NBM Guidance for ROCK CREEK (RCRO3)
42.5471N 119.6578W
Elevation 5646 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
RCRO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 72 75 77 79 81 82 83 82 82 79 77 70 67 65 64 61 60 58 56 55 55 54 58 66 69 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 24 23 22 22 22 20 19 19 18 19 19 18 18 21 25 26 29 30 32 32 32 32 33 35 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 59 62 64 65 66 65 63 63 61 59 54 53 51 52 50 50 48 48 47 47 46 50 56 58 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 72 60 49 26 20 17 24 12 22 23 21 54 46 77 73 70 70 74 86 87 80 80 92 77 42 Sky cover(%)
SSD 24 27 29 30 33 26 26 20 28 32 30 37 32 24 31 31 30 23 18 16 21 28 14 26 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 23 22 23 23 24 24 24 24 24 25 24 24 24 25 26 26 25 21 18 17 18 20 20 20 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 11 12 12 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 13 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 5 6 6 7 9 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 16 17 19 22 24 26 28 28 27 25 21 18 17 16 14 11 10 10 9 8 8 8 9 10 13 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 99 99100102105107109111112113112111112113114115118120121120120119118118117 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 130130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88130130130230230220260230220250200-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 130130100 80 80 90110 80110130130 90110110110 90160160150170150150170140130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 18 36 50 64 77 86 91 95 93 82 28 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 20 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 24 23 23 22 23 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 23 25 26 27 28 27 25 21 18 19 18 19 21 Transport wind dir
TWS 11 15 18 20 22 23 23 24 23 21 15 11 11 11 10 8 7 6 6 6 5 6 6 8 12 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 36 53 66 86 88 84 79 67 51 28 10 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 18 32 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
RCRO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 53 79 47 77 43 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5 4 5 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 82 82 70 64 58 55 66 74 77 75 65 60 54 48 59 69 75 73 61 55 48 43 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 3 4 5 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 20 18 18 25 30 32 35 37 35 31 29 34 36 36 39 37 32 28 27 27 26 27 28 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 6 9 11 11 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 66 63 54 52 48 47 56 62 64 59 53 51 47 44 53 59 63 59 50 45 42 38 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 17 22 54 73 74 80 77 56 72 61 67 23 10 12 24 1 11 25 49 21 10 8 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 26 28 37 31 23 21 26 28 18 37 32 28 7 9 3 4 15 22 36 23 10 7 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 24 24 24 25 25 17 20 21 23 25 23 24 24 22 22 24 25 28 32 33 32 27 20 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 16 16 10 9 6 5 7 14 17 16 14 11 7 7 8 12 16 15 15 10 6 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 26 27 18 14 10 8 10 23 26 26 24 17 10 10 11 18 25 25 23 16 10 5 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 4 5 6 4 3 5 5 3 4 5 6 4 3 4 5 4 4 6 5 4 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 0 0 3 2 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 2 2 1 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 3 2 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 4 3 3 2 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 5 0 0 0 7 7 7 0 0 0 1 1 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110120120120120120120110110110100100100110110110 99 96 92 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88130230230200-88170210130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 90110 90110160150140 80130200 90-88110-88-88 60 80 80 80130190180160 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 86 93 6 5 5 5 6 61 91 91 6 5 5 5 8 62 96103 7 6 5 5 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 23 24 24 26 27 18 19 22 23 24 23 28 28 23 23 24 25 27 33 34 33 25 15 Transport wind dir
TWS 23 23 11 10 6 5 8 18 21 21 14 11 7 7 8 18 20 20 15 10 6 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 84 51 2 1 0 0 18 57 69 37 2 1 0 0 16 54 86 60 14 7 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
RCRO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 53| 79 47| 77 43| 75 46| 81 47| 75 42| 72 42| 71 40 43 77 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5| 4 5| 3 4| 5 5| 2 4| 4 4| 6 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 55| 75 48| 73 43| 73 47| 77 47| 72 45| 69 45| 68 44 Temperature(F)
TSD 4| 5 3| 2 3| 5 3| 2 2| 4 3| 6 3| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 32| 31 36| 28 27| 19 24| 19 26| 19 27| 24 29| 27 31 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4| 11 5| 5 5| 5 6| 4 4| 6 6| 7 6| 9 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 47| 59 44| 59 38| 57 40| 60 41| 56 39| 55 40| 55 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 80| 61 12| 25 8| 6 13| 25 50| 24 45| 42 24| 27 28 Sky cover(%)
