NBM Guidance for TUPPER (TUFO3)
45.0664N 119.4911W
Elevation 4209 ft
HOURLY TO 24 HOURS:
TUFO3 NBM V5.0 NBH GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
UTC 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Time (UTC)
PDT 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Time (PDT)
TMP 67 71 74 76 77 77 75 73 69 65 60 57 56 55 54 53 52 52 51 51 50 51 55 59 63 Temperature(F)
TSD 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 SD of temp(F)
DPT 46 46 46 45 45 45 46 46 44 41 39 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 40 40 39 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 60 64 67 68 69 68 65 64 60 57 53 50 50 49 48 48 47 46 46 46 46 47 51 54 56 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 64 43 16 14 9 0 2 3 2 2 7 9 8 12 10 10 6 6 7 5 15 14 4 1 2 Sky cover(%)
SSD 30 29 22 27 19 0 2 3 2 2 6 8 7 10 8 8 6 7 7 7 10 8 4 1 1 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 25 24 25 27 29 32 33 34 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 34 35 35 1 2 3 36 27 25 26 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 7 8 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 15 14 11 8 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 5 6 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind gust SD(kts)
P01 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr PoP(%)
P06 1 1 0 6-hr PoP(%)
Q01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr QPF (.01")
T01 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 109106105107110112114115116117117118116113110107104106104103100 99 98 98100 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG 240-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
MVC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<=3000ft(%) MVFR
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LIC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob cig<500ft(%) LIFR
LCB 210210120130 80 60 60 50 50 41 37 60 70 39130 31 80 70-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
MVV 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 Prob vsby<=5mi(%) MVFR
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
LIV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Prob vsby<1mi(%) LIFR
MHT 22 34 48 60 67 66 53 37 24 19 13 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 8 18 23 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 22 24 24 24 25 25 29 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 33 34 33 33 32 34 33 32 26 25 25 Transport wind dir
TWS 4 6 9 11 12 12 12 12 14 15 13 11 10 10 9 9 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 46 61 80 84 82 73 63 49 27 10 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 21 37 52 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
3-HOURLY TO 60 HOURS:
TUFO3 NBM V5.0 NBS GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30
UTC 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 Time (UTC)
PDT 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 Time (PDT)
FHR 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71 Forecast Hour
TXN 50 78 47 68 43 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3 2 4 3 2 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 77 73 60 55 52 51 55 68 75 72 60 55 51 48 52 61 65 62 52 49 46 44 48 Temperature(F)
TSD 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 SD of temp(F)
DPT 45 46 39 38 38 38 40 38 38 37 36 35 36 37 40 36 31 29 32 32 31 32 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 69 64 53 49 47 46 51 60 66 61 52 48 46 44 48 55 58 53 45 43 42 40 44 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 9 3 7 12 6 5 4 0 0 14 8 15 7 5 15 16 32 15 12 20 10 7 10 Sky cover(%)
SSD 19 3 6 10 6 7 4 0 0 19 6 10 5 4 22 25 27 24 11 11 8 7 7 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 29 34 33 33 35 2 27 28 33 33 33 32 31 30 27 28 28 30 31 28 23 19 18 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 4 4 2 2 1 1 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 5 3 3 2 2 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 12 14 14 6 4 3 4 8 11 14 12 9 7 6 9 12 15 16 13 8 5 5 7 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 3 2 2 Wind gust SD(kts)
P06 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 6-hr PoP(%)
P12 1 0 2 0 1 12-hr PoP(%)
Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr QPF(.01in)
Q12 0 0 0 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0 0 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T03 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3-hr Tstm prob(%)
