NBM Guidance for TIMOTHY (TMFO3)
43.2428N 121.3530W
Elevation 6089 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
TMFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 67 70 72 74 75 75 74 70 65 58 54 51 48 46 44 42 41 39 38 37 38 49 54 57 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 40 37 34 33 32 32 33 34 36 39 40 40 39 37 37 37 37 36 36 36 38 44 39 36 33 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 63 63 64 64 62 61 59 55 52 48 47 44 43 42 40 39 37 37 36 39 48 50 50 54 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 4 4 5 2 5 13 16 15 13 13 14 16 7 9 11 13 13 24 32 33 31 16 5 2 1 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5 7 8 5 21 34 36 31 31 24 24 26 6 8 9 10 11 31 38 38 28 14 8 2 1 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 22 23 23 23 24 26 27 27 29 30 31 31 30 30 29 29 28 29 29 29 30 29 28 27 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 13 15 16 16 17 16 14 13 12 10 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 10 12 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 98 99101105108109109107105104103103103101 99 97 95 92 89 87 84 82 82 82 84 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 3 3 0 2 0 0 3 4 6 8 9 11 13 14 14 13 15 16 15 11 9 7 5 3 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 6 6 9 12 10 8 7 6 3 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 5 4 7 8 7 5 4 2 1 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 220220200 80210 80110310170160 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 31 31 31 31 1 2120180 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 0 3 4 5 8 10 7 7 9 8 5 3 2 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 3 4 5 4 4 7 6 4 2 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 4 2 1 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 48 56 67 80 85 85 80 62 36 16 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 11 17 27 38 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 22 22 22 24 25 26 26 28 30 31 29 29 29 28 27 27 28 28 28 29 28 27 27 27 Transport wind dir
TWS 11 14 15 17 18 17 17 15 14 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 6 7 7 6 7 7 9 10 10 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 69 86 90 88 81 68 53 29 11 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 20 37 53 66 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
TMFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 37 68 30 72 39 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 3 4 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 74 74 58 48 42 38 49 59 65 65 50 42 36 32 45 59 69 71 56 48 43 41 54 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 33 33 39 39 37 36 44 33 28 27 31 32 30 28 34 25 21 19 25 26 23 21 28 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 4 4 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 64 61 52 44 40 37 48 54 58 54 43 39 34 31 42 52 59 57 46 41 38 35 47 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 2 16 13 7 13 32 16 1 6 14 3 8 14 9 14 5 6 10 9 11 17 13 14 Sky cover(%)
SSD 5 36 24 6 10 38 14 1 33 33 5 7 8 6 6 21 21 17 8 9 9 8 8 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 23 27 30 30 29 29 29 27 28 31 32 34 33 27 20 19 26 30 34 35 11 20 16 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 5 5 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 5 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 16 16 12 7 5 6 7 12 15 15 12 6 4 3 4 7 8 8 5 5 3 3 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 0 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 3 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 1 1 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 100110100100 97 89 82 84 92 91 80 73 70 68 67 77 86 94 95 91100100 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 5 8 6 12 7 0 0 0 0 5 7 6 7 2 0 1 4 7 9 9 9 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 80110160 2 2 31 1180180170 1 40120150110130110100110140160140150 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 1 0 1 0 3 4 6 0 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 80 80 16 5 5 5 11 38 62 51 12 5 4 5 4 33 61 73 6 5 4 4 3 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 26 30 29 27 28 28 27 27 29 34 33 35 8 21 28 27 28 35 4 9 10 14 Transport wind dir
TWS 17 17 12 8 6 7 7 10 13 13 13 7 5 3 4 6 7 6 8 6 6 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 88 53 2 1 0 0 20 66 86 56 5 2 0 0 16 51 84 58 20 10 0 0 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
TMFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 37| 68 30| 72 39| 77 40| 69 37| 60 35| 58 31| 61 32 41 73 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 3 4| 2 4| 5 3| 7 4| 7 6| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 38| 65 32| 71 41| 76 41| 65 39| 57 38| 57 34| 60 35 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 2| 2 3| 2 2| 6 3| 8 4| 8 6| 9 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 36| 27 28| 19 21| 27 32| 36 35| 36 36| 34 31| 32 31 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 4 3| 4 5| 4 4| 7 5| 7 5| 7 5| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 37| 54 31| 57 35| 61 38| 56 38| 51 37| 50 34| 52 34 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 32| 14 9| 10 13| 22 42| 31 68| 72 77| 42 52| 38 33 Sky cover(%)
