NBM Guidance for TOKETEE (TOFO3)
43.2186N 122.4125W
Elevation 3383 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
TOFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
UTC 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Time (UTC)
PDT 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Time (PDT)
TMP 69 72 73 75 75 75 73 71 68 63 58 55 52 50 49 47 46 45 45 43 42 43 46 53 59 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 47 47 46 47 47 47 47 46 46 46 47 48 48 47 47 47 46 45 45 43 42 43 46 47 46 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 63 65 67 68 68 65 64 63 61 57 54 52 51 49 47 46 46 45 44 43 42 43 47 52 57 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5 4 4 3 2 1 4 9 9 6 13 19 26 36 43 54 62 58 60 80 79 75 52 32 14 Sky cover(%)
SSD 11 7 6 7 2 1 5 20 26 9 31 32 34 36 38 38 33 30 32 39 36 39 38 35 17 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 29 28 28 28 30 30 32 30 30 33 32 32 32 33 31 31 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 8 5 3 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 8 10 11 12 12 13 12 11 8 8 7 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 5 8 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 0 7 13 3 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 12 12 12 0 12 26 15 15 15 0 0 15 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 91 92 93 94 94 95 96 95 95 95 94 92 91 90 88 87 84 82 80 79 78 78 77 77 76 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88130130 45 45130130-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 16 12 6 1 3 0 0 3 4 6 7 9 10 12 16 18 19 23 28 26 24 22 21 15 10 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 8 5 3 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 6 7 7 7 9 8 9 13 18 16 14 14 12 7 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 8 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 4 7 6 8 10 15 14 11 9 8 5 2 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 210-88-88 24 35 30 50 49 46 39 31 27 25 25 25 22 17 17 17 15 15 15 16 90 80 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 90 80 90100100100 Visibility*
MVV 15 9 6 6 3 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 0 3 5 8 14 18 16 16 18 16 12 10 7 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 10 7 5 4 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 3 5 8 10 10 11 14 13 10 8 4 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 3 3 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 7 7 7 10 10 7 5 2 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 29 38 45 48 51 50 45 40 27 11 6 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 10 16 24 32 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 25 25 25 26 26 27 28 28 30 29 29 29 29 30 30 28 30 30 30 30 32 31 32 30 30 Transport wind dir
TWS 6 7 9 10 12 11 10 10 8 8 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 5 5 6 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 67 83 87 86 79 66 48 28 12 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12 26 40 52 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
TOFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
DT /AUG 29 /AUG 30 /AUG 31
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Forecast Hour
TXN 42 70 36 77 45 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 3 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 75 73 63 52 47 45 43 59 67 67 57 47 42 38 39 67 75 75 63 53 50 47 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 47 47 46 48 47 45 43 46 39 42 40 42 41 38 36 34 31 38 40 41 38 35 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 5 6 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 68 64 57 51 46 44 43 57 62 59 51 45 42 38 39 58 64 63 54 49 46 43 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 3 4 6 26 54 60 75 14 22 3 14 10 1 10 10 12 7 4 8 6 5 7 6 Sky cover(%)
SSD 7 5 9 34 38 32 39 17 19 9 30 21 1 26 11 17 11 7 7 6 5 6 6 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 30 29 28 32 33 32 31 30 31 31 8 14 14 10 31 30 31 34 8 12 12 11 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 7 9 3 1 0 0 0 5 7 9 3 2 1 1 2 3 6 7 0 6 3 2 3 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 11 13 8 5 1 1 2 8 10 13 9 6 5 4 5 5 8 9 3 9 8 5 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 0 7 13 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 13 3 1 0 0 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 2 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 0 0 0 0 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 12 12 26 15 15 15 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 94 96 95 91 87 80 78 76 78 79 76 71 68 68 68 74 82 88 91 91 97100100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88 45130-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 3 7 8 18 14 2 0 0 1 5 7 9 13 2 0 0 3 6 10 9 11 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 24 50 39 25 22 17 15 80160 28 41110 70 80110140130130130190190170130 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100 90100100100100100100 90100100100100100100100100 80 Visibility*
IFV 4 1 1 0 5 10 13 4 0 0 0-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99-99 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 48 45 11 5 4 4 10 32 44 45 9 2 2 2 4 30 49 45 4 3 1 2 2 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 26 28 29 29 28 30 31 30 30 31 33 3 7 10 6 32 29 31 35 9 11 11 12 Transport wind dir
TWS 10 10 8 5 3 4 3 6 8 10 8 5 4 4 4 3 6 7 6 6 5 5 4 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 86 48 3 2 0 0 12 52 74 56 5 3 0 0 13 51 86 63 20 10 0 0 4 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
TOFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 |SAT 05 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 19| 31 43| 55 67| 79 91|103 115|127 139|151 163|175 187 Forecast Hour
