NBM Guidance for MUD RIDGE (MUDO3)
45.2540N 121.7370W
Elevation 4081 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
MUDO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
UTC 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Time (PDT)
TMP 52 54 56 59 61 63 65 65 64 63 61 59 55 53 51 50 49 49 48 47 46 46 45 45 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 52 54 52 50 47 44 43 44 45 45 46 48 49 51 51 50 49 49 48 47 46 46 45 45 48 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 52 54 55 57 59 60 60 60 59 58 56 55 53 51 50 50 49 48 47 47 46 45 44 45 49 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 49 42 48 46 33 28 32 14 9 14 11 14 21 30 39 33 24 32 34 40 44 43 50 60 42 Sky cover(%)
SSD 29 29 35 34 33 30 34 23 14 21 21 26 25 30 31 23 19 26 24 23 23 27 25 26 24 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31 30 31 34 35 34 34 32 31 29 30 30 30 30 30 29 30 31 32 32 30 28 28 28 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 8 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 7 2 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 12 0 12 12 12 12 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 12 0 0 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94 89 85 81 81 80 80 80 81 80 80 80 80 81 81 80 80 80 79 80 79 79 79 79 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 60-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 16 14 13 7 6 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 4 5 7 9 10 13 17 19 21 21 19 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 7 6 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 34 46 70 70 80 80 60 70 50 50 47 27 25 23 22 39 60 60 60 27 33 31 80 60120 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 4 5 7 9 10 10 8 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 4 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 6 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 5 4 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 14 21 23 25 27 32 33 33 33 28 25 21 14 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 26 26 26 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 29 30 30 28 29 29 28 28 28 28 29 29 28 29 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 12 12 12 13 13 14 13 15 15 15 14 12 11 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 13 26 36 50 69 75 76 76 60 46 26 11 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 13 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
MUDO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
DT /AUG 27/AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 44 67 42 58 39 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 2 2 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 59 65 63 55 50 48 46 48 60 65 63 54 49 46 44 44 51 56 55 49 45 43 40 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 43 45 49 50 48 46 48 44 43 46 48 48 46 44 44 42 39 43 44 45 43 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 60 58 53 50 47 45 49 57 61 57 51 48 46 44 44 51 54 51 47 45 42 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 46 32 14 21 33 34 43 42 4 3 3 15 51 62 63 58 28 29 21 39 45 55 51 Sky cover(%)
SSD 34 34 21 25 23 24 27 24 4 3 3 5 17 20 15 22 20 23 16 25 23 23 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 34 29 30 29 32 28 27 29 29 30 29 29 28 29 27 28 28 29 29 29 28 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 11 11 10 4 3 2 4 7 9 11 11 11 11 10 10 11 11 12 10 7 5 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 7 2 1 0 0 1 5 16 6 8 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 2 1 5 11 8 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 2 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 1 5 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 12 0 0 12 0 14 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 81 80 80 80 80 79 79 79 81 82 82 80 80 79 73 67 66 71 74 74 73 69 68 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 80 70 70-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 1 0 0 1 2 4 5 6 2 0 0 2 3 5 7 6 3 0 0 2 3 5 6 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 70 60 50 25 39 60 31120200180 50 9 1 1 1 3 10 24 30 19 9 1 1 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 0 0 0 2 5 6 2 1 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 25 33 28 14 5 4 5 4 25 34 26 13 9 8 10 19 28 38 35 14 8 7 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 27 28 30 29 28 29 29 28 27 28 30 29 28 28 28 28 28 29 29 29 29 28 Transport wind dir
TWS 12 14 15 12 9 7 6 6 7 10 14 12 12 13 13 11 11 12 14 12 11 10 10 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 50 76 46 3 2 0 0 13 62 83 53 5 2 0 0 4 16 75 66 15 8 0 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
MUDO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 22| 34 46| 58 70| 82 94|106 118|130 142|154 166|178 190 Forecast Hour
