NBM Guidance for MOUNT STELLA (MSFO3)
42.9361N 122.4347W
Elevation 4659 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
MSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 65 69 72 74 76 77 76 75 72 66 62 59 57 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 47 45 48 53 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45 44 45 45 45 44 44 45 45 44 45 45 46 46 46 46 45 45 45 45 44 44 45 46 45 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 62 65 67 69 68 66 64 63 59 55 53 53 52 51 50 49 49 48 46 45 45 47 51 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 2 4 4 2 1 3 2 3 6 2 4 5 6 9 9 17 30 30 37 35 47 43 31 35 12 Sky cover(%)
SSD 6 6 5 2 1 6 22 12 15 3 4 6 7 12 15 28 37 36 37 31 36 38 26 35 15 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24 23 25 25 26 29 29 30 31 32 32 35 36 36 36 36 36 34 36 36 35 34 36 36 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 9 11 12 12 13 14 14 13 11 10 9 8 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 3 3 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 92 92 92 93 94 95 97 98 99 99 97 95 93 91 90 88 87 85 82 81 79 78 79 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 4 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 10 12 14 17 16 15 13 10 6 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 7 11 11 10 8 6 3 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 5 8 9 8 6 4 1 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 230220210-88-88-88-88-88340-88 41 30 18 8 6 33 30 29 29 26 28 30 30 31 50 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 12 7 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 6 8 13 16 17 14 15 14 11 9 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 8 4 3 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 11 12 12 13 12 9 7 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 7 8 9 10 9 6 4 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 23 31 40 49 54 53 50 42 34 24 14 6 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 10 4 13 19 27 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 23 23 23 24 25 26 28 30 32 34 33 34 34 35 36 36 35 35 36 33 35 34 32 30 Transport wind dir
TWS 4 6 7 8 10 10 11 10 10 10 10 9 7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 54 67 84 88 87 80 69 54 31 13 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 33 50 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
MSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 45 72 43 79 52 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 2 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 76 75 62 55 52 49 48 61 69 69 57 52 47 45 48 67 76 77 62 57 56 54 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45 45 45 46 45 45 45 42 38 38 39 41 39 36 33 29 28 33 39 38 36 34 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 3 2 1 1 2 2 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 64 55 52 49 46 47 57 62 59 51 47 45 41 44 58 65 63 53 51 48 47 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 3 4 9 30 35 31 10 9 1 5 4 1 5 2 10 4 3 6 3 3 6 5 Sky cover(%)
SSD 1 12 4 12 37 31 26 13 22 1 5 4 1 4 3 18 8 4 5 3 4 5 5 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26 30 32 36 36 36 36 29 31 31 34 3 4 5 6 28 28 30 32 6 8 9 10 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 7 4 3 1 1 1 4 6 7 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 5 2 6 5 4 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 14 11 8 4 3 4 8 11 15 12 12 10 8 10 5 7 10 7 14 11 9 9 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 4 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 5 1 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 0 0 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 93 97 99 93 88 82 78 80 80 79 77 72 69 67 69 75 83 89 91 94100100100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 3 4 4 11 8 0 0 0 1 4 5 8 9 1 0 0 2 4 7 8 8 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB -88-88 41 8 30 26 30 70180180-88130110150170160140130120110170170130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90100100100100100100100100 90 Visibility*
IFV 2 0 1 1 6 12 12 3 1 0 0 2 5 9 9 3 2 0 0 3 5 10 11 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 54 42 14 4 4 5 13 34 47 40 12 3 2 3 3 33 56 49 5 4 2 2 2 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 24 28 34 34 36 36 34 29 29 34 35 2 5 6 6 30 28 30 34 6 9 10 11 Transport wind dir
TWS 10 10 10 6 3 3 3 5 7 10 11 7 4 4 4 3 4 7 9 6 5 4 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 87 54 3 2 0 0 16 62 82 57 5 3 0 0 14 50 87 64 20 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
MSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 45| 72 43| 79 52| 83 52| 74 48| 66 47| 65 44| 70 45 44 80 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 2| 3 2| 2 3| 5 2| 7 3| 7 5| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 49| 69 45| 77 54| 79 53| 69 51| 62 50| 62 46| 68 47 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 6 2| 7 3| 8 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45| 38 36| 33 34| 37 43| 45 45| 43 45| 43 40| 39 38 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 3| 3 6| 3 4| 7 3| 7 4| 8 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 59 41| 63 47| 65 49| 61 48| 56 48| 56 44| 59 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 35| 1 5| 3 6| 19 31| 28 65| 73 77| 50 39| 17 24 Sky cover(%)