TXN 42| 70 36| 77 45| 81 46| 72 43| 65 42| 63 38| 68 39 45 78 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 3| 3 2| 3 3| 5 2| 6 3| 7 5| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 45| 67 38| 75 47| 77 47| 67 46| 61 46| 60 41| 66 42 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 1| 2 2| 3 2| 6 2| 7 3| 7 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45| 42 38| 38 35| 42 44| 47 45| 45 46| 45 41| 43 40 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2| 2 3| 4 6| 3 4| 5 3| 5 3| 6 5| 5 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 44| 59 38| 63 43| 65 45| 61 45| 56 45| 56 41| 59 41 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 60| 3 10| 4 7| 18 32| 27 61| 77 80| 45 47| 27 25 Sky cover(%)
SSD 32| 9 26| 7 6| 23 14| 18 26| 16 17| 25 27| 24 24 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 33| 31 14| 31 12| 29 12| 28 16| 24 20| 28 11| 31 12 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 0| 9 1| 7 2| 9 0| 8 1| 7 1| 7 1| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 1| 3 1| 2 1| 2 2 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 1| 13 4| 9 5| 12 2| 12 4| 12 6| 11 3| 10 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 1| 1 2| 2 2| 3 3| 6 5| 4 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 13| 3 1| 0 0| 0 1| 27 34| 40 75| 68 43| 30 13 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 5 3| 16 39| 37 5| 3 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 8| 55| 42| 3 28 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 4 6| 5 1| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 0| 0 0| 0 1| 2 3| 17 12| 5 11| 10 7| 13 7 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 26| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 31 21| 64 75| 56 16| 23 11 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 80| 79 68| 88 102|105 99| 95 83| 89 81| 79 72| 84 81 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 46 1| 53 8| 48 6| 47 7| 6 0| 45 6| 16 3 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
TOFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1700 UTC
SUN 06| MON 07| TUE 08
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 199 211|223 235|247 259 Forecast Hour
TXN 74 42| 77 45| 80 46 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 71 44| 75 47| 77 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 5| 9 5| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 42 39| 42 40| 44 41 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 6| 7 5| 6 5 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 61 43| 64 44| 66 46 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 15 20| 16 21| 20 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 12 12| 11 8| 29 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 30 14| 31 6| 31 10 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 6 2| 6 2| 6 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 2| 2 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 9 5| 9 5| 9 4 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 3 4| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 12 7| 10 5| 4 2 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 0| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 10 3| 10 1| 4 4 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 91 87| 95 93|102 99 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 17 16| 33 20| 32 17 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
TOFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/28/2026 1300 UTC
SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05| SUN 06|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 42| 70 37| 77 45| 81 46| 72 43| 65 42| 63 38| 68 39| 74 42| 74 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 3| 3 2| 3 3| 5 2| 6 3| 7 5| 8 5| 9 5| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 39| 67 33| 73 42| 78 43| 65 41| 56 38| 55 32| 58 34| 62 34| 62 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 40| 69 35| 75 43| 80 44| 69 41| 60 41| 57 35| 61 35| 66 37| 66 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 41| 70 36| 77 45| 82 46| 73 43| 65 42| 63 37| 66 38| 74 42| 74 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 44| 71 38| 79 47| 83 48| 76 45| 69 43| 66 41| 75 42| 82 46| 82 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 45| 72 42| 80 48| 84 49| 77 46| 73 45| 72 44| 78 46| 84 48| 84 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 0| 7 0| 5 0| 7 0| 5 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 0| 3 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 0| 8 1| 6 1| 8 0| 6 0| 5 1| 5 0| 5 1| 5 0| 4 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 0| 9 1| 7 2| 9 0| 8 1| 7 1| 7 1| 6 1| 6 2| 6 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 0| 9 1| 7 2| 9 1| 9 2| 8 2| 8 2| 8 3| 7 3| 7 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 1| 10 2| 8 3| 10 2| 10 3| 10 3| 9 3| 9 4| 10 4| 9 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 13 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 16 | 15 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 27 | 22 | 18 | 18 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 6| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 68| 30| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 18| 94| 73| 7| 0| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 45| 122| 109| 50| 24| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 018|014 018|010 012|007 012|009 013|010 012|011 013|010 012|009 012|009 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 018|014 019|011 013|008 014|010 015|011 013|012 015|013 016|012 015|011 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 019|015 019|012 014|009 015|011 016|013 016|014 018|015 018|014 017|013 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 019|016 020|013 015|010 015|012 017|015 018|015 020|017 020|016 019|015 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 020|016 020|015 016|010 016|014 019|016 020|018 023|018 021|017 020|016 90th percentile MSLP(mb)