NBM Guidance for LOG CREEK (LGFO3)
45.4967N 121.8952W
Elevation 2969 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
UTC 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Time (UTC)
PDT 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (PDT)
TMP 66 66 65 63 61 56 53 51 50 49 48 48 47 47 46 46 45 45 47 50 51 54 55 56 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 49 48 48 46 45 46 47 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 46 45 45 47 50 50 49 48 48 47 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 63 61 59 58 56 52 50 49 49 49 47 47 47 46 46 46 45 45 48 50 51 54 56 57 56 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 21 11 12 12 19 20 31 34 50 55 65 80 88 91 84 88 88 78 74 75 75 76 51 43 40 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25 11 20 14 19 23 29 31 32 26 23 11 9 11 14 10 13 14 13 10 16 15 32 26 24 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26 26 26 27 27 26 26 25 25 24 24 25 25 25 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 26 25 26 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 10 10 9 9 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 10 11 11 12 12 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 3 5 7 5 16 15 16 16 19 16 14 8 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 3 5 33 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 12 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 4 4 16 26 34 44 13 13 13 45 58 40 28 16 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 84 83 83 83 83 84 83 81 80 79 77 73 69 69 71 71 69 68 67 66 66 66 67 67 71 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 22 8 2 3 2 1 2 13 13 27 35 45-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 18 36 52 52 53 56 57 56 54 45 35 28 18 11 5 5 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 10 22 39 42 41 43 42 40 34 22 12 8 5 4 2 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 5 14 30 35 34 36 36 30 20 11 6 5 3 3 2 2 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 70 23 26 24 26 23 31 27 20 17 17 4 2 2 2 1 2 7 7 12 12 15 20 24 23 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100 5 30 10 3 20 50100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 31 31 33 37 41 37 27 16 9 6 4 2 3 3 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 25 27 29 33 34 26 17 9 5 4 2 1 2 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 17 19 21 23 24 17 10 6 4 2 1 1 1 1 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 28 29 29 28 23 9 6 7 8 11 10 10 10 12 10 9 9 18 19 20 20 20 26 34 36 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 24 26 26 26 26 27 27 27 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 11 12 12 13 12 9 9 10 10 11 11 12 13 12 11 12 12 14 13 13 14 14 14 15 14 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 64 57 45 26 12 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 7 19 15 40 53 47 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 Time (UTC)
PDT 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 45 61 43 66 47 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 2 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 56 50 48 46 45 51 56 58 52 47 46 45 44 55 61 63 54 49 48 48 50 67 72 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45 47 47 46 45 50 48 45 42 45 45 44 44 46 46 43 41 43 41 39 41 46 48 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 52 49 47 46 45 51 57 54 48 46 45 44 44 54 59 57 49 47 45 45 48 61 66 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 20 50 80 84 78 75 43 60 51 49 58 82 64 50 10 21 21 19 29 25 32 22 16 Sky cover(%)
SSD 23 32 11 14 14 16 26 27 31 30 27 22 25 26 7 13 15 15 23 17 24 16 22 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26 25 25 24 24 25 26 26 27 25 23 23 24 26 27 28 26 20 15 11 8 2 33 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 8 9 9 9 8 10 12 11 7 5 4 4 4 5 7 7 3 3 3 3 3 4 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 3 5 33 19 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 4 46 7 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 9 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 1 5 7 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 7 1 1 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 12 4 34 13 58 16 34 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 84 80 73 71 68 66 67 72 69 67 65 65 66 80 86 97 95 96 94 92 92 92 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88 8 2 13 35-88110-88-88 45 60 60-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 1 2 39 43 34 8 2 3 5 10 14 4 8 3 0 0 1 2 4 6 11 3 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 23 20 4 2 7 12 24 20 26 17 18 1 1 4 70 50100120100100100110130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100 10 50100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 25 33 17 4 2 2 4 6 8 5 5 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 5 2 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 9 8 10 10 18 20 34 32 12 6 6 6 12 24 30 27 5 3 4 4 3 25 38 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 27 26 26 26 26 26 27 27 27 26 24 25 25 27 27 28 25 23 16 10 9 9 11 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 10 12 11 14 14 15 14 9 8 10 10 8 7 9 9 7 5 5 6 7 6 7 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 3 2 0 0 4 19 53 30 3 2 0 0 13 53 79 57 9 5 0 0 4 25 77 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 15| 27 39| 51 63| 75 87| 99 111|123 135|147 159|171 183 Forecast Hour
