NBM Guidance for SEVEN MILE CREEK (SMCO3)
43.2100N 124.3175W
Elevation 515 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 59 61 63 63 64 64 63 62 60 59 57 56 56 55 55 54 54 53 52 51 51 50 52 55 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 54 54 54 53 52 52 51 52 52 53 53 53 52 52 52 51 51 50 50 49 49 50 51 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 61 63 64 63 63 61 59 58 57 55 55 55 53 53 53 52 51 51 51 50 50 51 54 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 49 44 13 6 1 1 4 4 5 8 13 21 28 35 29 29 30 24 32 29 26 37 27 32 18 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27 21 14 7 2 2 5 6 8 14 24 31 34 37 30 35 32 27 31 27 25 30 32 26 19 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 3 36 35 34 34 34 35 35 35 36 36 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 5 6 8 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6 9 11 13 15 17 19 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 11 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 67 66 64 62 61 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 61 61 62 62 63 63 63 64 65 65 65 66 67 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 3 22 27-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 26 9 7 4 0 1 0 0 1 3 5 8 10 13 17 19 21 25 27 31 35 35 35 28 18 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 4 4 4 5 7 7 11 16 21 22 21 22 18 13 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 4 5 9 14 19 21 18 17 14 9 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 22 70100110210210210-88 8140 80 60 70 70 60 47 70 90 90 80 3 22 27140170 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 80 8 5 3 8100100 Visibility*
MVV 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 7 11 18 25 30 27 28 22 11 5 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 5 8 14 19 23 24 25 18 10 5 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 9 13 16 17 20 15 8 4 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 15 25 30 30 27 26 25 24 21 15 8 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 11 16 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 1 0 36 36 35 35 36 36 36 36 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 Transport wind dir
TWS 5 8 9 11 12 14 15 17 16 14 12 11 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 9 10 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 28 38 64 80 84 79 69 54 32 14 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 31 46 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 30 /AUG 31 /SEP 1
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 50 68 51 66 54 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 1 2 2 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 64 62 57 55 54 51 52 62 66 62 57 55 53 52 52 62 64 62 58 57 57 56 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 53 51 53 52 51 50 50 51 50 51 52 53 52 51 52 54 54 55 55 55 55 55 55 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 63 59 55 53 52 51 51 60 64 60 55 54 52 51 52 61 64 60 57 56 55 55 55 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 1 4 13 35 30 29 27 30 5 8 27 25 29 48 37 32 40 57 83 88 89 88 83 Sky cover(%)
SSD 2 6 24 37 32 27 32 29 10 17 23 26 29 23 21 22 30 26 23 11 9 9 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 35 36 2 2 3 3 1 35 36 0 1 2 3 2 34 33 33 33 27 21 19 19 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 9 6 6 4 3 4 7 11 12 9 6 3 2 2 4 7 6 2 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 15 20 17 14 11 9 9 15 21 25 21 15 9 6 5 10 14 14 4 3 3 3 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 0 2 0 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 25 25 3 3 7 7 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 61 60 61 61 63 64 65 67 80 93 95 95 87 83 92 93 96 90 90 91 92 92 85 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88 27-88-88-88-88 7 8 5 7 19-88 33 6 9 10 8 7 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 4 4 7 21 22 5 0 3 11 36 43 45 39 24 9 13 28 38 35 41 43 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 210-88 80 70 70 80 27130220210140 7 8 5 7 19110 33 6 4 4 4 4 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100 8 8100100100100100100 60100100100100100100 60 40 70 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 1 8 23 18 0 0 0 1 6 13 25 24 2 0 0 3 9 19 27 25 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 27 24 8 4 4 4 6 22 18 14 9 5 5 4 5 16 17 18 6 4 5 5 7 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 35 36 0 1 2 3 3 1 0 36 0 1 2 2 2 36 35 35 34 27 27 20 21 Transport wind dir
TWS 12 17 12 9 8 8 8 11 16 18 14 9 6 5 5 8 10 11 5 4 4 3 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 84 54 4 2 0 0 13 58 83 55 5 3 0 0 4 32 55 42 16 8 0 0 2 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 |SUN 06 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 50| 68 51| 66 54| 64 55| 62 54| 62 51| 63 51| 64 52 50 68 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 1 2| 2 2| 3 1| 3 2| 3 3| 3 2| 4 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 51| 62 52| 62 56| 61 57| 58 55| 59 52| 60 52| 60 53 Temperature(F)
TSD 1| 1 1| 1 2| 2 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 3| 3 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 50| 51 51| 55 55| 54 54| 55 54| 54 51| 53 51| 54 52 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 2| 2 3| 2 3| 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 51| 60 51| 60 55| 59 55| 57 54| 58 52| 59 51| 59 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 29| 8 48| 57 88| 60 93| 94 80| 52 68| 60 64| 32 50 Sky cover(%)