T06 2 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 1 0 6-hr Tstm prob(%)
T12 3 1 2 2 1 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cond prob of rain(%)
S06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 110120120110100100 98100100110110100 93 84 79 78 79 79 75 72 71 70 70 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6-hr ice(1/100in)
CIG -88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88-88 Ceiling height*
IFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Prob cig<1000ft(%) IFR
LCB 80 50 37 39 80-88-88 40160210 90 80-88 3 12 35 41 41110200100170170 Lowest cloud base*
VIS 100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100 Visibility*
IFV 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 Prob vsby<3mi(%) IFR
MHT 67 37 13 5 5 4 8 32 55 36 10 5 5 5 19 47 66 58 17 5 5 4 10 MixHgt 100s feet AGL
TWD 25 34 34 33 33 34 26 25 26 34 35 31 30 28 27 27 27 28 31 29 26 20 20 Transport wind dir
TWS 12 12 13 10 7 5 4 6 9 11 12 11 9 9 9 12 16 16 13 11 9 7 7 Transport wind spd(kts)
SOL 82 49 3 2 0 0 21 64 83 51 4 2 0 0 14 52 52 57 17 8 0 0 6 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAILY TO 7 DAYS:
TUFO3 NBM V5.0 NBE GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
FRI 28 |SAT 29 |SUN 30 |MON 31 |TUE 01 |WED 02 |THU 03 |FRI 04 CLIMO
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 20| 32 44| 56 68| 80 92|104 116|128 140|152 164|176 188 Forecast Hour
TXN 50| 78 47| 68 43| 72 46| 79 51| 76 47| 71 46| 69 44 48 74 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 3| 2 4| 3 2| 4 3| 3 4| 5 3| 7 4| 8 5 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 51| 72 48| 62 44| 66 49| 72 51| 69 48| 64 49| 63 47 Temperature(F)
TSD 2| 2 2| 2 2| 4 3| 3 3| 5 3| 8 3| 8 5 SD of temp(F)
DPT 38| 37 37| 29 32| 27 24| 30 31| 34 38| 36 37| 36 35 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 4| 3 3| 4 4| 3 3| 4 6| 6 5| 8 7| 7 7 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 46| 61 44| 53 40| 55 42| 59 44| 59 44| 55 45| 54 43 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 5| 14 5| 15 7| 9 17| 25 55| 42 42| 41 43| 41 21 Sky cover(%)
SSD 7| 19 4| 24 7| 13 31| 28 32| 29 17| 29 27| 27 18 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 2| 33 30| 30 19| 30 15| 34 28| 29 21| 29 20| 30 20 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 1| 4 2| 5 2| 2 1| 4 2| 3 2| 3 2| 4 2 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 0| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 1| 2 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 3| 14 6| 16 5| 9 3| 13 4| 13 5| 13 7| 14 5 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 1| 2 3| 2 2| 2 2| 3 3| 3 3| 4 4| 5 4 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 1| 0 2| 0 1| 1 0| 0 3| 16 11| 23 26| 32 18 -99-99 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 4 0| 1 0| 4 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 4| 1| 4 14 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
T12 3| 1 2| 2 1| 1 1| 2 3| 13 9| 5 6| 11 8 12-hr Tstm prob(%)
PZR 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 3| 9 13| 24 26| 26 16 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 103|108 84| 79 70| 84 92|103 99| 97 87| 92 85| 90 82 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 4| 52 1| 44 6| 47 6| 44 5| 12 4| 37 5| 42 5 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
DAY 8, 9 AND 10:
TUFO3 NBM V5.0 NBX GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1600 UTC
SAT 05| SUN 06| MON 07
UTC 00 12 |00 12 |00 12 Time (UTC)
PDT 17 05 |17 05 |17 05 Time (PDT)
FHR 200 212|224 236|248 260 Forecast Hour
TXN 69 44| 71 46| 73 48 Max/Min Temp(F)
XND 9 7| 10 6| 9 6 SD of max/min temps(F)
TMP 63 47| 65 49| 66 50 Temperature(F)
TSD 9 6| 9 6| 9 6 SD of temp(F)
DPT 35 33| 36 34| 37 34 Dew point temp(F)
DSD 7 7| 8 8| 8 9 Dew point temp SD(F)
WBG 55 43| 56 44| 56 45 Wet bulb temp(F)
SKY 20 21| 31 25| 27 22 Sky cover(%)
SSD 15 16| 30 14| 14 11 Sky cover SD(%)
WDR 32 24| 32 23| 33 5 Wind dir (deg)
WSP 3 2| 3 1| 3 1 Wind spd (kts)
WSD 2 1| 1 1| 1 1 Wind spd SD(kts)
GST 13 5| 12 3| 11 3 Wind gust(kts)
GSD 4 3| 3 3| 3 3 Wind gust SD(kts)
P12 22 11| 19 20| 16 14 12-hr PoP(%)
Q12 0 0| 0 3| 0 0 12-hr QPF(.01in)
Q24 0| 3| 0 24-hr QPF(.01in)
DUR 0 0| 0 1| 0 0 Duration of precip(hrs)
PZR 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob ZR(%)
PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Snow(%)
PPL 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 Cond prob Sleet/IP(%)
