NBM Guidance for MITCHELL (MITO3)
44.5667N 120.1667W
Elevation 2979 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
MITO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
UTC 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Time (PDT)
TMP 63 67 70 72 76 78 80 81 81 81 79 76 70 67 63 61 59 57 55 54 53 52 51 53 60 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 44 46 48 50 50 49 48 47 46 45 43 42 41 41 41 41 40 40 40 40 39 39 38 39 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 56 59 62 66 69 70 70 70 68 67 66 64 59 57 55 54 51 51 49 49 48 47 46 48 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 88 68 42 34 4 2 2 2 2 6 3 4 5 7 16 17 13 13 25 25 21 22 33 29 15 Sky cover(%)
SSD 18 21 31 41 18 7 2 4 3 6 4 4 5 6 10 11 9 8 26 27 29 30 31 22 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 35 33 33 32 31 31 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 30 27 23 18 14 13 12 12 11 12 30 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 8 6 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3 4 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 11 8 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 108106104104105107110113115117118117115112109109109109108107106104102100 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 230230-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 220220220220220250180 70 60 90 70 60-88-88 36-88-88-88 29 60 35 35140 60 33 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 11 10 8 8 6 6 5 5 5 4 5 3 4 2 2 1 1 3 5 5 5 6 8 8 8 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 9 16 22 28 34 41 51 58 57 52 46 32 17 12 11 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 8 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 30 28 27 26 25 25 27 27 29 32 33 34 34 34 33 32 31 30 20 15 16 15 21 14 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 3 4 5 6 9 10 11 11 11 12 13 14 12 9 7 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 17 32 49 65 80 85 82 76 64 50 28 11 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
MITO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
DT /AUG 27/AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 51 80 48 71 45 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 4 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 72 80 81 70 61 55 52 60 70 77 78 70 60 53 48 55 62 68 68 60 53 49 45 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 48 45 41 41 40 39 39 43 43 39 39 40 40 39 40 43 37 33 34 35 34 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 66 70 67 59 54 49 47 54 63 67 64 58 53 49 45 50 58 61 57 51 47 44 42 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 34 2 6 5 17 25 22 15 1 1 5 7 18 21 19 19 6 27 20 12 24 24 15 Sky cover(%)
SSD 41 2 6 5 11 26 30 28 18 2 5 5 11 9 21 24 21 28 22 11 11 15 13 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 31 32 32 27 14 12 30 32 32 32 33 29 20 19 27 31 31 32 32 29 20 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 8 10 6 2 0 1 1 5 7 8 6 4 1 1 3 7 10 10 7 3 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 8 13 14 11 4 2 2 2 7 11 13 11 7 2 3 5 10 14 15 12 6 3 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 5 4 2 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 7 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 2 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 4 3 0 0 3 2 0 0 2 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 3 2 2 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 100110120110110110100 99100100110110 96 87 82 81 83 82 81 77 73 73 72 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 220180 90-88-88 29 35 33130160180 90-88 16 15 90100190 70 45 19 11150 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 28 51 52 17 5 4 4 8 28 45 48 9 5 4 4 16 41 60 63 12 5 4 3 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 27 32 34 32 20 15 27 28 28 31 34 31 27 26 27 29 28 29 33 30 23 20 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 11 12 12 5 3 4 3 5 9 10 11 7 5 5 5 8 12 14 12 7 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 65 82 50 3 2 0 0 20 63 83 52 4 2 0 0 15 20 78 72 18 9 0 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
MITO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 22| 34 46| 58 70| 82 94|106 118|130 142|154 166|178 190 Forecast Hour
TXN 51| 80 48| 71 45| 75 49| 82 52| 77 48| 73 48| 71 46 47 81 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 4| 3 3| 5 4| 3 5| 5 3| 7 4| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 52| 78 48| 68 45| 73 49| 80 52| 75 50| 71 50| 69 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 1| 2 2| 4 2| 3 3| 6 2| 8 3| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 39| 39 39| 33 33| 31 27| 32 34| 38 40| 38 39| 39 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 3 2| 4 4| 4 3| 4 5| 6 4| 8 6| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 47| 64 45| 57 42| 61 43| 64 46| 62 46| 60 46| 59 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 22| 5 19| 20 15| 11 21| 42 50| 49 51| 42 37| 36 21 Sky cover(%)
SSD 30| 5 21| 22 13| 8 30| 24 37| 27 19| 32 31| 18 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 12| 32 19| 32 18| 33 16| 33 21| 30 18| 30 19| 31 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 8 1| 10 2| 5 0| 7 1| 8 2| 7 2| 9 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 2| 13 3| 15 3| 9 1| 12 2| 14 3| 13 4| 15 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 4| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 2| 0 1| 1 0| 0 3| 19 19| 22 26| 31 15 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| 0 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 3 2| 2 1| 1 1| 2 3| 17 9| 6 5| 10 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 3| 10 11| 22 23| 24 17 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 104|109 82| 81 72| 87 93|104 98| 97 86| 93 85| 91 82 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 52 2| 46 7| 49 7| 46 6| 13 6| 37 6| 45 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
MITO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 202 214|226 238|250 262 Forecast Hour
TXN 71 46| 73 49| 75 50 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 7| 10 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 48| 72 50| 73 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 10 6| 10 6| 10 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 37 36| 38 36| 39 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 7| 8 8| 8 8 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 44| 60 45| 61 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 23 20| 35 29| 30 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 19 18| 30 16| 16 13 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31 19| 32 21| 33 36 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 1| 7 1| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 1| 3 1| 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 2| 11 2| 11 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 3| 3 2| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 21 10| 23 20| 17 13 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 1| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 16 11| 19 14| 16 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87 82| 90 85| 93 90 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 18| 27 11| 27 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
MITO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 52| 80 49| 71 45| 75 50| 82 53| 77 48| 73 48| 71 46| 71 46| 71 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 4| 3 3| 5 4| 3 5| 5 3| 7 4| 8 6| 10 6| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 48| 78 46| 68 41| 69 45| 79 47| 70 44| 65 43| 61 39| 60 38| 60 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 50| 79 46| 69 43| 72 46| 81 49| 74 46| 68 46| 65 42| 63 42| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 51| 81 48| 70 45| 77 48| 82 53| 79 48| 71 48| 69 46| 69 46| 69 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 55| 81 53| 72 48| 78 54| 84 57| 81 51| 79 51| 78 48| 80 49| 80 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 56| 82 56| 74 49| 80 56| 86 60| 83 53| 83 53| 82 54| 84 55| 84 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 6 0| 7 1| 4 0| 3 0| 5 0| 4 0| 4 0| 4 0| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 7 1| 8 1| 4 0| 5 0| 6 1| 5 1| 6 1| 5 1| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 8 2| 10 2| 5 1| 7 1| 8 2| 7 3| 8 2| 7 1| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 1| 9 2| 11 3| 6 2| 8 2| 9 3| 9 4| 10 3| 9 3| 8 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 10 3| 12 3| 7 3| 10 3| 11 4| 11 6| 13 5| 12 4| 10 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 19 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 24 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 8| 9| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 11| 42| 43| 21| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|010 014|011 016|009 010|005 009|007 013|009 012|010 012|011 013|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|010 016|013 017|011 011|006 011|009 014|012 015|012 015|013 016|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|011 016|014 018|013 013|007 012|010 016|014 018|014 017|015 018|015 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|012 016|015 019|015 016|008 014|011 017|015 020|016 020|017 020|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 017|012 017|016 020|016 017|010 015|012 018|016 022|019 023|018 022|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)