SSD 27| 17 23| 26 9| 30 8| 9 12| 27 20| 30 20| 20 32 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 3| 36 3| 33 19| 23 18| 20 19| 25 14| 32 7| 33 7 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3| 12 2| 6 1| 9 6| 12 4| 6 2| 6 2| 6 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 3 2| 3 2| 3 1| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9| 25 6| 14 3| 20 19| 31 11| 14 5| 13 4| 14 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 2 1| 3 2| 5 6| 7 6| 6 4| 6 3| 5 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 0 2| 0 4| 24 42| 81 87| 59 45| 31 18| 27 19 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 57 54| 23 6| 3 0| 6 2 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 3| 111| 29| 3| 8 28 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 7 7| 4 2| 1 0| 2 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 1| 6 5| 13 14| 14 5| 3 3| 2 3 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 25 7| 19 52| 97 64| 47 23| 23 12| 19 10 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 64| 93 83| 90 92| 81 85| 86 70| 69 66| 70 73| 78 78 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 5| 49 2| 33 6| 20 3| 7 1| 45 7| 39 6| 44 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1600 UTC
MON 07| TUE 08| WED 09
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 66 52| 67 54| 68 54 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 4 2| 4 2| 4 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 62 54| 63 55| 63 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 3 2| 3 2| 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 52| 55 54| 55 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2| 2 2| 3 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 53| 60 54| 61 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 29 60| 33 54| 35 53 Sky cover(%)
SSD 19 22| 7 20| 16 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 5| 34 2| 35 2 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 2| 8 2| 8 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 5| 17 6| 18 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 5 3| 5 3| 6 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 12 7| 5 10| 14 11 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 10 4| 3 8| 12 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 82 88| 91 95| 97 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 19 16| 30 17| 32 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/29/2026 1300 UTC
SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 51| 68 51| 66 54| 64 55| 62 54| 62 51| 63 51| 64 52| 66 52| 66 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 2| 1 2| 2 2| 3 1| 3 2| 3 3| 3 2| 4 3| 4 2| 4 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 49| 66 48| 64 52| 60 54| 59 51| 59 48| 60 49| 60 49| 61 50| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 50| 67 50| 65 53| 61 54| 60 53| 60 49| 61 50| 61 50| 63 51| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 51| 68 52| 66 54| 64 55| 61 54| 61 51| 62 51| 63 52| 65 52| 65 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 53| 68 52| 68 56| 66 56| 63 55| 63 53| 65 52| 65 53| 68 54| 68 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 54| 69 53| 69 57| 69 57| 66 57| 64 55| 67 54| 70 55| 71 55| 71 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 3| 10 2| 4 1| 5 4| 7 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 3| 11 2| 5 1| 6 5| 9 2| 4 1| 4 2| 4 2| 4 2| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 3| 12 2| 6 2| 8 6| 11 4| 6 2| 6 2| 6 2| 6 2| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 4| 13 3| 7 2| 10 7| 13 5| 8 3| 8 3| 8 3| 8 3| 9 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 4| 13 3| 8 3| 11 8| 14 6| 11 4| 11 4| 10 4| 10 4| 10 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 20 | 26 | 15 | 15 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 21 | 27 | 17 | 19 | 31 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 14 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 23 | 29 | 19 | 22 | 36 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 17 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 27 | 41 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 21 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 27 | 33 | 23 | 30 | 45 | 33 | 28 | 26 | 25 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 13| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 71| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 107| 38| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 13| 138| 62| 8| 11| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 44| 184| 84| 55| 50| 7| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|015 012|010 012|012 010|010 009|012 011|012 012|013 012|013 012|012 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|015 012|012 012|013 011|012 011|013 013|014 014|014 015|015 014|014 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|016 013|012 013|014 013|012 012|015 015|016 016|017 017|017 016|016 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|016 013|013 014|015 014|014 015|017 017|018 018|018 018|019 019|018 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|017 014|014 015|016 016|016 016|018 019|020 019|020 020|020 020|019 90th percentile MSLP(mb)