NBM Guidance for SEVEN MILE CREEK (SMCO3)
43.2100N 124.3175W
Elevation 515 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 59 61 62 63 63 63 63 61 60 59 57 56 56 55 55 54 54 53 53 53 52 52 53 56 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 56 56 56 55 55 55 54 54 54 53 53 53 53 53 53 52 52 52 52 51 51 51 52 53 54 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 57 61 64 64 64 63 61 59 58 57 56 54 54 54 54 53 52 52 52 52 51 51 53 55 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 42 37 16 12 10 19 28 45 38 38 37 36 47 37 49 40 60 54 52 56 67 66 47 42 40 Sky cover(%)
SSD 24 25 18 10 11 29 26 24 21 32 35 36 37 34 35 38 29 30 38 35 29 16 33 29 26 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 36 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 1 1 1 4 5 7 5 5 6 8 9 7 2 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 4 6 7 8 9 9 9 7 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 11 13 15 17 19 19 19 17 14 11 8 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 1 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 79 80 79 79 78 78 78 78 79 79 79 78 77 76 72 71 79 85 81 79 77 75 73 70 68 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 5-88-88-88 22-88-88 13 13 22 15 7 11 7 11 15 18 13 5 3 2 2 2 3 4 Ceiling height*
MVC 69 32 31 27 36 16 14 53 66 39 44 53 56 58 60 56 48 56 60 67 69 69 63 55 46 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 50 30 22 13 14 9 11 21 20 24 29 32 30 27 24 22 19 24 31 43 46 46 44 38 31 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 26 16 7 6 2 3 3 5 7 9 12 16 16 14 13 15 12 16 21 29 33 34 32 25 16 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 5 13 6 8 11 10 10 10 12 9 4 4 4 5 9 12 9 10 5 3 2 2 2 3 4 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 40 60 70100100100100100 80 70 80 80 80 80 70 70 60 10 10 5 5 3 3 10 60 Visibility*
MVV 35 23 15 8 10 4 4 3 6 8 12 13 13 17 19 22 25 37 44 46 39 43 41 25 19 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 22 11 8 5 4 0 1 1 0 1 5 5 5 9 10 12 16 24 29 32 31 34 31 20 12 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 9 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 5 7 9 16 17 20 19 26 21 11 6 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 15 19 19 19 21 19 19 19 18 17 8 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 11 18 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 1 36 36 36 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 36 0 1 2 2 3 2 5 4 4 5 2 2 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 10 11 12 14 15 15 14 14 12 9 7 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 31 49 71 79 76 61 53 39 19 11 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 21 28 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 52 65 50 67 51 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2 2 2 1 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 63 61 57 55 54 53 53 61 64 61 57 55 53 51 51 61 65 62 57 55 53 52 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 55 54 53 53 52 51 52 53 53 52 53 53 51 50 50 51 51 51 52 53 52 51 52 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 64 59 56 54 52 52 53 60 64 59 56 54 52 50 51 60 64 58 55 54 52 51 53 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 10 45 37 37 60 56 47 43 6 11 51 31 47 38 39 10 3 12 25 22 25 33 38 Sky cover(%)
SSD 11 24 35 34 29 35 33 24 7 7 31 31 35 35 23 7 4 9 14 20 20 17 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 35 35 35 1 5 5 9 0 34 35 36 2 3 3 3 1 35 35 36 1 1 2 2 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 9 4 1 1 1 2 3 8 10 7 6 4 3 4 6 10 12 9 6 4 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 17 19 11 4 3 3 4 9 16 20 17 14 10 8 8 14 21 24 20 14 9 6 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 2 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 1 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 12 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 78 78 79 76 79 79 73 67 62 60 61 61 64 65 65 81 85 96 91 92 94 93 91 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 22 13 15 7 18 3 2 27-88-88 18 21-88 35-88-88-88-88-88-88 5 6 7 Ceiling height*
IFC 14 21 29 27 19 43 44 14 5 8 17 20 26 29 32 13 2 5 17 25 44 49 46 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 11 10 4 5 9 3 2 27190-88 18 21 32 35110160150120150140 5 6 7 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100 80 80 60 5 3100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 30 50 Visibility*
IFV 4 1 5 9 16 32 31 3 2 0 1 4 11 21 22 0 0 0 3 9 13 28 27 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 21 19 8 4 4 4 5 25 27 22 10 5 5 4 8 21 21 15 9 4 5 4 6 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 35 35 35 0 2 5 5 1 36 36 0 1 2 3 3 1 36 36 1 1 2 3 2 Transport wind dir
TWS 14 14 9 4 4 4 4 7 13 16 12 8 7 7 7 9 14 17 13 9 7 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 76 39 4 2 0 0 9 41 81 56 5 3 0 0 5 47 83 60 21 10 0 0 2 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 52| 65 50| 67 51| 66 54| 64 54| 61 54| 62 51| 64 51 50 68 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 2| 2 2| 1 2| 2 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 3| 4 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 53| 61 51| 62 52| 61 55| 60 55| 58 55| 60 52| 61 52 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 2 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 3 SD of temp(F)
