NBM Guidance for POLLY WOG (PYFO3)
45.4586N 121.4463W
Elevation 3386 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
PYFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
UTC 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Time (PDT)
TMP 61 64 67 69 71 73 74 75 73 72 68 63 58 55 54 54 53 52 52 50 50 50 49 50 57 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 51 50 49 48 45 44 42 41 41 42 42 43 43 43 43 44 43 43 42 42 42 42 42 42 44 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 59 61 64 66 66 67 65 64 62 59 56 52 50 50 50 49 48 48 47 47 47 46 48 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 17 17 28 8 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 5 10 14 14 15 11 13 14 12 15 19 20 32 19 Sky cover(%)
SSD 22 22 35 29 9 10 10 8 7 6 5 7 10 11 12 12 11 14 12 11 15 27 24 27 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 32 32 31 30 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 30 30 28 28 27 26 26 25 24 26 26 26 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 6 8 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 98 94 89 85 84 83 81 81 81 82 82 82 83 82 81 81 80 80 80 80 80 79 79 79 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 9 8 7 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 5 6 7 10 14 16 17 16 14 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 130 90130 90130160170160180240240 90 60 1 50160160170170220270260270250230 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 4 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 4 4 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 13 21 28 36 42 42 42 38 37 32 30 22 13 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 26 25 25 25 26 26 27 27 27 28 28 28 28 27 27 27 27 26 26 25 26 27 26 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 16 17 17 16 14 12 11 12 11 10 8 8 8 7 8 8 7 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 20 37 52 65 82 85 84 77 65 50 29 12 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
PYFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
DT /AUG 27/AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 49 75 47 66 46 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 2 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 69 74 72 58 54 52 50 57 69 74 72 57 53 50 48 55 62 66 63 52 49 48 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 48 42 42 43 44 42 42 44 44 43 42 40 39 39 39 40 39 39 40 38 35 34 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 64 67 62 52 50 48 47 54 63 67 62 52 48 46 45 51 57 61 56 47 44 43 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 8 5 3 10 15 14 19 19 2 5 1 6 15 21 53 25 7 17 8 19 24 26 28 Sky cover(%)
SSD 29 10 6 10 12 12 27 26 2 5 2 6 10 17 35 21 7 20 7 11 15 22 23 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31 29 29 30 28 26 26 27 29 30 29 28 27 27 27 27 28 29 29 28 27 26 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 11 13 10 7 5 4 6 8 10 13 12 10 10 10 11 12 14 14 10 7 6 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 0 1 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 1 5 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 85 81 82 83 81 80 79 79 81 88 84 81 80 79 74 67 67 70 73 73 71 69 68 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 1 0 0 0 2 3 4 6 1 0 0 1 2 5 6 6 3 0 0 1 2 5 6 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 90170240 60160170260230200190240240 60130 37 1 28140170130130 1130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 1 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 36 42 32 13 5 5 5 5 32 47 30 14 5 5 5 18 46 56 50 18 5 5 5 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 25 26 27 28 27 26 26 27 28 27 28 28 27 27 27 27 28 28 29 28 27 26 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 11 15 17 14 12 8 7 7 8 12 17 17 13 12 12 15 14 14 16 16 12 12 11 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 65 84 50 3 2 0 0 18 62 83 53 5 2 0 0 15 51 79 73 18 9 0 0 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
PYFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 22| 34 46| 58 70| 82 94|106 118|130 142|154 166|178 190 Forecast Hour
TXN 49| 75 47| 66 46| 72 49| 77 52| 72 49| 67 49| 67 48 50 75 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 2 2| 4 4| 3 4| 5 3| 6 3| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 50| 72 48| 63 46| 70 50| 74 52| 68 50| 64 51| 64 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 2 2| 4 3| 4 3| 5 3| 7 3| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 42| 42 39| 40 34| 39 31| 40 39| 45 41| 45 41| 44 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 2 3| 3 3| 3 4| 4 5| 3 5| 4 6| 5 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 47| 62 45| 56 43| 60 44| 63 48| 61 47| 57 47| 58 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 19| 1 53| 8 28| 12 29| 27 57| 31 53| 32 54| 30 29 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27| 2 35| 7 23| 28 29| 26 34| 25 26| 27 25| 24 23 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 26| 29 27| 29 26| 31 25| 31 26| 28 25| 29 26| 29 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 3 3| 3 1| 2 0| 1 2| 3 1| 1 1| 2 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 13 10| 14 5| 7 2| 7 5| 11 4| 8 4| 8 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 3| 3 3| 2 1| 3 2| 3 3| 4 4| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 0| 1 2| 0 1| 0 8| 20 26| 37 45| 42 29 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 6 12| 18 7 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 18| 25 16 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 3| 4 3 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 1| 5 1| 1 1| 1 2| 7 6| 7 7| 11 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 1 16| 20 35| 38 39| 38 23 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 79| 84 74| 73 68| 86 87| 97 91| 89 84| 86 80| 82 76 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 51 2| 54 7| 46 7| 40 4| 20 6| 21 2| 20 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
PYFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1400 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 202 214|226 238|250 262 Forecast Hour
TXN 69 49| 71 52| 74 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 6| 8 6| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 67 52| 69 53| 71 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 6| 8 6| 8 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 43 36| 42 36| 42 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 5 6| 6 8| 7 8 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 46| 60 47| 61 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 20 30| 23 29| 21 34 Sky cover(%)
SSD 14 21| 13 15| 10 15 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 26| 31 29| 32 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1 0| 1 0| 1 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 3| 7 3| 7 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 3| 3 4| 4 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 26 18| 18 21| 19 14 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 5| 0 1| 2 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 5| 1| 2 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 1| 0 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 25 19| 17 12| 19 10 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 82 79| 85 81| 87 86 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 17 15| 23 9| 25 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
PYFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 49| 75 48| 66 46| 72 49| 77 52| 72 49| 67 49| 67 48| 69 49| 69 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 2 2| 4 4| 3 4| 5 3| 6 3| 8 5| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 46| 73 45| 64 44| 66 45| 73 46| 65 45| 59 45| 58 42| 58 42| 58 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 47| 74 46| 65 45| 70 46| 75 49| 68 46| 64 46| 61 44| 62 45| 62 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 48| 75 48| 66 46| 72 48| 77 51| 73 48| 67 48| 65 46| 67 48| 67 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 52| 77 50| 67 47| 75 52| 79 55| 76 52| 72 50| 74 50| 76 52| 76 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 53| 77 51| 69 48| 76 54| 81 57| 79 53| 76 53| 77 55| 81 59| 81 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 2 1| 3 1| 1 0| 1 1| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 3 2| 3 1| 1 0| 1 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 0| 1 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 3 3| 4 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 4 4| 4 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 2 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 4 4| 4 3| 3 1| 3 3| 4 3| 4 3| 4 3| 3 2| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 14 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 17 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 21 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 34| 37| 10| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 19| 83| 94| 30| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|012 016|014 016|010 011|006 010|009 013|010 012|012 013|012 014|012 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 017|012 016|015 017|012 012|008 012|010 014|013 015|013 015|014 015|013 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 017|013 017|016 019|014 013|009 013|011 016|014 017|015 017|016 018|016 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 018|013 018|016 020|016 016|010 014|013 017|016 020|018 020|018 020|018 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|014 018|017 020|017 017|011 015|013 018|018 022|020 022|019 022|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)