NBM Guidance for SUGARLOAF (SGFO3)
43.6636N 122.6291W
Elevation 4554 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
SGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 58 61 63 64 66 67 67 66 64 61 54 50 48 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 51 53 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46 49 49 50 50 50 49 48 47 46 44 43 43 43 42 41 42 40 40 39 40 40 41 42 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54 58 62 63 64 64 62 60 58 56 51 47 46 46 45 45 45 45 45 44 44 45 45 49 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5 2 2 1 2 2 1 5 5 8 16 18 22 21 32 37 40 52 62 64 63 63 55 22 31 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5 3 4 2 3 2 2 11 11 14 22 33 34 32 33 36 36 31 32 35 44 39 37 25 35 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 31 30 30 29 30 30 30 30 30 30 28 27 27 25 25 25 23 23 25 23 23 24 30 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 8 9 10 11 12 12 12 11 8 8 9 7 7 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 3 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 7 3 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 12 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 85 85 86 87 88 89 88 88 87 86 85 84 84 83 82 81 80 79 78 76 74 75 74 74 74 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 45 35 27 35 35 45-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 7 2 7 4 2 2 0 0 7 9 12 15 18 22 24 26 23 26 29 32 31 29 25 21 16 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 2 1 3 1 0 2 0 0 3 5 8 9 9 10 11 12 9 11 14 18 18 17 16 13 8 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 6 7 10 13 14 13 11 8 4 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 90 60 10 10 14 31 15 15 11 15 27 20 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 14 18 31 45 42 12 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90100 90 10 5 20100100 Visibility*
MVV 14 9 6 4 4 1 1 1 2 3 4 3 2 7 9 11 13 19 23 25 21 22 20 13 11 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 10 5 4 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 4 5 7 8 13 15 18 17 17 16 10 7 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 5 8 9 12 11 13 11 7 4 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 21 25 30 32 37 38 39 38 36 29 9 10 5 3 4 4 10 5 4 3 4 4 5 15 28 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 33 32 31 30 29 29 29 29 29 31 31 30 30 30 29 25 26 26 27 27 26 28 30 29 31 Transport wind dir
TWS 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 53 66 82 86 82 76 66 53 31 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 30 44 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
SGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 46 64 44 69 49 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 1 2 2 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 66 66 54 47 47 47 47 55 61 62 51 46 46 46 46 59 66 66 53 49 50 50 51 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50 48 44 43 42 39 41 41 44 41 39 37 36 33 36 38 41 40 39 36 35 32 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 64 60 51 46 45 44 45 53 58 56 47 43 43 42 44 54 61 58 48 45 45 44 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 2 5 16 21 40 64 55 25 12 4 10 11 3 13 6 12 5 4 10 5 5 7 7 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3 11 22 32 36 35 37 37 30 7 26 27 3 26 7 16 5 5 10 4 5 7 6 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 30 30 27 25 25 24 32 31 32 34 1 9 8 12 33 32 32 32 0 17 16 17 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 5 3 3 2 1 1 3 5 5 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 2 1 2 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 12 8 7 4 3 3 7 12 14 8 8 4 6 6 7 11 12 5 4 6 6 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 4 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 7 3 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 10 2 3 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 88 88 85 83 80 76 74 72 72 73 71 68 67 68 68 70 80 86 90 91 92 97 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88 27 45-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 8 10 9 18 16 3 0 1 5 8 10 11 13 3 0 0 5 9 15 16 16 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 14 15 27 18 18 14 45 38 80 21 28 70 90140150130110110100100180100110 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100 90 20100100100100100100 80100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 2 0 2 4 8 18 16 3 1 0 0 2 5 10 10 2 0 0 2 3 5 12 11 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 37 38 9 3 10 3 5 31 41 38 10 3 2 2 4 24 38 31 5 3 1 1 2 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 29 29 31 30 26 27 30 32 31 32 35 36 6 7 6 36 34 35 35 5 10 8 11 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 8 8 6 3 3 3 5 7 8 9 6 3 3 3 4 5 6 7 4 3 3 3 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 82 53 4 2 0 0 14 53 85 56 5 3 0 0 14 33 84 60 20 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
SGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 46| 64 44| 69 49| 74 50| 67 48| 61 47| 59 45| 63 46 49 75 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 1 2| 2 3| 3 3| 4 3| 6 3| 6 4| 6 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 47| 62 46| 66 50| 70 51| 62 51| 56 51| 56 48| 60 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 1 1| 2 2| 3 3| 5 3| 6 3| 6 4| 7 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 39| 41 33| 40 32| 45 41| 50 43| 50 44| 50 38| 48 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4| 2 3| 3 4| 3 5| 4 4| 5 5| 5 6| 5 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 44| 56 42| 58 44| 62 48| 59 47| 54 48| 54 44| 57 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 64| 4 13| 4 7| 17 44| 26 56| 81 79| 52 53| 29 31 Sky cover(%)
SSD 35| 7 26| 5 7| 25 26| 23 29| 15 16| 26 28| 24 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25| 32 8| 32 16| 30 20| 28 19| 24 20| 29 18| 31 17 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 5 2| 4 2| 4 1| 5 3| 3 3| 2 3| 3 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 1| 2 3| 2 2| 2 2| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 14 6| 12 6| 12 4| 13 8| 13 10| 11 6| 12 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 3| 3 6| 7 5| 5 4| 4 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 10| 2 3| 0 0| 0 0| 20 26| 46 81| 68 49| 31 16 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 3| 20 51| 39 8| 5 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 5| 71| 47| 5 40 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 4 7| 6 3| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 15 11| 4 9| 12 8| 10 5 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| 19 19| 68 78| 55 15| 19 9 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 76| 73 68| 86 97|101 97| 91 81| 87 77| 76 71| 81 80 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 50 2| 47 7| 46 6| 46 7| 4 0| 6 0| 43 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
SGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 69 49| 72 52| 74 53 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 10 6| 9 7 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 65 51| 69 54| 71 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 6| 9 6| 9 7 SD of temp(F)
DPT 48 35| 48 37| 50 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 7| 7 6| 6 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 46| 62 48| 63 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 15 35| 16 27| 14 38 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27 32| 14 13| 15 21 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 31 20| 32 35| 31 9 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 3| 3 3| 3 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2| 2 2| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 10 7| 10 6| 10 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 4| 3 4| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 13 8| 8 4| 2 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 9 3| 6 1| 1 4 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 88 87| 92 92| 99 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 15 12| 26 16| 31 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
SGFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 46| 64 44| 69 49| 74 50| 67 48| 61 47| 59 45| 63 46| 69 49| 69 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 1 2| 3 3| 3 3| 4 3| 6 3| 6 4| 6 4| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 43| 62 43| 65 45| 71 46| 62 45| 52 44| 53 41| 56 42| 59 43| 59 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 44| 64 43| 67 46| 72 48| 64 46| 56 45| 55 43| 59 43| 62 44| 62 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 46| 64 44| 70 49| 74 51| 67 48| 62 47| 59 45| 63 45| 67 48| 67 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 48| 65 45| 71 52| 75 52| 70 50| 64 49| 63 46| 67 47| 74 52| 74 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 49| 65 47| 72 53| 77 54| 71 52| 68 50| 65 48| 72 52| 81 57| 81 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 4 1| 3 1| 3 1| 2 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 1| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 4 2| 3 1| 4 1| 4 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 2| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 1| 5 3| 4 3| 4 2| 5 3| 3 3| 3 3| 4 3| 3 3| 3 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 1| 6 3| 5 4| 5 3| 6 5| 5 6| 5 4| 5 5| 5 5| 4 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 7 3| 6 5| 6 4| 7 7| 7 8| 6 5| 6 6| 6 7| 5 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 8 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 14 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 24 | 18 | 17 | 16 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 30 | 23 | 21 | 19 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 18| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 84| 24| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 11| 114| 79| 10| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 2| 0| 0| 25| 139| 121| 47| 17| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|015 018|012 012|008 012|010 013|010 012|012 013|011 012|011 012|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|016 019|013 013|009 014|011 014|012 013|014 015|013 016|013 015|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|017 020|014 014|010 014|012 015|014 016|015 017|016 018|015 017|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|017 020|015 015|011 015|013 017|016 018|016 019|018 020|017 019|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|018 021|016 016|012 016|014 018|017 020|019 022|020 021|018 020|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)