0| 37 7| 44 5| 40 3| 1 1| 32 5| 33 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 68 50| 71 52| 73 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 7 5| 8 5| 9 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 65 51| 68 53| 69 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 5| 8 5| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 47 43| 48 44| 49 45 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 6 6| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 48| 61 50| 62 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 49 38| 24 47| 35 53 Sky cover(%)
SSD 26 31| 15 6| 25 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 15| 32 23| 28 20 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 3| 7 4| 7 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 5| 3 4| 3 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 27 17| 10 9| 8 6 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 4 2| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 6| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 1| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 27 9| 18 6| 3 6 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 84 83| 88 88| 94 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 17 15| 30 18| 26 12 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 47| 61 43| 66 47| 76 52| 67 49| 60 47| 60 46| 64 47| 68 50| 68 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 1| 2 2| 3 2| 4 3| 4 2| 6 3| 6 4| 6 4| 7 5| 7 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 45| 59 41| 62 44| 71 48| 62 46| 52 44| 54 41| 55 42| 59 45| 59 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 46| 60 42| 64 46| 74 50| 64 48| 56 46| 56 44| 60 44| 63 46| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 46| 62 43| 66 47| 76 52| 67 49| 59 47| 59 45| 63 46| 69 49| 69 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 48| 62 45| 69 49| 79 54| 70 51| 63 49| 63 47| 68 49| 74 53| 74 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 49| 63 45| 71 50| 80 55| 72 52| 67 50| 68 50| 73 53| 77 56| 77 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 2 1| 1 0| 1 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 2 1| 2 1| 1 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 1| 2 1| 2 2| 2 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 3 2| 2 2| 2 2| 3 3| 2 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 3 2| 2 2| 3 3| 4 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 4| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 11 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 15 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 19 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 44| 9| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 116| 40| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 3| 0| 0| 6| 155| 86| 27| 6| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 7| 0| 0| 19| 184| 124| 67| 45| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 017|016 019|014 012|009 012|010 011|010 011|012 013|012 012|012 013|011 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|017 019|015 013|010 012|011 013|012 012|013 015|014 016|014 015|014 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 018|017 020|016 014|011 014|012 014|013 014|015 017|017 018|017 018|016 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|018 021|017 015|012 014|013 016|015 017|017 019|019 020|018 020|017 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|018 021|018 016|012 015|014 017|017 019|018 021|020 022|020 022|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)