NBM Guidance for BLACK ROCK (OKFO3)
43.5281N 121.8158W
Elevation 4905 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
OKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 64 70 73 75 76 76 74 72 69 62 57 53 51 49 47 46 44 43 42 41 39 39 45 51 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43 41 41 40 40 41 42 44 45 45 45 43 42 41 41 41 40 39 39 39 39 39 44 44 41 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 62 65 66 67 66 64 62 61 56 52 49 48 46 45 44 43 42 41 41 39 39 45 49 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3 3 4 0 1 1 2 2 4 9 3 9 12 13 24 21 17 17 22 19 37 26 17 8 12 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5 5 5 0 2 1 7 3 16 15 4 9 13 15 28 24 25 18 17 17 33 31 23 21 24 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 16 19 24 27 27 27 28 29 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 30 30 30 30 31 31 30 30 30 29 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 5 6 8 10 12 12 12 11 10 10 9 8 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 95 95 99102104105103100 97 97 95 94 92 91 90 89 87 85 82 81 79 79 79 78 78 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 2 2 3 2 1 2 0 0 6 8 10 13 15 18 19 20 17 20 21 21 21 18 15 13 9 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 2 1 3 1 1 2 0 0 3 5 7 8 8 9 9 10 8 10 13 15 15 13 12 10 7 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 5 6 9 11 12 10 9 7 4 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 220220190 43 37 44 33 24190 16 7 6 2 2 30 2 2 31 2 28 29 30 3170140 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 9 6 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 2 2 4 5 7 11 14 15 13 14 13 8 7 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 7 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 5 7 9 11 11 11 11 7 4 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 9 8 4 2 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 25 45 59 67 67 63 55 45 33 23 12 12 6 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 7 9 20 27 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 20 22 23 23 25 25 26 27 27 28 29 28 29 28 28 28 27 28 28 27 28 28 29 28 28 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 9 10 13 13 14 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 8 9 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 55 68 84 88 86 80 68 54 31 13 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 19 35 51 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
OKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 39 70 34 78 45 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 2 4 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 76 72 57 49 44 41 45 59 66 64 50 43 39 36 41 62 73 73 57 50 47 45 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 40 44 45 41 40 39 44 37 31 35 39 36 33 30 37 29 24 30 38 34 30 28 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 5 4 4 4 4 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 67 62 52 46 43 41 45 55 58 55 46 40 37 35 40 55 62 60 50 44 42 40 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 2 3 13 17 19 17 6 11 0 2 12 6 16 9 4 9 5 10 11 8 10 8 Sky cover(%)
SSD 2 3 4 15 25 17 23 25 17 0 3 12 4 29 7 20 6 5 9 10 6 7 6 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27 29 30 31 30 31 30 29 30 30 31 30 27 26 21 12 31 32 32 34 19 19 15 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 11 9 5 4 4 5 9 12 12 8 3 3 3 3 6 7 7 3 2 3 2 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 1 0 0 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 100100 95 91 87 81 79 78 81 79 74 71 69 68 67 75 84 93 95 92 93100 98 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 1 0 7 9 8 15 12 3 0 1 4 6 8 8 8 3 0 0 5 8 13 14 12 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 37 24 7 2 2 28 3120170 16 5 70110140150140130100110170140110110 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 1 5 11 11 1 0 0 0 1 4 8 10 0 0 0 0 3 5 11 13 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 67 45 12 4 5 5 9 33 49 38 11 3 4 4 3 31 60 63 6 3 4 5 2 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 25 27 29 28 27 27 29 28 28 29 30 31 32 27 30 29 30 30 33 3 9 11 14 Transport wind dir
TWS 13 14 11 7 6 6 6 9 12 13 11 6 5 4 3 5 6 8 9 6 4 5 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 86 54 3 2 0 0 19 63 86 57 5 3 0 0 15 52 85 63 20 10 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
OKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 39| 70 34| 78 45| 84 46| 75 43| 66 42| 63 39| 67 39 40 72 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 2| 4 4| 3 4| 5 3| 7 3| 7 4| 8 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 41| 64 36| 73 45| 75 46| 65 43| 59 43| 58 39| 63 39 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 1| 3 2| 3 2| 5 2| 7 3| 7 5| 8 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 39| 35 30| 30 28| 39 37| 45 38| 42 38| 41 34| 38 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3| 3 3| 5 4| 4 4| 6 5| 6 5| 7 6| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 41| 55 35| 60 40| 63 43| 59 41| 53 41| 53 38| 55 37 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 19| 0 16| 5 10| 20 49| 29 59| 72 74| 41 48| 27 32 Sky cover(%)
