NBM Guidance for MERLIN (MLFO3)
42.4997N 123.3691W
Elevation 1155 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
MLFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 65 69 73 77 81 85 87 88 88 86 83 79 75 72 69 67 65 63 61 59 57 55 54 58 63 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 56 56 55 54 52 50 48 46 46 46 46 47 49 51 51 51 51 51 50 50 50 50 50 52 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 62 65 69 72 73 75 75 74 74 72 69 66 65 63 62 61 59 58 57 55 54 53 54 57 59 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 36 28 14 5 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 3 1 6 13 27 31 28 25 32 Sky cover(%)
SSD 35 31 24 8 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 9 17 34 34 32 34 36 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33 32 32 32 32 32 33 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 35 34 35 35 35 34 35 34 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 5 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3 4 5 6 8 10 11 13 14 14 14 13 12 10 9 9 9 8 7 5 5 4 3 4 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 96 92 89 87 87 89 91 93 95 96 96 95 94 93 92 90 89 87 86 85 83 82 81 81 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 2-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 1-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 44 28 17 9 5 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 3 8 11 12 13 16 17 17 17 14 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 36 24 15 7 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 10 12 13 15 16 14 14 13 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 36 22 10 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 6 9 10 11 13 16 14 14 13 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 2 60 23 31-88-88180-88-88-88 47 39 38 39-88-88 47 14 12 10 16 1 16 36 39 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 3 10100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 3 3 3 5 Visibility*
MVV 45 27 12 7 5 4 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 7 9 13 15 17 20 23 26 22 19 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 42 24 12 6 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 6 9 11 12 14 18 20 22 21 17 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 35 18 9 6 5 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 5 8 8 9 11 14 17 18 18 14 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 19 28 33 41 49 56 59 63 60 49 34 18 11 8 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 11 18 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 32 31 27 27 27 28 28 30 33 35 35 35 35 36 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 35 36 1 Transport wind dir
TWS 3 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11 10 8 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 29 49 64 83 87 86 80 70 55 33 15 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 32 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
MLFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 54 87 51 82 51 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 3 3 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 85 88 79 69 63 57 58 72 82 85 76 67 60 55 55 68 77 81 73 64 57 51 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 46 47 51 51 50 52 54 51 48 48 49 47 46 48 49 45 41 40 44 44 43 45 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 4 5 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 75 74 66 62 58 54 57 67 74 72 65 59 55 52 53 63 70 68 61 57 52 48 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 0 1 1 0 1 27 25 8 0 1 2 1 1 7 11 9 7 1 1 1 6 5 5 Sky cover(%)
SSD 0 1 1 0 1 34 34 20 0 1 3 1 2 8 3 17 9 2 2 1 28 13 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 34 34 34 35 35 35 33 33 35 34 34 33 34 34 35 34 35 35 35 35 2 3 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 6 5 3 3 1 1 3 5 8 6 5 4 2 2 4 7 8 5 5 2 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 14 13 9 8 5 4 8 12 15 14 12 10 6 5 9 14 16 14 11 7 4 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 3 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 89 95 95 92 87 83 81 83 85 91 92 91 88 83 87 82 77 73 80 78 77 76 74 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 2 0 2 0 10 15 14 8 4 3 4 7 11 16 17 8 3 3 4 6 9 13 16 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB -88-88 39-88 14 16 36 70270120-88 32-88 4200190230220230220200200230 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100 3100100100100100100 70 40100100100100100100100 30 Visibility*
IFV 3 2 2 4 11 18 21 9 2 2 2 4 7 11 16 9 5 3 2 4 7 10 16 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 56 60 18 5 4 4 11 28 48 55 17 8 4 3 11 35 53 50 21 6 3 3 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 28 33 35 35 35 35 36 35 34 35 35 34 34 35 0 35 34 35 35 36 0 1 3 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 9 11 6 6 4 5 4 8 10 11 7 5 4 4 7 8 10 11 7 5 4 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 86 55 4 2 0 0 16 61 86 57 5 3 0 0 13 49 86 64 21 11 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
MLFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 54| 87 51| 82 51| 87 53| 89 54| 84 52| 81 52| 81 51 50 86 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 3 3| 3 4| 3 3| 4 3| 5 3| 7 3| 8 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 57| 85 55| 81 51| 85 54| 86 55| 81 55| 79 56| 80 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 3 2| 2 2| 3 2| 4 2| 5 2| 7 3| 8 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50| 48 46| 41 43| 37 42| 44 46| 46 46| 45 46| 46 45 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 3| 5 3| 6 4| 6 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54| 72 52| 68 48| 70 49| 72 51| 69 52| 68 52| 68 51 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 27| 1 7| 1 5| 4 9| 19 35| 21 39| 21 33| 13 30 Sky cover(%)
SSD 34| 1 8| 2 13| 25 8| 23 28| 30 15| 17 21| 10 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 35| 35 34| 35 2| 35 36| 32 27| 27 23| 29 23| 31 35 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 8 2| 8 1| 6 0| 7 0| 7 0| 6 0| 6 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 1| 4 1| 3 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5| 15 6| 16 4| 12 2| 15 3| 15 2| 15 3| 14 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 2 2| 3 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 3| 5 3| 4 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 14 23| 16 25| 21 18 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 0 2| 0 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 2| 1 9 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 1 2| 7 2| 4 5| 6 4 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 1| 18 13| 16 18| 22 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83| 91 83| 73 76| 89 96| 99 90| 88 80| 89 85| 90 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 52 2| 53 8| 48 8| 46 7| 30 4| 43 7| 46 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
MLFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 84 51| 86 55| 89 56 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 5| 10 5| 9 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 83 54| 84 56| 87 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 10 5| 9 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43 44| 43 45| 43 46 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 6 5| 8 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 51| 70 51| 72 53 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 8 18| 9 20| 14 19 Sky cover(%)
SSD 7 13| 7 8| 7 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33 3| 35 3| 33 4 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 0| 5 0| 5 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 1| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 15 2| 13 3| 13 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 2| 4 2| 4 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 8 5| 10 6| 6 8 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 1 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 1 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 7 4| 8 3| 9 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 87 82| 88 83| 91 90 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 18| 35 20| 35 20 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
MLFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 56| 87 54| 82 51| 87 53| 89 54| 84 52| 81 52| 81 51| 84 51| 84 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 3| 3 4| 3 3| 4 3| 5 3| 7 3| 8 4| 9 5| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 52| 84 51| 79 46| 83 49| 85 50| 77 48| 72 48| 73 45| 75 44| 75 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 53| 85 51| 80 47| 86 50| 88 52| 81 49| 78 51| 75 48| 77 47| 77 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 56| 87 54| 83 49| 88 52| 89 54| 84 52| 82 52| 81 52| 81 52| 81 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 58| 88 56| 84 55| 89 56| 91 56| 87 54| 85 54| 86 54| 90 55| 90 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 59| 90 56| 86 56| 91 57| 94 57| 89 55| 89 56| 91 56| 96 57| 96 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 6 1| 5 0| 4 0| 4 0| 3 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 0| 0 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 6 1| 6 1| 4 0| 5 0| 5 0| 4 0| 4 0| 4 0| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 8 2| 8 1| 6 0| 7 0| 6 0| 6 0| 6 0| 6 0| 5 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 9 2| 9 1| 7 1| 8 1| 8 1| 8 1| 8 1| 8 1| 8 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 10 3| 10 2| 8 1| 10 1| 10 2| 11 3| 10 2| 11 1| 9 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 24 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 4| 1| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 21| 29| 23| 2| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 017|011 017|011 016|008 012|006 013|009 015|010 014|010 014|008 012|007 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 017|012 018|012 017|009 013|007 014|010 017|012 018|012 016|011 014|010 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 017|012 019|014 019|010 014|008 015|012 018|014 019|014 018|013 016|012 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 018|013 019|015 020|012 015|009 016|012 019|015 021|015 019|015 019|014 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|013 020|015 021|014 016|010 018|014 021|016 022|017 021|016 021|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)