NBM Guidance for LITTLE MCCOY CREEK (LMCO3)
42.7081N 118.5100W
Elevation 5052 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
LMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 74 79 80 82 83 84 84 83 80 77 73 72 71 69 67 66 65 63 61 59 57 57 61 65 69 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36 36 36 36 35 35 34 32 32 33 32 32 31 31 33 33 34 35 34 35 36 37 38 39 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 8 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 65 66 67 67 67 66 65 63 62 59 57 56 56 54 54 54 53 52 50 50 50 54 57 59 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 71 69 79 83 87 83 81 85 92 91 92 75 65 50 61 48 37 35 46 33 53 54 31 6 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 16 16 17 17 13 13 26 19 7 15 10 24 24 29 37 35 28 29 35 27 26 21 19 9 5 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 17 17 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 22 22 23 25 26 27 27 27 26 26 24 25 24 23 21 22 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 5 7 8 9 10 11 10 10 10 10 11 11 10 9 8 7 7 6 5 4 4 4 5 6 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 13 17 20 22 24 24 23 24 23 22 24 24 22 19 17 16 15 13 11 10 9 10 12 15 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 2 4 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 117118119120121121121121121120117114113111111110110110109108108107107107107 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130220210190140130150150150 90 80100130-88160-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 90150150140120120120130120 90 90 90110110130 80100100100100 80 80 90 80 70 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 4 5 3 4 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 35 59 74 89108115116111 87 38 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 13 26 46 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 21 22 22 21 22 23 23 22 22 23 24 25 26 27 27 28 27 27 25 25 26 25 24 24 Transport wind dir
TWS 8 12 16 17 19 19 19 19 18 16 14 15 17 17 15 12 8 8 7 6 6 6 8 9 12 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 43 56 66 77 70 64 55 38 16 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 15 26 51 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
LMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 57 79 48 76 56 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5 3 4 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 83 83 73 69 65 59 61 74 78 78 67 61 56 50 53 67 74 76 65 61 60 56 61 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 3 3 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35 32 32 31 34 35 38 38 35 31 27 24 28 27 30 28 26 20 20 19 21 20 23 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 6 9 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 67 65 59 56 54 50 54 63 65 62 54 50 47 43 46 57 63 60 52 49 48 46 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 87 85 92 50 37 33 31 0 1 10 34 12 20 13 20 0 3 19 16 4 8 11 17 Sky cover(%)
SSD 13 19 10 29 28 27 19 0 1 8 31 11 18 9 8 1 4 21 10 4 6 9 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 20 22 22 26 27 24 23 24 25 27 32 31 29 28 27 21 23 30 2 5 11 9 12 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 9 10 10 10 7 5 4 8 9 9 12 8 6 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 22 23 22 22 16 11 10 19 22 23 25 19 13 7 6 8 11 9 9 8 7 7 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 3 7 7 6 4 3 5 4 4 6 5 4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 2 4 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 4 1 3 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 2 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 2 4 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 4 3 3 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 120120120110110110110110110110110100 94 80 74 81 91 95 95 94100100100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 140150 80-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 1 2 2 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 120130 90110100100 90 60 70 80170 50 40120200200150140150140140160140 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 1 1 0 1 0 1 4 4 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 108111 7 5 5 5 13 62 98102 7 5 5 5 8 34 61 64 5 5 5 4 5 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 21 23 23 26 28 25 25 25 24 26 32 31 30 28 28 27 27 27 3 8 10 11 13 Transport wind dir
TWS 19 19 14 17 8 6 8 17 20 19 14 12 8 7 4 7 9 7 5 6 5 4 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 70 38 1 0 0 0 15 66 84 52 4 2 0 0 18 55 86 58 16 8 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
LMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 57| 79 48| 76 56| 84 60| 81 55| 74 54| 70 49| 68 49 53 81 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5| 3 4| 3 3| 2 4| 3 4| 5 5| 7 7| 8 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 59| 78 50| 76 56| 84 60| 79 55| 73 54| 69 50| 68 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 4| 2 3| 2 2| 2 2| 3 3| 6 4| 9 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35| 31 27| 20 20| 24 25| 23 29| 27 32| 33 33| 32 31 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 5| 4 3| 6 4| 3 5| 4 7| 8 7| 9 6| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 50| 62 43| 60 46| 66 49| 62 46| 59 47| 58 44| 57 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 33| 10 13| 19 11| 26 46| 36 52| 73 69| 56 63| 47 26 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27| 8 9| 21 9| 20 25| 16 20| 29 31| 18 23| 22 16 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24| 27 28| 30 9| 18 26| 23 24| 24 23| 26 28| 28 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5| 9 3| 2 3| 4 6| 10 7| 10 7| 7 3| 4 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2| 2 1| 1 1| 3 3| 3 3| 3 4| 3 3| 3 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11| 23 7| 9 7| 14 14| 26 16| 25 18| 20 9| 15 8 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4| 4 3| 3 2| 5 5| 7 7| 6 8| 7 7| 7 5 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 4| 1 3| 0 0| 0 1| 3 5| 6 25| 36 30| 31 7 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 1 0| 2 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 1| 2 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 4| 3 3| 0 1| 2 2| 3 4| 5 5| 7 8| 11 9 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| 5 3| 12 26| 26 25| 24 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 108|109 80| 95 103|112 107|103 88| 97 89| 97 84| 92 86 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 2| 51 1| 54 6| 49 5| 48 5| 46 4| 28 5| 48 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
LMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 72 52| 76 55| 79 57 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 8 6| 7 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 72 52| 76 55| 79 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 5| 8 5| 7 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 30 29| 28 29| 28 29 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 7| 8 7| 7 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 45| 61 46| 63 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 27 31| 29 37| 30 37 Sky cover(%)
SSD 10 20| 14 13| 15 14 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 25| 22 23| 27 24 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 2| 3 3| 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 2| 2 2| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 13 7| 11 7| 11 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 5| 5 5| 6 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 9 2| 5 10| 3 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 10 1| 5 3| 3 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 97 91|102 97|107 104 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 18| 35 19| 35 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
LMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 61| 79 52| 76 57| 84 62| 81 57| 74 54| 70 49| 68 49| 72 52| 72 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 4| 3 4| 3 3| 2 4| 3 4| 5 5| 7 7| 8 6| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 55| 75 47| 72 52| 81 57| 76 51| 68 47| 61 41| 58 41| 61 45| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 57| 77 49| 74 54| 82 59| 79 54| 70 50| 64 44| 62 45| 66 47| 66 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 61| 79 51| 76 56| 84 62| 81 56| 74 53| 71 48| 67 49| 70 51| 70 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 65| 81 55| 78 59| 86 66| 82 60| 79 58| 75 53| 73 53| 79 56| 79 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 66| 82 57| 79 61| 86 68| 83 62| 80 61| 81 59| 81 60| 82 60| 82 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 3| 5 1| 1 2| 3 3| 5 3| 5 3| 3 1| 2 2| 2 1| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 3| 7 2| 2 2| 3 5| 7 4| 7 4| 5 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 5| 8 3| 3 3| 5 6| 10 6| 9 7| 7 4| 5 4| 5 3| 4 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 6| 10 4| 3 3| 7 8| 12 10| 11 10| 9 6| 8 6| 7 4| 5 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 7| 11 5| 4 4| 9 10| 14 12| 13 13| 11 9| 11 8| 10 6| 7 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 7 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 9 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 11 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 15 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 19 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 21 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 16 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 16 | 15 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 20 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 20 | 18 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 36 | 36 | 18 | 24 | 38 | 38 | 34 | 28 | 23 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 41 | 39 | 20 | 30 | 44 | 44 | 40 | 36 | 31 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 45 | 43 | 23 | 36 | 49 | 49 | 47 | 42 | 40 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 26| 7| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 11| 68| 34| 0| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 012|008 015|011 011|005 009|007 012|008 011|008 011|007 010|007 011|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 013|009 016|012 012|006 010|008 013|010 012|010 013|010 012|011 014|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 014|009 016|012 013|007 011|009 013|011 014|012 015|012 017|014 016|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 014|010 017|014 014|008 012|010 015|013 016|014 016|015 018|016 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 014|011 018|014 016|010 014|011 016|014 018|016 020|018 021|019 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)