SSD 38| 33 6| 17 8| 23 25| 18 25| 19 18| 26 33| 28 23 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29| 31 27| 30 20| 24 24| 26 23| 25 23| 27 28| 33 27 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2| 5 1| 2 1| 3 1| 4 3| 5 4| 4 1| 3 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 1 2| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 6| 15 3| 8 3| 13 5| 16 9| 17 12| 16 5| 12 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 2| 2 4| 4 6| 4 4| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 26 23| 24 57| 50 31| 23 13 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 1| 3 15| 13 4| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 5| 18| 17| 3 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 4| 3 1| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 1 1| 0 1| 2 3| 20 12| 5 10| 8 7| 12 9 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 25 17| 31 60| 35 17| 14 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 89| 91 68| 94 101|109 100|100 86| 92 85| 85 73| 86 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 54 1| 52 7| 49 7| 45 2| 25 3| 46 5| 23 3 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
TMFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 65 35| 69 39| 73 41 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 8 6| 9 5| 8 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 65 37| 68 40| 72 42 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 31 30| 30 30| 31 32 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 8 6| 7 7| 7 6 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 54 35| 57 37| 59 39 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 23 26| 16 31| 20 31 Sky cover(%)
SSD 21 12| 10 10| 6 13 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 21 25| 30 34| 31 30 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 1| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 4| 10 4| 11 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 3| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 16 5| 6 10| 5 3 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 3 0| 0 2| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 3| 2| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 1 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 11 2| 10 1| 2 2 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 92 86| 97 94|105 101 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 15 15| 32 20| 36 20 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
TMFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 37| 68 30| 72 39| 77 40| 69 37| 60 35| 58 31| 61 32| 65 35| 65 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 3 3| 3 4| 2 4| 5 3| 7 4| 7 6| 8 5| 8 6| 8 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 34| 64 27| 69 35| 75 36| 63 33| 51 31| 50 25| 51 26| 53 28| 53 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 35| 66 28| 71 36| 76 37| 66 35| 56 33| 52 27| 54 28| 59 31| 59 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 37| 68 29| 73 37| 78 39| 70 36| 60 35| 56 30| 60 32| 64 35| 64 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 41| 69 32| 74 43| 79 44| 73 38| 65 37| 62 34| 65 35| 72 40| 72 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 43| 71 35| 75 45| 79 46| 74 42| 71 41| 69 39| 72 39| 76 42| 76 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 4 0| 1 0| 3 1| 3 2| 3 2| 3 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 2| 4 1| 2 1| 3 1| 4 2| 4 2| 3 1| 3 1| 2 1| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 5 1| 2 1| 3 2| 4 3| 5 4| 4 2| 3 2| 3 2| 3 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 5 1| 2 1| 4 2| 5 4| 5 5| 5 3| 4 3| 4 2| 4 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 3| 5 2| 3 1| 4 3| 6 4| 6 7| 6 4| 5 3| 5 3| 5 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 12 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 19 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 15 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 18 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 22 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 7| 2| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 10| 31| 41| 3| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 34| 68| 86| 32| 6| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|011 018|010 012|006 011|008 013|008 012|010 014|009 012|009 014|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 017|012 019|010 013|006 012|009 014|010 013|012 015|011 015|012 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 017|013 019|011 014|008 014|010 016|012 016|013 017|014 018|014 018|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 018|014 020|012 016|008 015|011 017|014 018|015 019|015 020|016 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|014 020|014 016|009 016|012 018|016 020|017 022|017 023|017 022|017 90th percentile MSLP(mb)