DPT 51| 52 50| 51 51| 54 54| 54 53| 55 54| 53 51| 53 51 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 2| 2 2| 3 3| 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 52| 59 50| 58 51| 60 54| 59 54| 57 54| 58 52| 59 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 56| 11 38| 12 33| 52 78| 51 87| 92 83| 49 54| 35 40 Sky cover(%)
SSD 35| 7 35| 9 17| 31 12| 26 9| 10 12| 31 33| 21 31 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 5| 35 3| 35 2| 34 17| 25 18| 20 20| 28 6| 32 7 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 10 3| 12 2| 6 1| 6 5| 10 3| 6 3| 8 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 20 8| 24 6| 14 3| 14 13| 25 10| 15 6| 17 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2| 3 2| 2 2| 5 2| 4 7| 8 6| 5 4| 6 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 4| 28 22| 65 78| 51 33| 19 9 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 3 1| 29 38| 23 3| 2 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 4| 67| 26| 2 28 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 4 6| 4 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 9 5| 6 11| 9 7| 8 4 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 2 20| 14 37| 89 65| 41 24| 10 9 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 79| 60 65| 96 93| 92 90| 80 79| 88 73| 71 69| 76 78 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 3| 44 2| 49 8| 40 5| 43 7| 5 0| 3 0| 44 7 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1600 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 67 53| 68 54| 68 54 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 5 3| 6 2| 4 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 63 54| 64 55| 63 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 4 3| 4 2| 4 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 52| 54 53| 55 53 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 3| 2 2| 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 53| 61 53| 61 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 31 52| 35 55| 36 63 Sky cover(%)
SSD 30 20| 8 10| 5 15 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 34 5| 32 9| 32 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 8 2| 7 2| 6 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 1| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 19 5| 17 5| 15 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 6 3| 5 3| 6 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 7 4| 4 2| 3 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 4 2| 1 2| 2 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 84| 86 89| 93 93 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 12 8| 24 18| 32 18 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
SMCO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 52| 65 50| 67 51| 66 54| 64 54| 61 54| 62 51| 64 51| 67 53| 67 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 2| 2 1| 1 2| 2 2| 3 2| 3 3| 3 3| 4 3| 5 3| 5 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 49| 63 49| 65 49| 63 51| 60 51| 58 50| 60 48| 60 48| 61 49| 61 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 50| 64 49| 66 51| 65 52| 62 52| 60 53| 60 49| 61 49| 63 51| 63 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 52| 65 50| 67 52| 66 54| 64 54| 61 54| 62 51| 63 51| 65 52| 65 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 53| 67 51| 68 52| 67 55| 66 55| 63 55| 63 53| 66 53| 70 55| 70 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 54| 67 53| 68 53| 68 56| 68 56| 65 56| 66 55| 68 55| 74 56| 74 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 8 2| 10 2| 4 1| 4 2| 4 1| 3 1| 4 2| 4 1| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 9 3| 10 2| 5 1| 5 3| 7 2| 4 2| 5 2| 5 2| 5 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 10 3| 11 3| 6 2| 6 4| 9 3| 6 3| 7 3| 8 3| 7 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 10 4| 12 3| 8 2| 8 6| 12 5| 8 4| 10 4| 10 3| 9 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 11 4| 13 4| 10 3| 10 7| 14 6| 10 4| 11 4| 11 4| 10 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 11 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 12 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 14 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 21 | 22 | 26 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 16 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 22 | 24 | 28 | 18 | 18 | 29 | 21 | 21 | 22 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 23 | 22 | 35 | 25 | 27 | 25 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 26 | 28 | 31 | 27 | 26 | 41 | 31 | 29 | 28 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 25| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 66| 3| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 8| 93| 44| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 21| 120| 75| 19| 0| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|018 018|015 012|012 012|013 012|011 011|012 012|013 012|011 011|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|019 018|016 013|013 013|014 013|013 012|015 014|015 015|014 014|013 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|020 019|016 014|014 014|015 015|015 015|016 017|017 017|016 016|015 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|020 019|017 014|014 015|016 016|017 017|018 019|019 019|018 018|017 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|020 020|018 015|014 016|017 018|019 019|021 021|021 020|020 020|019 90th percentile MSLP(mb)