NBM Guidance for TROUT CREEK (TCFO3)
44.1111N 122.5772W
Elevation 2283 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
TCFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 64 68 70 73 75 75 75 73 71 65 61 58 55 55 53 52 51 50 50 49 49 52 54 56 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 54 54 53 52 51 49 48 48 47 46 46 47 47 47 47 47 48 48 48 48 48 49 49 49 49 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 63 66 67 69 68 67 66 65 63 58 55 54 52 52 51 49 50 50 49 48 49 51 53 54 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 2 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 8 15 19 11 17 28 35 48 58 62 68 67 59 44 38 45 16 Sky cover(%)
SSD 3 8 2 0 0 0 3 6 8 17 23 17 25 27 31 34 30 36 40 40 38 23 30 33 27 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 31 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 27 26 24 23 23 23 22 21 20 19 16 12 12 30 28 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 8 9 8 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 6 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 13 14 15 16 15 14 14 12 15 15 13 11 10 7 6 5 5 4 4 5 7 7 8 10 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 0 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 0 14 0 0 0 0 3 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 82 83 83 83 84 84 85 85 84 83 82 81 81 81 81 79 77 74 72 73 73 73 71 70 69 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 45 35 35 35 35 35 35 45 45 Ceiling height*
MVC 11 10 4 0 2 0 0 2 3 4 6 8 10 13 16 20 22 26 30 30 28 26 24 20 14 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 5 6 5 5 4 5 8 10 9 8 7 5 3 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 4 5 5 4 3 2 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 210 80 24 32 40 36 42 50 47 43 37 30 33 33 27 20 16 15 15 14 15 26 26 41 34 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 0 2 3 4 8 10 9 10 11 10 8 4 2 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 6 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 4 5 5 6 8 7 5 3 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 3 2 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 30 35 38 42 46 50 51 49 38 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 8 18 29 40 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 31 30 30 30 29 30 30 30 31 31 30 30 29 28 27 27 26 27 26 26 25 26 28 29 30 Transport wind dir
TWS 7 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 64 81 84 83 77 66 52 29 13 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 22 38 50 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
TCFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 49 70 46 74 51 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 2 3 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 73 75 65 55 52 50 52 59 67 69 61 54 50 47 50 62 72 73 63 56 53 51 55 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 52 48 46 47 47 48 49 49 46 44 42 43 44 44 45 46 45 43 41 41 42 41 42 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 66 58 52 49 49 51 57 64 62 54 50 48 45 49 58 66 63 55 51 49 48 50 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 0 1 15 17 48 68 44 16 8 6 7 6 4 31 12 18 4 6 16 9 14 15 12 Sky cover(%)
SSD 0 3 17 25 34 40 23 27 20 22 12 6 5 42 10 15 14 10 9 6 9 11 9 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 32 31 24 23 20 12 28 30 32 31 36 9 10 8 32 32 33 33 5 8 9 9 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 9 8 8 6 3 2 3 6 10 9 7 6 5 7 7 5 10 9 4 5 8 8 6 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 15 14 15 11 6 4 7 10 16 16 14 10 9 10 11 10 16 16 8 8 11 11 10 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 3 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 0 1 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 12 14 0 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 83 85 83 81 79 72 73 69 70 70 69 67 67 68 66 68 85 91 90 92 94 94 97 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88 35 35 45-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 3 6 4 10 7 0 0 0 0 4 6 6 12 2 0 0 3 5 9 6 10 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 32 42 43 33 20 15 26 34 42 41 42180120150100130120110130130130120130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 0 2 5 7 0 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 42 51 6 4 3 3 8 40 54 53 8 3 2 2 6 28 38 32 5 3 2 2 3 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 30 30 31 29 27 26 26 30 30 32 35 36 4 7 6 35 33 35 34 6 8 7 10 Transport wind dir
TWS 9 8 8 6 4 3 3 6 10 9 8 6 5 7 7 5 10 9 6 5 8 8 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 83 52 3 2 0 0 13 50 76 54 5 2 0 0 13 49 80 59 19 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
TCFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 49| 70 46| 74 51| 78 53| 71 52| 64 50| 64 48| 68 48 51 77 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 2 3| 3 3| 5 3| 6 3| 6 4| 6 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 50| 69 47| 73 51| 78 54| 70 54| 62 54| 63 50| 68 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 3| 5 3| 6 3| 6 4| 7 4 SD of temp(F)