PRA 23 15| 16 17| 16 12 Cond prob of rain(%)
S12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr snow(1/10in)
S24 0| 0| 0 24-hr snow(1/10in)
SLV 86 82| 89 85| 93 90 Snow level 100s feet MSL
I12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0 12-hr ice(1/100in)
SOL 20 17| 24 9| 24 19 Solar rad (10s W/m2)
STANDARD DEVIATION AND THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES:
TUFO3 NBM V5.0 NBP GUIDANCE 8/27/2026 1300 UTC
FRI 28| SAT 29| SUN 30| MON 31| TUE 01| WED 02| THU 03| FRI 04| SAT 05|
UTC 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 12| 00 Time (UTC)
PDT 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 05| 17 Time (PDT)
FHR 23| 35 47| 59 71| 83 95|107 119|131 143|155 167|179 191|203 215|227 Forecast Hour
TXNMN 50| 78 48| 68 43| 72 46| 79 51| 76 47| 71 46| 69 44| 69 44| 69 Mean min/max temp(F)
TXNSD 3| 2 4| 3 2| 4 3| 3 4| 5 3| 7 4| 8 5| 9 6| 9 SD min/max temp(F)
TXNP1 46| 75 43| 66 40| 67 43| 75 45| 69 43| 63 42| 59 38| 58 37| 58 10th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP2 48| 77 46| 67 41| 69 44| 77 47| 74 44| 66 44| 63 40| 61 40| 61 25th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP5 50| 78 48| 68 43| 73 46| 80 50| 77 46| 70 45| 67 44| 67 43| 67 50th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP7 52| 80 51| 70 45| 75 49| 82 54| 79 49| 76 48| 75 46| 77 46| 77 75th percentile min/max temp(F)
TXNP9 53| 81 53| 71 46| 77 52| 83 57| 82 51| 80 52| 81 52| 83 53| 83 90th percentile min/max temp(F)
WSPP1 1| 3 1| 4 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 1| 2 10th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP2 1| 4 2| 4 1| 2 1| 3 1| 3 1| 3 2| 3 2| 2 2| 2 25th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP5 2| 4 2| 5 2| 2 2| 4 2| 4 2| 3 3| 4 2| 3 2| 3 50th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP7 2| 5 3| 5 3| 3 2| 5 2| 4 3| 4 3| 5 3| 4 3| 4 75th percentile wnd(kts)
WSPP9 2| 5 4| 5 3| 3 3| 5 3| 5 3| 5 4| 6 4| 5 4| 5 90th percentile wnd(kts)
W24P1 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 10th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 25th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 50th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 75th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
W24P9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 90th percentile 24hr sustained wnd exceedance(kts)
G24P1 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 10th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P2 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 25th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P5 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 50th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P7 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 75th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
G24P9 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 24 90th percentile 24hr wnd gust exceedance(kts)
Q24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 8| 16| 2| 75th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
Q24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 12| 40| 64| 23| 90th percentile 24hr QPF(1/100in)
S24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
S24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr snow accum(1/10in)
I24P1 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 10th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P2 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 25th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P5 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 50th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P7 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 75th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
I24P9 | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 90th percentile 24hr ice accum(1/100in)
SLPP1 016|010 014|012 016|010 010|006 009|007 013|009 012|011 012|011 013|011 10th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP2 016|011 015|013 017|012 011|007 011|009 014|012 014|012 015|013 016|013 25th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP5 016|011 016|014 018|013 013|008 012|010 016|014 017|014 017|015 019|015 50th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP7 017|012 016|015 019|015 016|009 014|011 017|016 020|017 020|018 020|017 75th percentile MSLP(mb)
SLPP9 018|012 017|016 020|017 018|010 015|013 018|016 022|019 023|019 022|019 90th percentile MSLP(mb)