SSD 21| 37 9| 22 7| 12 11| 26 31| 18 23| 31 17| 23 23 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 17| 25 22| 28 27| 31 21| 24 22| 25 20| 24 23| 27 23 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5| 16 7| 15 3| 8 6| 15 11| 16 11| 15 8| 16 6 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3| 3 3| 3 2| 2 3| 3 4| 3 5| 3 5| 4 4 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 8| 26 10| 25 5| 15 9| 24 14| 26 16| 25 11| 25 9 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3| 4 3| 4 2| 3 3| 4 6| 5 7| 5 7| 6 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 2 2| 1 3| 1 0| 1 0| 2 4| 5 13| 15 12 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 12 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 4 3| 3 2| 1 1| 3 2| 8 6| 5 4| 6 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 4 0| 7 1| 0 0| 1 1| 2 2| 6 9| 16 14 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 120|116 104|109 92|103 102|108 94| 99 86| 97 90|101 94 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 44 0| 54 5| 50 7| 47 5| 46 4| 42 4| 48 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
RCRO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 70 40| 72 43| 74 45 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 10 7| 10 8| 10 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 67 44| 70 45| 71 47 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 7| 9 7| 9 7 SD of temp(F)
DPT 26 29| 24 28| 24 28 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 10 8| 10 10| 10 9 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 55 39| 56 40| 56 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 24 19| 18 25| 33 24 Sky cover(%)
SSD 15 14| 11 13| 27 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 27 29| 29 30| 23 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 12 5| 11 5| 10 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 4 4| 4 4| 4 4 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 21 7| 19 7| 17 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 5| 6 5| 5 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 18 11| 9 14| 8 8 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 1| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 1| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 11 8| 5 8| 12 6 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 99 89| 97 89| 99 95 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 21 18| 36 20| 34 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
RCRO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 53| 79 48| 77 43| 75 46| 81 48| 75 42| 72 42| 71 40| 70 40| 70 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 5| 4 5| 3 4| 5 5| 2 4| 4 4| 6 5| 8 6| 10 7| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 47| 73 43| 73 38| 69 40| 78 43| 70 37| 64 36| 61 32| 58 31| 58 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 49| 77 44| 75 40| 73 43| 80 44| 72 39| 68 38| 65 35| 62 35| 62 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 54| 79 47| 77 43| 77 45| 81 46| 77 42| 71 42| 70 40| 68 38| 68 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 56| 82 52| 79 46| 79 50| 82 52| 79 46| 77 45| 78 44| 79 44| 79 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 59| 84 54| 81 49| 81 54| 83 54| 79 48| 80 47| 80 48| 82 50| 82 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 3| 11 4| 11 2| 5 3| 10 6| 10 5| 9 4| 8 3| 7 3| 7 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 4| 14 5| 13 3| 7 4| 11 8| 13 7| 12 5| 10 4| 9 4| 8 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 5| 16 7| 15 4| 8 6| 13 10| 15 10| 14 7| 14 7| 11 6| 10 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 6| 17 9| 16 5| 9 9| 15 14| 17 14| 16 13| 16 10| 15 8| 13 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 9| 18 11| 18 5| 11 10| 17 17| 19 18| 18 17| 18 14| 18 11| 17 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 12 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 15 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 17 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 17 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 22 | 19 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 18 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 24 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 20 | 31 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 32 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 24 | 36 | 38 | 38 | 39 | 36 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 2| 16| 17| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 014|009 014|008 015|008 010|005 010|008 014|009 014|008 012|008 012|008 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 015|010 015|009 016|009 011|006 012|009 015|011 016|010 014|011 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 015|011 015|010 017|011 012|007 013|010 017|013 017|013 017|013 017|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 016|012 016|011 019|013 015|009 015|011 018|015 020|015 020|016 020|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 016|013 016|012 019|015 018|010 016|013 019|016 021|017 022|017 021|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)