NBM Guidance for SELDOM CREEK (SDFO3)
42.4075N 122.1913W
Elevation 4885 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
SDFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
UTC 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Time (UTC)
PDT 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Time (PDT)
TMP 64 68 72 75 77 79 79 79 78 77 71 65 61 59 57 55 54 52 51 49 48 46 46 54 62 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 49 48 47 47 46 45 45 46 45 44 43 44 43 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 43 43 48 46 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 61 65 67 69 70 69 67 66 64 61 57 55 53 51 50 49 48 47 47 46 45 45 52 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 15 15 11 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 19 19 29 12 13 23 14 35 33 26 29 34 9 6 Sky cover(%)
SSD 40 34 27 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 6 37 43 42 45 37 33 30 31 34 25 32 37 29 30 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 22 23 24 25 25 26 27 28 27 27 26 24 23 24 24 24 24 25 26 25 24 26 28 36 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 10 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 102102102103105106107108108109109109109107107108107105103100 98 96 94 92 92 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 200200200200200-88-88-88-88-88-88 13 13 0 1 0 4-88340200120110190 0 49 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 4 3 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 1 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 17 28 38 48 55 58 57 55 47 34 21 7 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 15 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 21 22 22 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 28 28 27 26 25 25 25 24 30 28 27 27 26 21 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 14 12 11 10 10 7 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 34 53 68 85 90 88 82 70 55 32 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 18 35 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
SDFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 Forecast Hour
TXN 45 77 42 71 37 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 2 3 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 79 78 65 57 52 48 54 70 77 75 62 54 49 44 49 64 70 69 57 49 44 39 45 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45 45 44 42 42 42 48 44 41 43 43 42 43 43 48 44 38 38 36 36 38 37 41 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 70 66 57 51 48 46 52 63 67 64 55 50 46 44 50 59 63 59 50 45 42 38 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 0 19 12 14 26 9 3 8 2 2 0 5 15 22 2 7 14 4 3 4 4 3 Sky cover(%)
SSD 1 0 37 45 30 25 29 27 25 5 2 0 5 15 20 5 21 20 4 12 13 6 4 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 28 26 24 24 25 28 23 25 28 27 27 27 28 28 28 29 30 30 30 36 5 7 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 11 6 4 4 4 4 10 13 12 8 5 4 4 5 10 14 12 7 5 5 5 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 2 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 2 1 1 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110110110110110 98 92 93 98100110110100 92 88 85 88 85 87 87 82 80 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB -88-88 13 1-88120 0 26230230-88-88-88 0 1170140200-88200190170180 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 58 47 7 5 5 5 4 37 54 40 10 4 4 4 5 37 50 40 10 4 4 5 4 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 24 26 28 26 25 28 26 21 23 27 29 28 27 27 29 27 28 30 31 33 2 5 8 Transport wind dir
TWS 13 14 10 7 4 3 3 10 14 14 11 8 6 5 5 8 12 12 11 6 5 4 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 88 55 4 2 0 0 18 64 86 56 5 3 0 0 11 53 85 64 21 10 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
SDFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 21| 33 45| 57 69| 81 93|105 117|129 141|153 165|177 189 Forecast Hour
TXN 45| 77 42| 71 37| 77 43| 78 42| 71 39| 68 39| 68 38 40 76 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 2| 3 3| 4 3| 2 2| 5 3| 7 4| 9 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 48| 75 44| 69 39| 75 46| 75 45| 69 43| 68 43| 68 41 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 2 2| 3 3| 4 3| 3 2| 5 3| 7 4| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 42| 43 43| 38 37| 32 34| 35 39| 38 40| 38 39| 38 37 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 3 1| 4 2| 5 4| 4 3| 7 3| 6 3| 7 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 64 44| 59 38| 62 43| 62 43| 59 41| 58 41| 58 40 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 26| 2 15| 14 4| 2 9| 24 24| 22 44| 27 26| 14 23 Sky cover(%)
SSD 25| 5 15| 20 6| 4 8| 19 27| 26 29| 24 29| 11 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25| 28 28| 30 5| 29 10| 28 24| 28 22| 29 27| 29 34 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 3 2| 3 2| 2 3| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 0 1| 0 1| 1 1| 1 1| 0 1| 1 2| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 12 4| 12 5| 9 5| 10 4| 12 5| 11 5| 12 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 1 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 4 18| 19 18| 19 20 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 2 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 1| 2 16 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 1 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 2| 1 1| 0 1| 0 2| 3 4| 11 5| 5 6| 7 6 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 8 11| 19 17| 22 14 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 98|104 92| 85 80|100 100|105 94| 95 84| 94 86| 95 87 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 53 2| 53 8| 50 8| 47 6| 44 5| 38 7| 48 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
SDFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1500 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 201 213|225 237|249 261 Forecast Hour
TXN 70 38| 72 41| 75 43 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 7| 10 7| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 70 41| 71 43| 74 46 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 7| 10 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35 36| 34 36| 35 36 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 9 7| 8 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 59 40| 60 41| 61 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 15 20| 15 21| 18 18 Sky cover(%)
SSD 11 14| 10 7| 9 12 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 34| 30 5| 32 6 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3| 2 3| 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 6| 9 6| 9 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 2| 3 2| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 14 12| 9 19| 10 10 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 3| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 3| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 16 9| 12 8| 11 9 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 84| 94 84| 97 91 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 22 19| 36 21| 36 20 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
SDFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 45| 77 42| 71 37| 77 43| 78 42| 71 39| 68 39| 68 38| 70 38| 70 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 2| 2 3| 3 3| 4 3| 3 2| 5 3| 7 4| 9 5| 10 7| 10 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 43| 75 38| 67 33| 72 39| 75 39| 65 35| 60 35| 57 31| 58 29| 58 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 44| 76 40| 68 34| 75 42| 76 41| 67 36| 64 36| 62 34| 61 33| 61 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 45| 77 42| 70 37| 77 44| 78 43| 70 38| 69 40| 68 37| 67 36| 67 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 47| 79 43| 73 40| 79 46| 79 44| 75 41| 74 42| 75 42| 78 43| 78 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 47| 80 45| 75 42| 80 46| 81 45| 77 43| 77 43| 79 45| 83 48| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 3 1| 3 2| 2 2| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 2| 1 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 3 1| 3 2| 2 2| 3 1| 3 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 3 2| 3 2| 2 3| 3 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 3| 3 3| 3 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 3 2| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 4 2| 4 3| 3 3| 3 3| 3 4| 3 4| 4 4| 4 4| 3 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 3| 3| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 6| 19| 20| 17| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|011 016|012 016|009 011|006 012|009 016|011 015|012 014|010 013|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|012 017|013 017|010 012|008 014|011 017|013 018|013 016|012 015|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 017|012 018|014 018|011 014|009 015|012 018|015 019|014 018|014 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|013 018|014 020|013 016|010 016|013 020|016 022|016 020|016 020|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 017|013 018|015 020|014 017|011 017|014 021|017 023|018 022|017 022|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)