TXN 45| 61 43| 66 47| 76 49| 66 48| 59 47| 59 45| 63 46 46 67 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 2| 3 2| 4 3| 4 2| 5 2| 6 3| 7 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 46| 58 45| 63 48| 71 51| 62 51| 55 49| 55 47| 59 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 1| 3 2| 5 2| 5 2| 5 3| 6 3| 7 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46| 45 44| 43 39| 46 49| 50 49| 52 48| 50 45| 48 44 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 2| 3 4| 4 3| 4 2| 4 3| 4 3| 5 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 54 44| 57 45| 63 50| 59 49| 54 48| 54 46| 56 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 84| 60 82| 21 25| 30 80| 39 86| 91 85| 59 63| 56 53 Sky cover(%)
SSD 14| 27 22| 13 17| 26 17| 23 16| 10 13| 21 22| 21 29 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24| 26 23| 28 11| 29 24| 26 23| 24 22| 28 18| 32 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 1| 3 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 0| 0 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9| 11 4| 7 3| 7 4| 11 5| 8 4| 7 3| 6 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 2 2| 1 2| 2 3| 2 5| 3 6| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 4| 46 7| 0 0| 0 3| 17 44| 73 89| 77 56| 44 28 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 5| 49 51| 43 8| 10 2 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 5| 100| 51| 12 82 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 9 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 7 7| 6 3| 3 1 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 7 1| 1 0| 0 1| 5 9| 12 12| 13 10| 10 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 34| 34 0| 0 0| 2 13| 29 48| 85 85| 75 22| 31 21 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 71| 72 65| 97 92| 99 94| 90 81| 81 70| 73 70| 80 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 20 0| 51 3| 44 5| 40 3| 1 1| 32 5| 33 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 2100 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 195 207|219 231|243 255 Forecast Hour
TXN 68 49| 72 52| 73 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 7 5| 8 4| 9 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 65 51| 68 53| 69 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 7 5| 8 5| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 48 43| 48 44| 48 45 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 6 6| 6 6| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 48| 61 50| 62 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 52 51| 31 67| 48 58 Sky cover(%)
SSD 33 34| 31 18| 23 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27 23| 28 23| 29 25 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 3| 7 4| 7 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 5| 2 4| 3 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 26 12| 9 12| 12 11 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 2 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 2| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 23 5| 9 8| 6 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87 85| 89 88| 94 91 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 16 16| 30 18| 26 12 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
LGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1900 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 17| 29 41| 53 65| 77 89|101 113|125 137|149 161|173 185|197 209|221 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 47| 61 43| 66 47| 76 51| 66 49| 59 47| 59 45| 63 46| 68 49| 68 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 2| 2 2| 3 2| 4 3| 4 2| 5 3| 6 3| 6 4| 7 5| 7 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 45| 59 41| 63 44| 70 47| 61 47| 53 43| 52 41| 55 42| 58 44| 58 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 46| 60 42| 64 46| 73 49| 63 48| 55 45| 54 43| 59 44| 63 46| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 46| 62 43| 67 47| 76 51| 66 49| 59 47| 59 45| 63 46| 68 48| 68 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 48| 62 45| 69 49| 79 54| 70 50| 62 48| 62 46| 66 48| 73 52| 73 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 49| 63 45| 70 50| 80 55| 71 52| 68 50| 68 49| 72 52| 77 56| 77 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 2 1| 1 0| 1 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 1| 2 1| 2 2| 2 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 3 2| 2 2| 2 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 3 2| 2 2| 3 3| 4 3| 3 3| 3 2| 3 3| 3 4| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 18 | 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 9| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 53| 11| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 1| 0| 0| 0| 121| 54| 2| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 8| 0| 0| 13| 142| 94| 26| 4| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 19| 0| 0| 30| 183| 138| 68| 43| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 017|016 018|014 012|008 012|010 011|010 011|012 013|012 013|012 013|011 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|017 019|015 013|009 012|011 013|012 012|013 015|014 016|014 015|013 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 018|017 020|016 014|010 014|012 014|013 014|015 017|017 018|016 017|015 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|018 020|017 015|012 015|013 016|016 017|017 019|018 020|018 020|017 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|018 021|018 016|012 016|014 017|017 020|018 021|020 022|020 022|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)