SSD 17| 0 29| 5 7| 20 30| 13 27| 16 16| 32 29| 14 28 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31| 30 26| 32 19| 29 25| 28 23| 25 23| 27 25| 30 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 3 1| 2 1| 3 2| 3 3| 3 4| 3 2| 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 0 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 12 3| 7 2| 12 3| 11 6| 12 7| 11 3| 9 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 1 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 3| 4 4| 3 3| 3 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 35 31| 35 73| 61 40| 23 14 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 3| 7 27| 17 3| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 7| 34| 20| 0 16 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 3 4| 4 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 1| 0 0| 0 1| 3 4| 22 14| 5 10| 12 8| 11 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 37 18| 57 71| 44 18| 21 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 81| 79 68| 93 100|110 100| 99 85| 91 81| 80 72| 85 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 53 2| 54 7| 48 6| 46 7| 15 0| 11 0| 45 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
OKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 73 42| 76 45| 80 46 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 5| 9 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 68 42| 71 45| 74 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38 32| 38 33| 39 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 6| 8 6| 6 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 38| 60 40| 62 42 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 21 31| 22 37| 21 33 Sky cover(%)
SSD 23 15| 29 23| 12 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 25| 31 34| 31 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 2| 2 2| 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 8 3| 8 3| 8 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 2| 3 2| 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 17 7| 11 10| 4 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 15 4| 11 1| 3 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 86| 97 92|104 100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 17 15| 26 13| 28 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
OKFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 43| 70 38| 78 45| 84 47| 75 44| 66 42| 63 40| 67 40| 73 43| 73 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 2| 4 4| 3 4| 5 3| 7 3| 7 4| 8 4| 9 5| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 40| 67 35| 73 41| 80 42| 67 41| 57 39| 55 35| 57 35| 60 37| 60 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 41| 68 36| 76 42| 82 44| 70 42| 60 41| 58 37| 60 37| 65 39| 65 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 42| 70 37| 79 44| 84 47| 76 43| 65 42| 63 39| 67 40| 75 42| 75 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 46| 72 38| 81 49| 86 50| 79 46| 71 44| 67 41| 75 41| 79 46| 79 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 48| 73 41| 82 51| 87 52| 80 47| 76 46| 75 46| 78 46| 83 50| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 2| 3 0| 2 0| 3 1| 3 2| 2 2| 2 1| 2 1| 1 1| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 3 1| 2 1| 3 2| 3 3| 3 3| 3 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 2| 2 1| 3 2| 3 3| 3 3| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 4 2| 3 3| 4 3| 4 4| 3 5| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 4 2| 3 3| 4 3| 4 5| 4 5| 4 5| 4 4| 3 3| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 10 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 12 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 15 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 21 | 17 | 17 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 32| 15| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 14| 62| 43| 2| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 46| 77| 70| 39| 13| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|013 019|010 013|006 012|008 013|009 012|010 014|010 012|010 014|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|014 019|011 013|007 013|010 014|011 013|012 016|012 016|012 016|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 018|015 020|012 014|008 014|011 016|013 016|014 018|014 018|014 018|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|015 020|013 016|009 015|012 017|014 018|015 020|016 020|016 020|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 019|016 021|014 017|010 016|013 018|016 020|018 022|018 023|018 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)