TXN 44| 67 42| 58 39| 66 43| 71 46| 65 44| 60 44| 59 42 46 68 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 2| 2 2| 5 3| 5 3| 5 2| 7 2| 8 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 46| 63 44| 55 40| 62 45| 66 46| 60 46| 57 46| 57 44 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 3 2| 4 3| 4 2| 5 2| 6 3| 8 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46| 46 44| 43 40| 40 37| 44 45| 49 46| 47 45| 47 43 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 2 2| 3 3| 3 4| 4 3| 4 3| 5 3| 5 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 45| 57 44| 51 40| 56 42| 59 46| 56 45| 54 45| 54 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 43| 3 63| 21 51| 19 31| 39 60| 38 64| 43 58| 36 41 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27| 3 15| 16 26| 25 27| 23 34| 23 19| 32 27| 26 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 28| 30 29| 29 28| 29 29| 29 28| 28 26| 28 26| 27 29 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 2 1| 2 0| 1 0| 1 0| 2 0| 1 0| 1 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 0 1| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 2| 11 10| 12 3| 6 2| 7 3| 10 4| 9 5| 9 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 1 3| 2 3| 2 2| 3 2| 3 5| 4 7| 4 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 2| 1 5| 11 8| 0 1| 0 7| 22 36| 45 51| 50 37 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 2 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 2| 11 19| 25 11 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 2| 0| 0| 4| 30| 36 37 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 3 4| 4 3 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 1| 5 1| 1 1| 1 2| 8 6| 7 8| 10 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 15| 0 23| 0 0| 0 1| 1 11| 33 33| 39 40| 40 28 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 79| 82 73| 74 68| 86 87| 97 91| 88 84| 86 80| 83 76 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 50 2| 40 6| 45 7| 42 5| 22 4| 17 1| 10 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
MUDO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 202 214|226 238|250 262 Forecast Hour
TXN 62 43| 65 45| 68 47 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 6| 9 5| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 60 46| 62 47| 64 49 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 6| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45 41| 45 41| 45 41 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 6 5| 7 7| 7 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 55 43| 56 45| 58 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 28 42| 33 44| 26 40 Sky cover(%)
SSD 22 32| 23 10| 13 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 28| 31 30| 32 10 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 0| 0 0| 1 0 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 4| 7 4| 7 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 5| 3 5| 4 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 35 22| 24 22| 19 17 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 4 8| 1 1| 1 1 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 12| 2| 2 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 3| 0 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 38 20| 27 12| 22 15 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 79| 86 81| 88 87 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 9 8| 13 6| 21 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
MUDO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 44| 67 43| 58 39| 65 43| 71 46| 65 44| 60 44| 59 42| 62 43| 62 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 2| 2 2| 2 2| 5 3| 4 3| 5 2| 7 3| 8 4| 10 6| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 42| 64 39| 55 36| 59 38| 66 42| 58 41| 52 41| 50 37| 50 36| 50 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 43| 66 42| 57 37| 62 41| 68 44| 60 42| 56 42| 54 38| 54 38| 54 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 44| 67 43| 58 39| 66 43| 71 46| 65 44| 61 44| 57 42| 62 43| 62 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 45| 68 44| 59 41| 69 45| 74 47| 68 45| 65 45| 66 45| 70 46| 70 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 46| 69 45| 61 43| 71 47| 77 49| 71 46| 70 46| 71 48| 75 52| 75 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 2 0| 2 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 2 0| 2 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 2 1| 2 0| 1 0| 1 0| 2 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 0| 3 2| 3 0| 1 0| 2 0| 3 0| 2 0| 2 0| 2 0| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 0| 3 2| 3 1| 2 0| 2 0| 3 1| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 15 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 21 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 12| 5| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 11| 52| 50| 23| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 5| 0| 0| 29| 89| 108| 49| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|013 017|016 017|011 012|007 011|010 015|011 014|013 014|013 014|012 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|014 018|016 019|013 012|009 013|012 016|014 016|014 016|015 016|014 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 018|015 019|017 020|014 014|010 014|013 017|016 019|017 018|017 019|016 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|015 020|018 021|017 016|012 016|014 019|018 021|020 021|018 020|018 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 019|016 020|018 022|018 018|012 017|015 020|019 023|022 023|020 022|019 90th percentile MSLP(mb)