DPT 48| 44 44| 43 41| 46 49| 52 50| 53 51| 52 47| 50 45 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 2 2| 3 4| 3 3| 4 3| 5 3| 4 4| 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 49| 62 45| 63 48| 67 52| 64 52| 59 52| 59 49| 62 48 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 68| 6 31| 6 15| 25 50| 29 66| 80 76| 58 61| 26 32 Sky cover(%)
SSD 40| 22 42| 10 11| 24 23| 25 31| 14 22| 21 30| 21 30 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 20| 32 10| 33 9| 29 15| 27 16| 24 17| 29 10| 31 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 9 7| 9 8| 7 4| 10 10| 5 11| 5 10| 7 13 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3| 2 2| 2 3| 2 3| 3 4| 3 5| 3 3| 3 5 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 4| 16 10| 16 11| 14 8| 18 16| 17 18| 15 15| 16 17 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3| 2 2| 2 3| 2 4| 3 6| 6 7| 5 5| 4 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 1| 20 28| 53 84| 68 51| 34 20 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 26 54| 27 11| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 3| 80| 38| 3 40 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 4 7| 4 3| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 13 13| 6 10| 11 9| 9 5 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 14| 3 0| 0 0| 0 7| 20 25| 81 81| 66 20| 20 14 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 72| 70 68| 91 94|100 96| 90 79| 85 74| 75 70| 80 79 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 45 1| 50 7| 46 5| 45 6| 3 0| 33 4| 28 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
TCFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 73 52| 77 55| 78 55 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 5| 9 5| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 73 53| 76 55| 77 56 Temperature(F)
TSD 8 5| 9 5| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 51 45| 51 46| 52 47 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 5| 7 5| 7 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 65 50| 68 51| 69 52 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 15 37| 15 33| 18 36 Sky cover(%)
SSD 8 25| 10 9| 24 6 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33 10| 32 10| 31 9 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 14| 6 12| 6 11 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 3 6| 3 6| 3 5 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 14 19| 13 17| 14 16 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 7| 3 7| 3 6 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 15 10| 8 5| 2 4 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 11 6| 13 2| 1 3 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 86 85| 90 90| 97 96 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 14 13| 29 19| 30 15 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
TCFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 50| 69 47| 74 51| 78 53| 71 52| 64 50| 64 48| 68 48| 73 52| 73 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 2 3| 3 3| 4 3| 6 3| 6 4| 6 4| 8 5| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 47| 67 44| 70 48| 75 49| 64 48| 57 47| 57 43| 61 43| 64 46| 64 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 48| 69 45| 72 48| 77 51| 69 50| 60 49| 60 45| 64 46| 66 48| 66 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 49| 69 46| 74 51| 78 54| 72 52| 65 51| 64 48| 68 48| 72 51| 72 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 53| 71 47| 75 54| 80 55| 75 54| 69 52| 67 50| 72 50| 78 55| 78 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 54| 72 52| 76 55| 81 56| 76 55| 71 53| 71 52| 76 55| 84 59| 84 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 6 4| 5 3| 5 1| 4 3| 1 3| 1 3| 2 3| 2 4| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 7 5| 7 3| 6 2| 6 4| 2 4| 2 4| 4 6| 4 6| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 9 6| 8 6| 7 4| 8 7| 4 6| 5 7| 6 9| 5 9| 5 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 3| 10 7| 9 9| 7 6| 10 10| 7 11| 7 10| 9 12| 7 13| 7 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 6| 11 8| 10 10| 8 9| 12 14| 10 15| 9 12| 11 17| 9 19| 9 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 15 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 15 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 18 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 21 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 27 | 37 | 30 | 25 | 24 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 31| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 104| 40| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 10| 136| 89| 15| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 25| 174| 133| 54| 22| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|016 018|013 012|008 012|010 012|010 012|012 012|011 012|011 012|010 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 019|016 019|014 013|010 013|012 014|012 012|014 015|013 016|013 014|012 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|017 020|015 014|010 014|013 015|014 015|015 017|016 018|015 017|014 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 020|018 020|016 015|011 015|014 016|016 018|016 019|018 020|017 018|016 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|018 021|017 016|012 016|014 018|018 020|019 022|020 021|018 020|018 90th percentile MSLP(mb)