SSD 31| 1 4| 4 5| 22 20| 22 23| 18 18| 24 21| 13 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 36| 31 5| 30 9| 29 9| 29 15| 26 19| 29 9| 29 8 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 7 4| 5 4| 7 1| 7 3| 5 4| 6 3| 5 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 2| 2 3 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 15 8| 10 9| 14 4| 14 8| 14 13| 13 7| 11 10 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 2 1| 2 3| 2 3| 3 4| 7 6| 6 4| 4 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 5| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| 25 37| 36 71| 64 39| 27 10 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 5| 11 35| 38 5| 1 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 9| 46| 43| 1 30 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 3 5| 6 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 0 0| 0 1| 1 3| 16 12| 4 10| 12 9| 11 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 29 20| 50 73| 53 13| 21 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 82| 79 67| 89 102|105 99| 95 83| 90 82| 81 73| 84 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 51 2| 54 8| 48 6| 47 7| 20 0| 2 0| 48 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
MSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 75 49| 79 51| 82 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 6| 9 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 73 50| 77 52| 79 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 38| 38 38| 40 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 6| 8 6| 8 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 62 45| 64 47| 66 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 14 20| 19 23| 15 21 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8 28| 29 27| 7 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 9| 30 2| 30 8 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 5| 4 4| 5 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 3| 2 2| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 10| 9 10| 10 9 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 5| 4 4| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 11 6| 7 4| 4 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 9 2| 6 1| 3 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 87| 95 93|102 100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 17| 31 17| 32 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
MSFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 48| 72 44| 79 52| 83 52| 74 49| 66 48| 65 44| 70 45| 75 49| 75 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 2| 3 2| 2 3| 5 2| 7 3| 7 5| 8 5| 9 6| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 46| 69 41| 76 49| 80 49| 66 46| 57 45| 55 39| 60 39| 63 41| 63 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 46| 71 42| 77 50| 81 51| 71 47| 62 46| 59 41| 63 41| 68 44| 68 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 47| 72 43| 80 52| 83 52| 75 49| 66 48| 64 43| 68 45| 77 49| 77 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 50| 73 45| 81 54| 84 54| 77 50| 70 49| 69 48| 77 48| 83 53| 83 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 52| 75 47| 82 55| 85 56| 79 53| 75 51| 75 49| 81 53| 87 57| 87 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 6 2| 4 1| 5 1| 4 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 1| 2 1| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 6 3| 4 2| 6 1| 5 2| 3 3| 4 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 7 3| 5 4| 6 2| 6 3| 5 4| 5 3| 5 4| 5 4| 4 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 7 4| 5 5| 7 3| 7 4| 6 6| 6 4| 6 6| 5 7| 5 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 8 5| 6 6| 8 4| 8 6| 8 9| 7 5| 7 9| 7 9| 7 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 20 | 20 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 23 | 23 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 22 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 57| 29| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 16| 81| 76| 3| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 43| 115| 106| 44| 20| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 017|013 017|010 012|007 012|009 013|010 012|011 013|010 012|009 012|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|014 018|011 013|008 014|011 015|012 013|013 015|012 016|012 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 018|015 019|012 013|009 014|012 016|014 016|014 017|014 018|014 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|015 019|013 014|010 015|013 018|016 018|015 020|016 020|016 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 019|016 020|014 016|011 016|014 019|017 020|018 022|018 021|017 020|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)